She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Results from 11/26/16 -- HANDICAPPING HEROES



The Handicappers tackled the Late pick four at Churchill Downs Saturday (Races 9-12) and had some success. With Archie taking the final week off...the Big L stepped in and actually beat Paul and Scott.

Let's have a look...


SCOTT gave us his top four in the four races and eight got paid...for a 50% accuracy. Scott had three winners, three places and two shows. He also had two exactas. Scott had the late pick three as well. Unfortunately -- his best bet, value play fell short and his top jock for the sequence didn't get any wins. SCORE SCOTT OUT AT 21 for the races...a third place finish

THE BIG L lined up 16 runners for the four races and eight of those finished in the top three for 50% also. Three winners, four places and a show...three exactas and the late pick three also. His top jock, Brian Hernandez Sr. got a win but His best bet and value play didn't. THE BIG L tales the title for Saturday with 34 points. 

PAULIE played as well...only six of his sixteen got on the board for a 37.5% rate in the money ratio. Paulie had two winners, and four seconds. Two exactas for Paulie. His top jock, Robby Albarado had a win...but the top pick and value play did not win. PAULIE settles for second today with 28 points. 


Thus ends this sequence for the year for Handicapping Heroes. The handicappers will be back to provide picks for Keeneland in the spring. Check back here...as we plan on doing a few things over the winter. 

A special thanks to Scott Harris and Archie Karel for providing their selections. Thanks to Spanky, the Bicker Picker, the Big L and Churchill Downs for their participation. Also, thanks to Crescent Hill Radio for airing the show. 

Link for 11/26/16 broadcast:  HANDICAPPING HEROES 11/26

We'll see ya in the spring with more handicapping! 

paulie
xxxxx

Friday, November 25, 2016

Selections for 11/26/16 -- HANDICAPPING HEROES



Today we switch up the Handicappers a bit...with Archie out of town...the "Big L" steps in to challenge Scott Harris. Paulie also tries his hand at the late Pick 4 at Churchill. 

This will be the final handicaping selection post until Keeneland opens in the spring of 2017. We appreciate you following us and make sure to listen to the
show on WCHQ 100.0 FM or online at www.crescenthillradio.com Saturday at noon! 

SCOTT HARRIS LOOKS AT THE SEQUENCE. 

Race 9 -- 1/16th miles -- The Goldenrod (GR II) 200,000


(2) Ever So Clever -- Chased the (9) here last out. Came back a winner
(12) Lovely Bernadette -- Three in a row winner. Will be tested today
(9) Daddy's Lil Darling -- Won the Pocahontis at CD in September.
(8) Fun -- Ran second to Daddy's Lil Darlin in the Alcibiad here in Oct. 

Race 10 -- 1 mile -- Optional Claiming $75,000


(9) Guest Suite -- Drops in Class after stakes tries
(4) Chief Know It All -- Solid thirds last two times out
(8) Resiliency -- Should like the longer distance today
(11) Nice Not Nice -- Calvin Borel pilots this longshot. 

Race 11 -- Kentucky Jockey Club (GR II) $200,000


(11) McCracken -- Swept them off their feet in Street Sense at CD
(3) Wild Shot -- Must respect Lanerie on this one at this distance
(5) Silent Decree -- Stands a chance at 15-1 with Geroux riding
(12) Uncontested -- Will have work to do but won by six at Keeneland

Race 12 -- Maiden Special Weight $58,000


(2) Local Hero -- Second in debut. Catches weaker today
(4) Ladakh -- First time starter working well 
(1) Hollow Point -- Ran third behind monster McCracken
(12) Ouenienny -- Another first-timer that has impressive works

SCOTT'S BEST BET:  (4) Chief Know it All -- 10th race
SCOTT'S VALUE PLAY:  (4) Ladakh -- 12th race
SCOTT'S TOP JOCK:  Corey Lanerie



******************************************************


BIG L's PICKS:

