Fall racing today at Churchill and dry, if a bit breezy, temps face the runners. In other words, typical fall conditions at the Twin Spires. A variety of races on tap for the final four on the card today -- a mis-level claiming, allowance, Stakes race and maiden affair -- all at distances of a mile or better. Three on the dirt, one goes on the turf.
A very competitive card awaits us, let's get into it with the picks!
RACE 8 -- CLAIMING 50K -- I MILE
5 -- MO'S MOJO
7 -- ESKENFORIT
2 -- MO ZONE
10 -- LONELY PRIVATE (SCRATCHED)
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR -- 3 -- MAKE NOISE 9-- BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL
RACE 9 -- ALLOWANCE 87K -- 1 MILE
4 -- OCEAN BREEZE
7 -- LOADED
1 -- VILLANELLE (SCRATCHED)
2 -- PALIO FLAG
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR -- 5 -- CHAMPAGNE HORIZON)
RACE 10 -- MS. REVERE STAKES -- GIII -- 200K -- 1-1/16TH MILE (TURF)
3 -- STUNNING SKY
1 -- HENDY WOODS (SCRATCHED )
4 -- PRINCESS GRACE
6 -- PASS THE PLATE
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR -- 5 -- HOW IRONIC)
RACE 11 -- MAIDEN 85K -- 1 MILE
2 -- GRACE'S SECRET
11 -- ROOKERY
12- HONORIFIQUE
9 -- EMPRESS CATHERINE
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR -- 1 -- HIGH FASHION)
The Play:
After the successes of Breeders Cup last week, we've got a little money to toss around today. I'll look at trifecta boxes in the four races and probably try a Pick 4 that gives me plenty of coverage in Races 8 and 11 and 2-3 horses in Race 9 and 10.
You might look at:
RACE 8 -- 2,3,5,7,9
RACE 9 -- 1,4,7
RACE 10 -- 1.3.4
RACE 11 -- 1,2,3,9.11,12
There is quite a battle going on for top jockey at Churchill for the fall meet, and Florent Geroux currently sits a top the standings with 16 wins. You'll notice that he also has mounts in all four of these races I've looked at today and he's in my selections in Races 9-11. Tyler Gaffalione has 15 wins at the meet and he has three mounts in the final four races. Ricardo Santana also has 15 wins and I always keep an eye out for him when he's teamed up with trainer Steve Asmussen. They hook up in RACE 9 AND 11,
An old race track adage goes "A horse can't be set aside if on board is a great ride."
Play 'em anyway you like and GOOD LUCK!
paulie
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