Churchill Downs results 6/28/20

Let's compare yesterday's handicapping results to a classroom's chalkboard. 

Plenty of chalk until the end of the day, then the eraser came out. 

I took on the four stakes races (8-11) at the Twin Spires and gave you 16 horses to consider. 

Out of those, I had three winners, three seconds and two thirds. That's a 50% "in the money percentage -- a good day. Out of the 12 "payable" slots available, I hit 66% of them.  The balloon popper, blackboard eraser came in the final race -- Race 11 -- where 11-1 long-shot Harvey's Lil Goil  held off my picks in a close stretch duel to win. 

Prices were pretty chalky.

I had Cazadero in Race 8 as my top pick, he looked very impressive in the win over six furlongs and paid $2.80...going off at 2/5 odds. He won The Bashford Manor Stakes for fun. 

Race 9 belonged to Midnight Bisou -- who put the field away in the stretch to win easily. Another top pick of mine, that paid $3.00 to win as the 1/2 favorite in The Fleur De Lis. 

Tom's D Etat showed why he is maybe the best of the older horses with his convincing win in the feature race -- The Stephen Foster. The payout was a little better....at 6/5 he returned $4.60 to bettors. 

Then, the eraser. The #10 held off the others in an exciting stretch run to win by a head. in Race 11.  #5, Crystal Cliffs -- my top pick, tried vainly to get through on the inside hedge to pass winner Harvey's Lil Goil in the final furlong on the turf -- but just failed in The Regret. 

So it goes.

I stressed "going deep" in the final of the day -- outlined seven possible horses -- and it turns out I ran second, third, fourth and fifth. No prize for that. 

The Pick 4 paid a paltry $45.35 , with the multitude of early odds on winners. I can only imagine that if favorite Crystal Cliffs had won, it would have been much, much lower.  To use a worn-out saying here...we can pick winners but we can't pick what we get paid. 

The Pick 5 payout was a bit better...$298.60 on the /50 cent wager. 

The Pick 6 got you $148.16 on the .20 cent venture.

Yeah, I know. Maybe the "all button" in Race 11 would have been the call, but, the wager I laid out yesterday was already $84 and putting up another $70 to get back $45 would have been over a $100 loss on a winning ticket. 

We'll give 'em a shot next Saturday. 



paulie
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