Race 9 

(9) Daddy's Lil Darling
(12) Lovely Bernadette
(8) Fun
(2) Ever So Clever


Race 10

(12) Looking At Blessing
(9) Guest Suite
(8) Resiliency
(1) Giant Payday


Race 11 

(11) McCracken
(3) Wild Shot
(6) Just Move On
(12) Uncontested


Race 12

(2) Local Hero
(1) Hollow Point
(12) Ouenienny
(7) Flash Harry


BIG L's Best bet:  (2) Local Hero -- 12th race
BIG L's Value Play: (12) Quenienny -- 12th Race
BIG L's Top Jock: Brian Hernandez, Jr.

*****************************************************************************


PAULIE's CHASING: 


Race 9 

(12) Lovely Bernadette
(9) Daddy's Lil Darlin
(8) Fun
(4) My Sweet Stella


Race 10 

(1) Giant Payday
(8) Resiliency
(12) Lookin At Blessing
(2) Senor Guitar


Race 11 

(3) Wild Shot
(11) McCracken
(1) Han Sense
(12) Uncontested


Race 12 

(1) Hollow Point
(2) Local Hero
(5) Kid From New York
(3) Combat Controller


PAULIE'S Best Best: (3) Wild Shot -- Race 11
PAULIE'S Value Play: (8) Fun -- Race 9
PAULIE's Top Jock : Robby Albarado


LINK TO RADIO:

HANDICAPPING HEROES 11/26/16


paulie
xxxxx



Sunday, November 20, 2016

Results from Saturday 11/19/16 -- HANDICAPPING HEROES



The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday and
had some nice successes. Let's see how they did! 


SCOTT HARRIS had 16 horses to consider and out of those he provided
eight who got paid for a nice 50% in the money handicapping. He had three winners, three seconds and two shows. Scott also provided two exactas and a trifecta (the trifecta paid over $500 !!). Scott also lined out the pick 3 for races 8-10 which paid $130. Unfortunately, his best bet of the day, value play of the day and top jock in the sequence didn't score. SCOTT 24 points on the day. 


PAULIE looked to defend his four-peat and also offered 16 horses. Six of his made money for 37% in the money. Paulie had one winner, four seconds and a third. Paulie also had an exacta. His best bet and value play did not score but his top jock Shaun Bridgmohan did win in the sequence on Cash Control. PAULIE also totals 24 points on the day.


ARCHIE KAREL looked at the four race sequence and had a hard time narrowing it down to 16 horses. Seven of his did hit the board for 43%. Archie had two winners, three places and two shows. Archie also gave you a exacta. His best bet of the day did not quite get there, nor did his value play...but Shaun Bridghoman did...so Archie takes the day with 26 points. 


******************************************************


Scott takes the Handicapping challenge with 213 points over Archie's 181. With Archie out next week, we'll find a guest Handicapper (maybe Spanky?) to challenge Scott and I. 


*******************************************************


If you missed the live broadcast...catch the replay at the link below: 

LINK: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20161119


Friday, November 18, 2016

Selections for 11/19 --- HANDICAPPING HEROES



The Handicappers are taking on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs on Saturday and have some great picks for you!! Let's get it started! 




SCOTT HARRIS GETS US STARTED. He, Spanky, Archie and Paulie joined forces to try and take down yesterday's late Pick 4...but got nosed out halfway through on a price horse. So it goes... 

Race 8  Opt. Claiming $62,500 1 1/16 miles. 

(6) Cherry Wine. Preakness runner looking to rebound
(3) Papa Zulu May provide a price with Bridgmohan on top
(7) Goats Town. Been very sharp lately. Watch the board.
(4) Dazzling Gem Puts on the blinkers. Jersey Joe takes the ride.


