She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

Saturday, May 8, 2021

CHURCHILL DOWNS SELECTIONS -- 5/8/21

 

They're running at the Downs today and a nice card should make the handicapping a great challenge . I'm looking at the Late Pick 5, with two on the turf, including a Stakes sprint and a very tough final for Race 11 with maiden claimers. 


RACE 7 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $80K -- SEVEN FURLONGS


4 -- RISING SEAS

2 -- HIMIKO

3 -- AVIE'S SAMURI 

5 -- ON THE TOWN 


RACE 8 -- ALLOWANCE-- $102K  -- 1-1/16TH MILE -- (TURF) 


12 -- FLWON

7 -- MONEYFOR RO

10 -- GAM'S TOUR

5 -- VIBURNUM

(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR -- 4 -- MARBOROUGH ROAD) 


RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $62.5k -- 1-1/16TH MILE


1  -- CRSYTAL BALL

10 -- MARKET RUMOR 

7 -- FIGURE IT OUT

3 -- FUNNY BET


RACE 10 --  MAMZELLE STAKES -- $110K -- FIVE FURLONGS -- (TURF) 


2 -- GOIN' GOOD

4 -- WINK 

3 -- ILLEGAL SMILE 

12 -- NAVRATILOVA

(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR  -- 7 -- AMANZI YIMPILO)


RACE 11 -- MAIDEN CLAIMING -- $50K -- SEVEN FURLONGS 


4 -- LOVE ENOUGH

7 -- MOCHACHA

3 -- MENDING 

9 -- VILLAGE QUEEN


In a Pick 5, I think it's wise to try to find a race where I can use a single confidently, to lower the overall cost. That looks to be Race 9 today, where CRYSTAL BALL should handle these optional claimers pretty easily.  It's tough to put it all out there in a muliti-race sequence, with one leg down to one horse -- but Baffert is going with Florent Geroux on the horse, he's tied for second in the jockey standings and the top jockey (Luis Saez) is up in New York riding for Pletcher today. If you play multiple tracks, you might keep an eye on Saez and Pletcher today in New York. 

So, I'll chase it like this: 

Race 7 -- 2,3,4,5

Race 8 -- 5,7,10,12 

Race 9 -- 1 

Race 10 -- 2,3,4

Race 11 -- 3.4.7.9

COST $96


As always, play 'em however you like and best of luck today !!


paulie



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