A great card for Saturday racing, highlighted by two stakes races in the final four. It's "two-year old" day today at Churchill, with the Golden Rod Stakes and Ky Jockey Club Stakes to be run in Races 9 &11..
The two-year olds can be quite unpredictable. If you're going to do the "multi race" wagers, be sure and protect yourself and give yourself enough coverage. To be honest with you, Race 9 looks like (at least on paper) Simply Ravishing's to lose. After that, it's throw a dart at a board, pretty much. Bot, I've put some time into it and got the best I can come up with here for you in the final four races of the day.
RACE 9 -- GOLDEN ROD STAKES -- GII - $200K -- 1-1/16TH MILE
8 -- SIMPLY RAVISHING
5 -- TRAVEL COLUM
6 -- CLAIRIERE
3 -- COACH
( IF SCRATCHES OCCUR/OTHERS TO CONSIDER):
9 -- PRINCESS THEOREM
10 -- ALEXANDRIA
RACE 10 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- 75K -- SEVEN FURLONGS
4 -- PICO D' ORO
10 -- MANDALOUN
11 -- ULTIMATE
3 -- TWILIGHT BLUE
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR/OTHERS TO CONSIDER):
1 -- KING'S OVATION
6 -- FOUNDER
RACE 11 -- KY JOCKEY CLUB STAKES -- GII -- $200K -- 1-1/16TH MILE
1 -- SITTIN ON GO
4 -- KEEPMEINMIND
2 -- SWILL
3 -- ARABIAN PRINCE
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR/OTHERS TO CONSIDER):
5 -- INSPECTOR FROST
7 -- KING FURY
RACE 12 -- MAIDEN -- 85K -- SEVEN FURLONGS
10 -- RUNWAY MAGIC
11 -- GROUP HUG
6 -- LAUGHING BOY
7 -- OUTASITE
(IF SCRATCHES OCCUR/OTHERS TO CONSIDER):
4 -- REPO ROCKS
9 -- SABUDA
THE PLAY:
I'll probably go with the trifecta boxes again today, they really paid off Friday. A couple of Pick 3's aren't out of the question as well. As for a Pick 4, I'll offer one here -- but haven't decided if I want to play it yet or not. (These last three races are VERY challenging)
Pick 4 possibility:
Race 9 -- 5,6,8
Race 10 -- 1,3,4,6,10,11
Race 11 -- 1,2,3,4
Race 12 -- 4,6,7,9,10,11
COST: $216 on the .50 bet
If that's a bit pricey for you, you could try a "single" in Race 9 with SIMPLY RAVISHING, but I rarely "single" and -- based on what the Pick 4 paid yesterday -- with NO favorites winning in the final five races and a $7000+ payday in the sequence, the old adage "spend a little more to make a bunch" seems like it could be a wise one to follow.
In any event, play 'em anyway you like. I'll probably go deep on things, I'm way ahead for the meet and the year and can do it.
This will be the final Paulie Picks edition until mid January, when Pegasus World Cup goes at Gulfstream and, soon after. important Derby Preps start to come together. See ya then!
paulie
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