Race 9  Bet on Sunshine Stakes $80,000 6 Furlongs

(6) Alsvid. Loves Churchill. 
(3) Recount. Landeros rides. He's been on fire.
(4) Holy Boss. Could be the favorite
(9) Island Town. Looking for a price here


Race 10  Cardinal Handicap. Grade 3 $100,000 1 1/8 miles (Turf)

(12) Cash Control He likes the Churchill Turf
(11) Lots O' Lex. A huge price if he can get there.
(5) Kitten's Roar. Must respect at this distance
(9) Heath. Joe Johnson gets on board for a reason? 


Race 11 Claiming $5,000 6 1/2 furlongs

(4) E.M. Maximus  Won against similar at Ellis
(2) Trident Hero. Figures to be close at the wire
(7) Montezuma Express. Will probably be the betting favorite
(1) Salute The Music. Indiana shipper gets the rail. Beware. 


SCOTT'S Best Bet -- (6) Alsvid -- Race 9
SCOTT'S Value Play -- (11) Lots O Lex -- Race 10
SCOTT's Top Jock -- Corey Lanerie 


************************************************************





ARCHIE KAREL sends his picks to us right before leaving for the
Bahamas. We're pretty sure he didn't pay for the trip with his handicapping profits...but he had some very interesting picks for us

Race 8 

(6) Cherry Wine
(2) Archanova
(4) Dazzling Gem
(3) Papa Zulu


Race 9 

(4) Holy Boss
(6) Alsvid
(1) W.B. Smudge
(9) Island Town


Race 10 

(5) Kitten's Roar
(1) Real Smart
(12) Cash Control
(10) Samala


Race 11

(4) E.M. Maximus
(7) Montezuma Express
(8) Ice Cream Truck
(2) Trident Hero


Archie's Best Bet -- (4) Holy Boss -- Race 9
Archie's Value Play -- (3) Papa Zulu -- Race 8
Archie's Top Jock -- Shaun Bridgmohan


************************************************************





Paulie looks to continue his mastery over the boys with his fifth straight
win. 

Race 8 

(7) Goats Town
(6) Cherry Wine
(4) Dazzling Gem
(1) Kismet's Heels


Race 9 

(6) Alsvid
(4) Holy Boss
(1) W.B. Smudge
(9) Island Town

Race 10 

(5) Kitten's Roar
(1) Real Smart
(3) Complete St.
(2) Annulment

Race 11

(4) E.M. Maximus
(7) Montezuma's Express
(2) Trident Hero
(6) Mr. Unanonymous


Paulie's Best Bet -- (6) Alsvid -- Race 9
Paulie's Value Play -- (10) Samala -- Race 10
Paulie's Top Jock -- Shaun Bridghoman 

If you missed the live broadcast, here's the link to the replay below: 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20161119

Sunday, November 13, 2016

Results from 11/12/16 -- HANDICAPPING HEROES



The Handicappers took on a challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday and had mixed results. Let's see how they (and Paulie) did with their picks: 


SCOTT HARRIS laid out sixteen horses and the reasons why he thought they might make money. Out of those, four did for a so-so 25% success rate. Scott had a winner and three seconds. He also hit one exacta. His value play did hit and his best jock of the sequence won a race...so give Scott a total of 31 points on the day.


ARCHIE KAREL offered 15 horses and four of them returned money. A 26.6% in the money rate for the Arch also. He had no winners, two places and a third. No exactas for Arch. He failed to score on his best bet, value play or best jock of the day. Archie finished with 7 points Saturday

PAULIE played along as well. Five of his sixteen made money...for a 31.25% on the board percentage. He had two winners, two places and a show. He also added an exacta. His value play was the same as Scott...as was his top jock of the sequence...so he got points there. PAULIE wins again this week with 33 points. 

In the points battle...SCOTT boosted his lead to 189-155...Paulie won his fourth straight week against the Handicappers.


To hear yesterday's show rebroadcast...click the link:

LINK HANDICAPPING HEROES 11-12-16

Friday, November 11, 2016

Handicapping Heroes -- Picks for 11/12/16



The Handicappers tackle the final four at Churchill Saturday...races 8-11...which also make up the late Pick 4. 

