Paulie Plays for Belmont Day and recap !!!

This Saturday Belmont race day card is imposing, impressive and intriguing in terms of handicapping. I've chosen to concentrate on Races 7-11 for my picks today. All high quality stakes races here, all Grade I and some tough decisions.

To play a multi-race Pick 5 (or even Pick 3) looks like it could be quite costly, so I'm going this route. I've identified my to five horses in each race. I'll try a $1 exacta box in each race with these and a .50 cent trifecta box. We're looking at an outlay, then, of $50 per race and a sum total of $250 wagered.

RACE 7 -- ACORN -- 1 MILE 

7 - GUARANA
1 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
3 - COOKIE DOUGH
8 - QUEEN OF BEAS
9 - CECE


RACE 8 -- WOODY STEPHENS -- 7 FURLONGS

9 - MIND CONTROL
1 - HONEST MISCHIEF
3 - BORRACHO
4 - COMPLEXITY
8 - HOG CREEK HUSTLE


RACE 9 -- METROPOLITAN -- 1 MILE

3 - MITOLE
1 - COAL FRONT
2 - MCKINZIE
9 - PRINCE LUCKY
4 - THUNDER SHOW


RACE 10 --  MANHATTAN -- 1-1/4TH MILE (TURF) 

8 - BRICKS AND MORTAR
4 - QURBAAN
7 - OLYMPICO
10 - CHANNEL MARKER
9 - EPICAL


RACE 11 -- BELMONT STAKES -- 1-1/2 MILE

10 - TACITUS  (I think he'll like the extra distance) 
9 - WAR OF WILL ( All reports are he's looking good and ready to go) 
3 - MASTER FENCER ( Made up a lot of ground in Ky. Derby in stretch) 
7-  SIR WINSTON ( Was closing in the Peter Pan)
4 - TAX ( Likes a fast track, adds Irad Ortiz) 



SATURDAY RECAP

I gave you 25 horses to consider over the five race sequence on Belmont Day at Belmont. Minus a scratch...24 went to the gate.

There were 15 "money" or win, place and show spots up for grabs. How'd I do?

I provided five winners!  Some nice $2 win prices included in there, with Hog Creek Hustle ($39.80) Sir Winston ($22.40) and Mitole ($9.00)

I also gave out three horses who ran second.  Three selections came in third. That a 73% success race in filling the money sports (11-15) and 46% rate on all my selections making money (11-24).

The $1 Pick 4 that ended in Race 11 paid $4,236.00.  It would have cost you $500.

Sadly, the reality here is that I wasn't willing to toss down $500.

It should be noted that there were also Three Pick 3 chances in the sequence. Starting with race seven, they would have cost you $125.00, $100.00 and $100.00 to play on the $1 wager. Those paid $341.00, $199.50 and $147.50. A total investment of $325 would have returned you $688. A profit of $363.

Last but not least, a NYRA Pick 5 was offered for races 7-11. A $1 wager on it, using my picks, would have been expensive at $3,000. It returned $20,405.50, though, for a profit over over $17,000.

Maybe the old adage "it takes money to make money" was justified yesterday.


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I got a nice e-mail this morning (Sunday) from a reader who decided to take my picks and play them "her" way. She put a $2 WPS bet on each of the five horses over the five race sequence. How did she do?  She stuck $50 in her on-line account and sat back and enjoyed the racing while her husband was off to Patterson Stadium and then the track for baseball and racing.

In race seven, she wagered $30 but got back just $21, so she was -$9 going into race eight.

Her $30 investment returned $71.80 in the eighth race for a profit of $41.80 on the race and $32.80 for the day.

Race nine's $30 wager brought back $26.60, for a loss of $3.40 on the race but still an overall profit of $29.40.

In the tenth race, one of my picks was scratched, so the total investment was just $24. That investment paid just $8.40, though...so she lost $15.60 on the race and her profit for the day was down to $13.80.

In the Belmont Stakes, the 11th race, the $30 investment brought back $44.40. A return profit of $14.40 in the race and an overall profit of $28.20 on the day.

We like it when people make money...


paulie
xxxxx





paulie
xxxxx