What a day of racing at Gulfstream yesterday, with nine stakes races. I had a fairly good day with picks, I didn't take down the late Pick 4 (a 52-1 shot in thee second leg blew that up) but did pretty well on a couple of middle Pick 3's. I also had three trifectas in the nine races I handicapped.
Out of the 36 picks I provided in the nine races, I had seven winners, seven places and five shows. That's a 53% "in the money" success rate. When you look at there being 27 "payable spots" in those none races, my 17 for 27 = 63%. Let's see how the nine went...
RACE 3 -- I had CON LIMA. who won at 2-1 odds, and I GET IT, who ran third. I also had SPANISH LOVE AFFAIR, who got disqualified and placed fourth.
RACE 4 -- I couldn't come up with PHANTOM CURRENCY, who won at 7-1 odds, but had a second with TIDE OF THE SEA.
RACE 6 -- I swept the trifecta here, with ANNEX (6/5) in first, SCARLETT SKY seond and CHESS DREAM third. The trifecta paid $62.80 and the Pick 3 $147.20
RACE 8 -- I connected with VENEZUELAN HUG at 9-2 and also got second with OLYMPIC RUNNER.
RACE 9 -- I scored with FEARLESS at 5-2 and also ran third with PERFORMER. I really liked TAX in this race, but he was scratched.
RACE 11 -- Another trifecta here, with GOT STORMY at even money, ZOFELLE in second and FEEL GLORIOUS in third. That returned $24.60. The Pick 3 was worth $118.80
RACE 12 -- This is where it "blew up", as 52-1 shot WHOLEBODEMEISTER shocked the field. I didn't have him. I did have CRAZY BEAUTIFUL for second.
RACE 13 -- ANTOINETTE got the win for me at 7-2 odds, I also had BELLA LAURA for second and SISTER HANAN for third, That trifecta paid a nice $309.80 !!
RACE 14 -- In the Fountain of Youth, GREATEST HONOR came roaring down the stretch and got up in time. I had him at even money. I also had second place finisher DRAIN THE CLOCK, who ran a huge race.
The Late Pick 4 was worth $782.25 on the .50 cent wager.
All told, I ventured $466 in wagers and got back $663.20. Yes, a lot of work, just to make $200...I could have "put it all" on GOT STORMY, who was the horse of the day for me, and got back $978.60 at even money. You live and learn...
I do think that GREATEST HONOR has a great chance to win the Derby. . I also think ESSENTIAL QUALITY, who won the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn yesterday, is a bona-fide contender down the road, and showed he could run in the slop. MIDNIGHT BOURBON will be one to watch also. These are my top three Derby favorites as we roll into March. We'll see how they do...
paulie
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