ARCHIE KAREL gets us started. 

RACE 8 -- Maiden Special Weight -- Six Furlongs

(10) Crack On
(7) Lenstar
(12) Phi Beta Express
(3) Wicked Zar


RACE 9 -- Allowance Optional Claiming -- Six and One Half Furlongs

(2) Speightsong
(6) Grande Shores
(9) Twirling Cinnamon
(1) Crew Man


RACE 10 -- Commonwealth Turf -- Grade II -- Mile and one sixteenth

(3) Blackout
(2) Sir Dudley Digges
(5) Surgical Strike
(1) One Mean Man


RACE 11 -- Maiden Claiming -- Six and One Half Furlongs

(4) Two Putt
(1) Majestic Heir
(7) Heliodoro
(8) After Hours


Archie's Best Bet -- Speightsong
Archie's Value Play -- Twisting Cinnamon
Best Jockey -- Julian Leparoux


//////////////////////////////////////////////////////


PAULIE jumps in with a few selections, also! 


Race Eight

(7) Lenstar
(3) Wicked Zar
(13) Dupree
(8) Petron

(if Dupree does not get in...substitute (10) Crack On)


Race Nine 

(6) Grande Shores
(2) Speightsong
(8) Squadron A
(9) Twirling Cinnamon


Race Ten

(7) One Mean Man
(8) Bondurant
(10) Tizarunner
(2) Sir Dudley Digges


Race Eleven

(8) After Hours
(7) Heliodoro
(12) Midnight's Fantasy
(10) Had To Stop


Paulie's Best Bet -- One Mean Man
Paulie's Value Play -- Petron
Paulie's top Jockey -- Robby Albarado


//////////////////////////////////////////////////////


SCOTT's SELECTIONS

Race 8 

* (13) Dupree (if he gets in)...If not...(12) Phi Beta Express
(3) Wicked Zar
(8) Petrov
(7) Lenstar


Race 9 

(6) Grande Shores
(9) Twirling Cinnamon
(2) Speightsong
(1) Crewman


Race 10 

(7) One Mean Man
(2) Sir Dudley Digges
(9) Ikerrin Road
(5) Surgical Strike


Race 11 

(6) Set the Trappe
(4) Two Putt
(8) After Hours
(1) Majestic Heir


Scott's Best Best -- One Mean Man
Scott's Value Play -- Petrov
Scott's Top Jockey -- Robby Albarado


Sunday, November 6, 2016

Handicapping Heroes -- Breeder's Cup Weekend Results.



The Handicappers boldly took on the final five races on Breeder's Cup Saturday and the four races on Friday. We'll look at the Saturday results first...


SCOTT HARRIS provided 20 horses to consider in the five race sequence Saturday that started with the BC Juvenile and ended with the Classic. Out of those...seven hit the board. A 35% in-the-money for hurrying' Harris. He had two winners, four seconds and a third. He also hit two exactas and a trifecta. His best bet of the day (California Chrome), value play ((Miss Temple City) and best jockey of the sequence (Victor Espinoza) did not come through for him. 

GIVE SCOTT 22 POINTS FOR SATURDAY. 


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ARCHIE "Lost Soldier" KAREL also gave us 20 runners to ponder. Out of those...10 returned payouts. A nice 50% for "bread boy". He had four winners, four seconds and two thirds. Archie also provided three exactas and two trifectas. He had the Pick Three for races 8-10. His best bet of the day (Limato), value play (Tara's Tango) and best jockey of the sequence (Victor "Punch-in-the-nosa") did not gather any wins.  

ARCHIE COLLECTS 34 POINTS FOR THE SEQUENCE


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PAULIE entered the fray with the fellas this week again. He offered 20 picks he thought could return some money, honey. 10 of his did. 50% for the big guy. Paulie had three winners, five seconds and two thirds. He also had three exactas and two trifectas. His best bet of the day (Tepin) missed. His value play (Tourist) was a winner, though...and his top jock of the sequence (Julian Leparoux) had a win in the five races. 

