We get racing under the lights tonight at Churchill Downs, a nice card that includes two stakes races, a couple of tough allowance races and 11 total affairs that'll take us to past Paulie's bedtime.
I've handicapped races 5-11 for tonight, on a night that is themed as a country bar setting, that should be interesting, with a lotta boots, hats, two live bands and line dancing.
Post time is 6 p.m. and the event will go past 11 p.m., so, if you're going or going to watch on cable or on-line, an afternoon nap might be a good bet...
Here we go:
(Note: if scratches occur in any of these, I'll do my best to update the picks...)
RACE 5 -- WINNING COLORS STAKES -- GIII -- $150K -- SIX FURLONGS
4 -- SCONSIN
2 -- FRANK'S ROCKETTE
5 -- BAYERNESS (scratched)
1 -- RISING SEAS
6 -- HEADLAND
RACE 6 -- CLAIMING -- $30K -- SIX FURLONGS
7 -- FIELD DAISEY
6 -- NIGHTLIFE
8 -- VINTAGE ROAD
2 -- UNTIL NOW
RACE 7 -- MAIDEN -- $100K -- 1-1/16TH MILE
5 -- SEASIDE RETREAT
6 -- BOLD TACTICS
4 -- CLOSET SHOPPER
7 -- KIZZY B
RACE 8 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $80K -- I MILE
6 -- THIRSTFORLIFE
3 -- MY SIXTH SENSE
4 -- EMPTY TOMB
8 -- GUEST SUITE (scratched)
2 -- FINNICK THE FIERCE
RACE 9 -- KEERTANA STAKES -- $110K -- 1-1/2 MILE (TURF)
5 -- PASS THE PLATE
8 -- DELTA KINGDOM
10 -- DALIKA
2 -- FIRST COURSE
RACE 10 -- ALLOWANCE -- $100K -- 7 FURLONGS
2 -- ALOHA WEST
1 --CALIBRATTE
4 -- INCORRIGIBLE
3 -- TRASHTALKINGYANKEE
RACE 11 -- ALLOWANCE -- $50K -- 1-1/16TH MILE (TURF)
10 -- EXULT
8 -- CHANTRY FALLS
4 -- BEACHWALKER
3 -- SUMMER PALACE
THE PLAYS
I'm looking at a couple of Pick 4's here...one for races 5-8 and one for races 8-11. I'll just go with my top four picks in each race, and ignore the tote board. When you get what is expected to be a big crowd tonight and a party atmosphere that Downs After Dark usually turns out to be, the odds can be altered by the inexperienced bettor whose just out to have a good time and doesn't take the time to study the runners. That's all well and fine, it can sometimes be beneficial to the serious handicapper.
If you want to go a little less expensive, you might try Pick 3's. A rolling Pick 3 sequence, beginning in Race 5, gives you five bets of $32 each if you do the .50 cent variety with my picks.
Going the trifecta route will run you $12 a race for the four horse box at .50 cents and $30 a race for a five horse box at .50 cents.
Churchill has been favoring speed this week, especially on the dirt, and you might keep an eye on the earlier races and see if that's holding form.
.50 cent Pick 4 -- Races 5-8: 1,2,4,5/2,6,7,8/4,5,6,7/3,4,6,8 -- Cost $128
.50 cent Pick 4 -- Races 8-11: 3,4,6,8/2,5,8,10/1,2,3,4/3,4,8,10 -- Cost $128
As always, play 'en anyway you like and good luck to you! .
paulie
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