She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

Friday, May 4, 2018

KENTUCKY DERBY PICKS/OAKS RESULTS -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- HANDICAPPING HEROES


The Handicappers Paulie and Scott had a fantastic day picking the ponies on Kentucky Oaks Day. On a 13 race card, Paulie had (12) winners and Scott gave you (9). Long shots, favorites and in between...the fellas were at their best on Friday.

It is Derby Day! We know not yet what scratches might occur nor how the weather will be, or if races will be moved off the turf but we've handicapped expecting no changes and hopefully the results will be good.

Paulie will be sitting out today's handicapping but he brings in noted prognosticator and seer of all, the esteemed J. Fred Muggs to join Scott in the 14 races on the card.


SATURDAY SELECTIONS 

RACE 1 - THE GENUINE RISK

J. FRED

6 - ONCE ON WHISKEY
5 - CROSSWALK
4 - ARTICULATOR
2 - SHARE THE UPSIDE

SCOTT

6 - ONCE ON WHISKEY
5 - CROSSWALK
2 - SHARE THE UPSIDE
8 - HONORABLE TREASURE

SCOTT RECOMMENDS PLAY THE #6 TO WIN AND USE IT IN THE EARLY DAILY DOUBLE. THE TWO BOTH LIKE ONCE ON WHISKEY (DON'T WE ALL?) BUT #5 CROSSWALK HAS BEEN IN THE MONEY ALL FOUR LIFETIME STARTS AND #7 UNITED PATRIOT HAS WON LAST TWO


RESULTS    5-8-1


RACE 2 - THE FUNNY CIDE

J FRED

2 - SUMMER LUCK
1 - GRAY SKY
8 - AMERICAN GREATNESS
7 - SUPER DERECHO

SCOTT 

2 - SUMMER LUCK
7 - SUPER DERECHO
6 - BIG GRAY ROCKET
1 - GRAY SKY

USE THE #2 AND #7 TO FINISH OUT YOUR DAILY DOUBLE. #2 SUMMER LUCK WON HIS ONLY RACE AT CHURCHILL AND #1 GRAY SKY HAS BEEN IN THE MONEY 9 OUT OF 13 TIMES. #9 CLEARLY SUPER HAS A CHANCE TO SURPRISE AT HUGE ODDS.


RESULTS 6-1-2



RACE 3 - THE TWINSPIRES.COM

J FRED 

6 - IRISH FREEDOM
4 - HOLLYWOOD HANDSONE
5 - SONNETEER
8 - LOOKIN AT LEE

SCOTT

4 - HOLLYWOOD HANDSOME
10 - LADDIE BOY
6 - IRISH FREEDOM
5 - SONNETEER

#10 IS SCOTT'S LONG SHOT SPECIAL. WHY NOT PLAY IT ACROSS THE BOARD? #4 HOLLYWOOD HANDSOME GOT BUMPED LAST TIME AND COULD HAVE RUN BETTER. #6 IRISH FREEDOM GETS JAVIER CASTELLANO ON BOARD. BRAD COX IS ON FIRE!


RESULTS  8-5-6



RACE 4 - THE PLEASANT COLONY

J FRED

9 - IRISH TERRITORY
5 - D SQUARED
4 - UNBRIDLED REBEL
3 - DING DONG DITCH

SCOTT

2 - MIDNIGHT TEA TIME
3 - DING DONG DITCH
12 - SNAP HOOK
9 - IRISH TERRITORY

J FRED LIKES A "IRISH" DAILY DOUBLE IN RACES 3&4  #6 AND #9. IRISH TERRITORY HAD TROUBLE ON FIRST TURN LAST TIME, COULD DO BETTER. MIDNIGHT TEA TIME HAD A ROUGH TRIP LAST OUT ALSO AND JOSE ORTIZ RETURNS TO RIDE



RESULTS  9-2-10


RACE 5 - THE AMERICAN PHAROAH

J FRED

1 - SIEM RIEP
6 - BEHAVIORAL BIAS
3 - HEARTWOOD
8 - MCCRACKEN

SCOTT

8 - MCCRACKEN
6 - BEHAVIORAL BIAS
9 - DAZZLING GEM
1 - SIEM RIEP

#1 SIEM REP HAS JUST MISSED TWICE TODAY COULD BE HIS DAY. #8 MCCRACKEN HAS BEEN WORKING WELL FOR 2018 DEBUT. #5 PETROV IS A "BOUNCE" HORSE -- ONE GOOD RACE ONE BAD RACE. HE HAD THE BAD RACE LAST RACE. COULD BE?


RESULTS  8-6-9


RACE 6 - HUMANA DISTAFF

J FRED

1 - FINLEY'SLUCKYCHARM
5 - LEWIS BAY
3 - IVY BELL
8 - AMERICAN GAL

SCOTT

1 - FINLEY'SLUCKYCHARM
3 - IVY BELL
5 - LEWIS BAY
4 - SKYE DIAMONDS

THE HANDICAPPERS AGREE.-- "FINLEY" SHOULD BE LUCKY TODAY. #3 IVY BELL AND #5 LEWIS BAY ARE CLOSERS. BEWARE. #8 AMERICAN GIRLS RAN AGAINST SOME OF THESE LAST OUT AND JUST MISSED BY A NECK. JOSE ORTIZ RETURNS.