PAULIE ENDS WITH 53 POINTS ON THE DAY. Good enough to finish first again this week. 


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in the Race for First Place...Scott still leads 158-148 but Archie made up some ground. Paulie is moderator and doesn't participate in the points battle. He has, however, defeated the handicappers three weeks in a row now. 

( we're changing the name of the show to "Paulie-capper the Hero" ) 


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The Handicappers (and Paulie) also gave you Friday picks on the four Breeder's Cup races. 

SCOTT had three winners and a second. ARCHIE handed out three winners, four seconds and two thirds. PAULIE ended with three winners, two seconds and a third. 


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SCOTT had a very good start to Saturday's races...getting a second and third in Race 4, a win and second in Race 5, a win and second in race 6 and a second in Race 7. 

The rebroadcast will be up for review later today. We'll post the link when it is. You can go wait for it, if you want, at www.crescenthillradio.com


paulie
xxxxx










Saturday, November 5, 2016

Archie's Final Five BC Saturday picks -- HANDICAPPING HEROES


BREEDERS CUP SATURDAY


The "Bicker death stare"claims another victim. If you're gonna roll
with "Dave-O" bring your wallet and devise an escape plan. 

It's here! The Saturday Breeders Cup. C'mon. Get up and limp back to
the window and recover from yesterday's beating. Scroll to previous days to get Paulie and Scott's picks for these final five races. Archie Karel's for 8-12 below!


RACE 8 - JUVENILE

(10) Not this Time
(5) Classic Empire
(9) Practical Joke
(7) Gormley


RACE 9 - TURF

(12) Highland Reel
(10) Found
(4) Flintshire
(5) Ashleyluvssugar


RACE 10 -- F&M SPRINT

(3) Tara's Tango
(11) Irish Jasper
(2) Haveyougoneaway
(12) Finest City


RACE 11 -- MILE

(10) Limato
(8) Tepin
(9) Ironicus
(4) Miss Temple City


RACE 12 -- CLASSIC

(4) California Chrome
(10) Arrogate
(6) Melatonin
(5) Win the Space


ARCHIE'S BEST BET --(10) Limato in race 11
ARCHIE'S VALUE PLAY --(3) Tara's Tango in race 10
TOP JOCK IN THIS SEQUENCE -- Victor Espinoza

Catch the radio broadcast today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM and streaming live on the internet at www.crescenthillradio.com.

HANDICAPPING HEROES 11/5/16 LIVE

HAPPY HUNTING!

paulie
xxxxx


Friday, November 4, 2016

Handicapping Heroes -- Archie's Friday Picks and Paulie's Final Three Saturday Selections


With the first day of the two day Breeders Cup extravaganza now upon us...we are coming at ya fast and furious. Be sure to check out the earlier entries this week here at the site and make sure to listen to Handicapping Heroes Saturday at noon for the guys selections in all nine Saturday Breeders Cup races! 


Paulie, Andy, Archie and Spanky


ARCHIE KAREL has provided some of the horses he likes today...beginning in race 6. 

RACE 6 -- JUVENILE TURF

(6) Big Score
(13) Oscar Performance
(5) Made You Look
(1) Lancaster Bomber


RACE 7 -- MILE

(3) Dortmund
(6) Texas Chrome
(7) Runhappy
(9) Gun Runner


RACE 8 -- JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

(4) Spain Burg
(13) Roly Poly
(14) La Coronal
(9) Cavale Doreo

RACE 9 -- DISTAFF

(1) Songbird
(5) Stellar Wind
(8) Beholder
(6) Forever Unbridled


Archie's Best Bet on Friday -- Songbird (9th race)
Archie's Value Play Friday -- New Money Honey (8th race)
Top Jock in the Sequence -- Javier Castellano


