She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

Thursday, October 30, 2014

FRIDAY breeders cup picks


The Friday edition of the 2014 Breeders' Cup offers four very challenging races. Nevertheless, Paulie has run the numbers and has his selections for you. Sonja has opted out this year for Friday...she'll come up with a few Saturday Selections, however. 

OK. Here we go.


A very tough race with a bunch of babies involved. After careful scrutiny, I've come up with my picks. I'm taking Hootenanny as my top pick...but would not be overly surprised if Imperia, Conquest Typhoon or Akfabantay get to the winner's circle. I'll box the four in an exacta and trifecta and also include them in any Pick 3 or 4 wagering I attempt. Hootenanny will get an across the board bet, too.

( Post race analysis...Well, we called it correctly. Hootenanny charging strongly to win at the wire. Akfabantay scratched and we passed on the exotics because of that. We're still alive in the Pick 3 and 4, though...and got a solid price across the board on Hootenanny at $14.00   $7.80 and $5.60. The Brits are 1 for 1. )  


Goldencents absolutely loves Santa Anita and is my top selection here. I'm also going with Golden Ticket, Pants On Fire and Tapiture for the gimmicks. I've always loved Tapiture since the 2 yr. old campaign and he'll get an across the board wager along with Goldencents. These two will also be in any multi-race wagers. 

( Post race analysis...Goldencents took them wire to wire...holding off Tapiture. We're alive in the Pick 3 and 4 and got a profit in our across the board wagers. The exacta was disappointing though..we lost a few dollars and the trifecta didn't happen. ) 


Another hard-to-handicap affair...but Sunset Glow is the horse to my opinion. We'll toss in Lady Eli, Quality and Lady Zuzu for exacta and trifecta consideration and put all four in the mix for the Pick 3 and 4. Sunset Glow will get an across the board nod, too. 

(Post race analysis:  Lady Eli blew by Sunset Glow in the stretch and wins for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz, Jr. Keep us alive in the Pick 4 and we hit the Pick 3 for $ another consolation Pick 3 for $15.30 since Lady Zuzu scratched at the gate. Sunset Glow got 2nd and paid us $5.20 and $3.40. The exacta was ours also...for $17.50 but we did lose the trifecta. One to go...)


I'll be chasing a probable price here with Ria Antonia. Underneath we'll structure my second choice Untapable along with Close Hatches and Don't Tell Sophia. This one promises to be a great race and if Ria Antonia can unleash that powerful run of hers across the board on her should be a nice profit. Untapable will join her in my multi-pick race wagers. After all...she's undeniable, unquestioned, unbeatable and Untapable...

(Post race recap...

Untapable wins. Our Ria Antonia ran a hard pressed fourth. Give us the Pick 4...a modest payout though at $78.85 and we caught that twice...and the exacta was ours also. We failed on the trifecta again and may have to adjust trifecta strategy for tomorrow. A late superfecta that cost us $9 yielded over $60. ) 

Here's a recap of the Twin Spires wagering for the day. We did a little better than what you'll see below...with our on-site wagers at Churchill.

completed 2014-10-31 19:55:29
StatusTrackR#WagerRunner(s)ConditionsBet AmtReturn AmtWon/Lost

Total (accepted wagers):$ 75.80$ 225.57+ $ 109.77
Pending Wagers:$ 0.00

SA#9$0.10 Superfecta10,​WT,9,​WT,7,​WT,11none$ 0.10$ 0.00- $ 0.10

SA#9$0.10 Superfecta9,​WT,10,​WT,7,​WT,11none$ 0.10$ 0.00- $ 0.10

SA#9$0.10 Superfecta9,10,​WT,7,9,10,11,​WT,3,5,7,9,10,11,​WT,2,3,5,7,9,10,11none$ 9.60$ 60.77+ $ 51.17

SA#7$1 ExactaBX,1,6,9none$ 6.00$ 7.10+ $ 1.10


- $ 40.00

SA#6$0.50 Pick-43,5,6,9,11,​WT,1,6,9,​WT,2,3,4,9,​WT,9,10none$ 60.00$ 157.70+ $ 97.70

Good luck, wager responsibly and come back tomorrow for a look at the Saturday Breeders' Cup picks.


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