RESULTS  8-3-5



RACE 7 - LONGINES DISTAFF TURF MILE

J FRED

11 - LA CORONEL
3 - DREAM AWHILE
5 - DREAM DANCING
7 - RES IPSA

SCOTT

3 - DREAM AWHILE
7 - RES IPSA
9 - ON LEAVE
11 - LA CORONEL 

SCOTT RECOMMENDS THE #1 IF THERE ARE SCRATCHES. J FRED RECOMMENDS YOU DRINK IN CASE OF SCRATCHES. OR GO 'ON LEAVE' THE #9. #3 DREAM AWHILE HAS LOOKED GREAT SICE COMING OVER FROM EUROPE. #11 LA CORONEL WON HERE.


RESULTS  6-9-1


RACE 8 - THE CHURCHILL DOWNS

J FRED

3 - IMPERIAL HINT
7 - LIMOUSENE LIBERAL
8 - WARRIOR'S CLUB
10 - AWESOME SLEW

SCOTT

3 - IMPERIAL HINT
7 - LIMOUSENE LIBERAL
1 - WHITMORE
10 - AWESOME SLEW

#3 IMPERIAL HINT HAS WON LAST 5 OF 6. #7 LIMOUSENE LIBERAL LOVES CD DIRT AND HAS WON 5 TIMES ON IT. #10 AWESOME SLEW WON THE ACK ACK HERE IN FALL


RESULTS  7-8-10

RACE 9 - THE AMERICAN TURF

J FRED

6 - RIVER BOYNE
9 - CAPTIVATING MOON
3 - THREEANDFOURPENCE
10 - MARAUD

SCOTT

1 - SPEED FRANCO
10 - MARAUD
7 - TIGERS RULE
3 - THREEANDFOURPENCE


THIS ONE IS WIDE OPEN. #1 SPEED FRANCO WILL TRY TO GO WIRE TO WIRE. #6 RIVER BOYNE HAS WON THREE TIMES SINCE COMING OVER FROM IRELAND. #3 THREEANDFOURPENCE HAS CHASED DERBY ENTRY MENDELSSOHN TWICE. ?????


RESULTS  10-9-11


RACE 10 - THE PAT DAY MILE

J FRED

8 - MASK
12 - RESTORING HOPE
7 - MADISON'S LUNA
9 - GIVEMEAMINIT

SCOTT

8 - MASK
5 - MISSISSIPPI
12 - RESTORING HOPE
7 - MADISON'S LUNA

SCOTT SAYS GO $5 WIN AND PLACE ON THE #5 IF THE ODDS CLIMB TO OVER 8-1. #8 MASK HAS RULED THE TRACK IN TWO LIFETIME STARTS. #12 RESTORING HOPE FINISHED BEHIND TWO DERBY STARTERS IN THE WOOD MEMORIAL. #7 MADISON'S LUNA IS ALSO 2 FOR 2 LIFETIME


RESULTS  4-3-9


RACE 11 - OLD FORESTER TURF CLASSIC 

J FRED

4 - CAMELOT KITTEN
7 - SYNCHRONY
10 - BEACH PATROL
5 - CHANNEL MAKER

SCOTT

1 - DEAUVILLE
9 - YOSHIDA
7 - SYNCHRONY
10 - BEACH PATROL

#1 DEAUVILLE COMES FROM IRELAND AND HAS WON $1 MILLION DOLLARS LIFETIME. #4 CAMELOT KITTEN AND TOOK THE KENTUCKY CUP CLASSIC IN MARCH. #10 BEACH PATROL RUNS WELL WHEREVER HE GOES AND HAS TWO SECONDS HERE.


RESULTS  9-10-7


RACE 12 -- THE KENTUCKY DERBY

J FRED

5 - AUDIBLE
18 - VINO ROSSO
7 - JUSTIFY
6 - GOOD MAGIC

SCOTT

18 - VINO ROSSO
9 - HOFBURG
5 - AUDIBLE
6 - GOOD MAGIC

WOW! WRITE YOUR OWN STORY HERE. #5 AUDIBLE WAS IMPRESSIVE IN FLORIDA DERBY. #18 VINO ROSSO HAS BEEN THE TALK OF THE BACKSTRETCH. #6 GOOD MAGIC LOOKED SHARP AT KEENELAND AND #7 JUSTIFY HAS BEEN KILLING IT.


RESULTS  7-6-5


RACE 13 - THE SEA HERO

J FRED 

6 - DETERMINANT
5 - LIONITE
1 - BATTLE AT SEA
9 - REGAL QUALITY

SCOTT 

5 - LIONITE
11 - KING ZACHARY
3 - LAST BAD HABIT
9 - REGAL QUALITY

##6 DETERMINANT TRIED STAKES COMPANY AND IS BACK WHERE HE BELONGS TODAY. #5 LIONITE IMPRESSIVE AT OAKLAWN LAST OUT. #9 REGAL QUALITY JUST MISSED AT GULFSTREAM LAST OUT AND GETS JOHNNY V TO RIDE TODAY. WATCH!


RESULTS  11-6-8



RACE 14 - FOOLISH PLEASURE

J FRED 

8 - ELUSIVE HERO
6 - LIMITATION
4 - COROT
1 - ONE MORE TOM 

SCOTT 

6 - LIMITATION
7 - MO ZONE
4 - COROT
8 - ELUSIVE HERO


#8 ELUSIVE HERO COMES IN WITH A NICE GULFSTREAM CAMPAIGN AND GREAT CHURCHILL WORKS. #6 LIMITATAION JUST MISSED AT OAKLAWN AND SHORTENS UP TODAY. #4 COROT JUST MISSED AT KEENELAND AND LEPAROUX RETURNS TO RIDE


RESULTS  8-5-8



here IT IS...our annual tribute to the race....Dan Fogelberg's "RUN  FOR THE ROSES" 
at this LINK


GOOD LUCK TODAY AND HAVE A GREAT DERBY 144 !





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