***************************************************



Paulie caught with old buddy Teri to do some handicapping

Paulie's Final Three for Saturday


RACE 10 -- FILLY AND MARE SPRINT

(10) Wavell Avenue
(2) Haveyougoneaway
(6) By The Moon
(8) Carina Mia


RACE 11 -- MILE

(8) Tepin
(9) Ironicus
(11) Ring Weekend
(5) Tourist


RACE 12 -- CLASSIC

(4) California Chrome
(2) Frosted
(6) Melatonin
(9) Hoppertunity


Paulie's Best Bet -- Tepin (11th race)
Paulie's Value Play --Tourist (11th race)
Paulie's Top Jock in the Sequence -- Julian Leparoux








Thursday, November 3, 2016

Breeders Cup -- The HANDICAPPING HEROES check in. -- FRIDAY HANDICAPPING HEROES


Handicapping Heroes expert Scott Harris has checked in with his picks for the Friday and Saturday races. Let's take a look! 


SCOTT HARRIS sends his Friday's races first. You can see his Saturday picks after these... 


RACE 6 -- JUVENILE TURF

(6) Big Score
(12) Rodaoni (Scott's Value play)
(13) Oscar Performance
(5) Made You Look


RACE 7 -- Dirt Mile

(3) Dortmund (Scott's Best Bet of the Day)
(9) Gun Runner
(8) Tamakuz
(7) Runhappy

RACE 8 -- Juvenile Fillies Turf

(7) Intricately
(3) New Money Honey
(1) Hydrangea
(14) La Coronel

RACE 9 -- Distaff

(8) Beholder
(1) Songbird
(5) Stellar Wind
(3) Curalina


**********************

SCOTT'S SATURDAY SELECTIONS


RACE 4 -- Juvenile Fillies

(3) Valadorna
(12) American Gal
(9) Union Strike
(11) Daddy's Lil Darling


RACE 5 -- Filly and Mare Turf

(3) Seventh Heaven
(8) Lady Eli
(11) Queen's Trust
(1) Sea Trust

RACE 6 -- Sprint

(2) Drefong
(5) A.P. Indian
(3) Delta Bluesman
(7) Masochistic

RACE 7 -- Turf Sprint

(2) Obviously
(8) Washington DC
(10) Ambitious Brew
(12) Om

RACE 8 -- Juvenile

(7) Gormley
(1) Klimt
(6) Three Rules
(10) Not This Time

Race 9 -- Turf

(12) Highland Reel
(10) Found
(4) Flintshire
(2) Da Big Hoss

Race 10 -- Filly & Mare Sprint

(8) Carina's Mia
(3) Tara's Tango
(6) By The Moon
(2) Have You Gone Away

Race 11 -- Mile

(8) Tepin
(4) Miss Temple City (Scott's Value Play)
(9) Ironicus
(2) Alice Springs

Race 12 -- Classic

(4) California Chrome
(6) Melatonin
(10) Arrogate
(8) Shaman Ghost


(we wish Scott the best of luck on these!) 

Be sure to check tomorrow for Paulie's final Saturday picks and some selections from Archie.


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday Breeders Cup...Turf sprint, Juvenile and Turf -- HANDICAPPING HEROES



OK, today I take on the next three in the Saturday Breeders Cup races. The Turf Sprint, Juvenile and Turf. 


TURF SPRINT

(3) Mongolian Saturday . Won it last year. Looked good last out. Repeat! 
(1) Pure Sensation. Has won three in a row and looks ready to go.
(2) Obviously. Freshened and should get a piece of it.
(11) Undrafted. Should bounce back from the Woodford and be a contender.


JUVENILE

(9) Practical Joke. No kidding here. 3 for 3 and looked impressive in all. 
(5) Classic Empire. Romped in his three wins and is very dangerous. Include.
(2) Syndergaard. Almost nailed Practical Joke in the Champagne. This time? 
(10) Not This Time. Looked great in CD Iroquois. Maybe this time? 

TURF

(10) Found. Never worst than second last eight times out. Finds a win.
(12) Highland Reel. Another Irish shipper for Aiden O'Brien. Exacta?
(4) Flintshire. Three wins and and a second in 2016 says "Yes" to me. 
(6) Mondaliste. Winner of Arlington Million could surprise them all. 


We look at the final three Friday. 

paulie
xxxxx

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Breeders Cup Saturday...A look at the First Three -- HANDICAPPING HEROES


Saturday brings 10 (count 'em...10) Breeders Cup races to Santa Anita. I'll be giving you picks for the first three today, the next three Thursday, three more Friday and saving the Classic for Saturday morning. If you missed Friday's selection...I've done a separate column for those.



Water's fine! Let's dive right in...


JUVENILE FILLIES

(10) Noted and Quoted. Won the Chandeiler Stakes at Santa Anita.
(9) Union Strike. Took the Del Mar Debutante. Martin Garcia knows track.
(7) Jamyson n Ginger. Just a hunch here for a price. Watch the board.
(8) Dancing Rags. Rider Angel Cruz has a special bond with her. Don't ignore.


FILLY AND MARE TURF

(5) Al's Gal. Looking for a price here with J. Ortiz and the Ramsey's
(3) Seventh Heaven. If the turf is firm, watch out for this invader
(8) Lady Eli. Comeback continues for her. Impressive in Flower Bowl.
(10) Kitchat. Invader rules in Chile. How will she adapt here? A shot.



TWIN SPIRES SPRINT

(6) Lord Nelson. A potential single for me. 4 straight wins (last at Santa Anita)
(5) AP Indian. 6 for 6 in 2016. Joe Bravo up. If the "Lord" fails...watch him.
(7) Masochistic Five bullet works tells me he's ready off the layoff. 
(8) Noholdingback Bear. Maybe a step slower than "Lord" but offers value.







Tuesday, November 1, 2016

BREEDERS CUP -- Looking at the Juvenile Turf, Juvelines Fillies Turf, Dirt Mile and Distaff


With a huge 14 race cards over two days, I thought I'd get a little head-start on the proceedings of Friday, November 4th and Saturday November 5th and look at the Friday races first...

With two great handicappers like Archie and Scott likely to chime in on these, Sonya has decided not to pick this year...feeling the coverage is sufficient. She's been a big fan of what Jen Jade has done over the years with her handicapping skills and if you want some insight to what Sonya probably would have picked, go find Jen's picks and that'll pretty much give you an idea. 

Anyway, here we go! Here's Friday's four...

PAULIE PICKS

JUVENILE TURF

(13) Oscar Perforance. Last two wins are enough for me to put him on top
(11) Good Samaritan. Held force in the summer Stakes. Mott and Rosario! 
(8) Intelligence Cross. British Invader gets veteran Ryan Moore on board. 
(9) Wellabled. Three wins in four outings...two of them in Stakes company.


JUVENILE FILLIES

(3) New Money Honey. Looked very good in the Miss Grillo S. at Belmont.
(5) Victory to Victory. Blinkers in last and romped. Add Leparoux? Uh, oh.
(1) Hydrangea. Four straight second place finishes. Could grab second again.
(13) Roly Poly. Another British entry. Has finished first or second lifetime.

DIRT MILE

(7) Runhappy. Top pick in a highly competitive field.
(3) Dortmund. Could really appreciate this track and distance. 
(9) Gun Runner. Word is he's looking very good this week. 
(2) Tom's Ready. Looked very impressive in the Ack Ack at Churchill. 

DISTAFF

(8) Beholder. Narrow top pick in a very talented field
(1) Songbird. Has done nothing to suggest she can't win. 
(3) Curalina. Hard knocker should get a piece of the mutuals
(5) Stellar Wind. Don't discount this one. Has defeated Beholder.