HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM 7/9/16

The Handicappers tried a couple of different tracks yesterday...ARCHIE heading to New York and Belmont and SCOTT taking on Chicago's Arlington Park. Let's see how they did.

ARCHIE played the last four stakes races and gave us a total of 14 horses that he thought were contenders to "hit the board'. Out of those, seven did so...he had two winners, two second places and three third place finishers. That's 50%...not bad for such competitive races he tackled. He also gave us one exacta. He finished with 19 points...based on our scale of (3) points for a win, (2) points for a place, (1) point for a show and (2) points for an exacta and (3) for a trifecta.  

If you had put $2 to win, place and show on each of his selections...you would have spent $90 dollars. Your return would have been $60.20...a bit of a slide from his recent successes.

SCOTT selected four stakes races at the Arlington oval and offered 16 horses to consider. Out of those, eight hit the board...he had three winners, two seconds and three third place finishers. He scored 50%...nice work for such a tough card! He finished with 25 points and also gave out three exactas and a trifecta.

If one had wagered $2 to win, place and show on all 16 picks...the cost would have been $96. Your return added up to $92...almost breaking even for the selections. 

ARCH, ME and our consortium stumbled but got a thrill

PAULIE took the Pick 3 and Pick 4 route on the handicappers selections. Although he did not hit any of these at either track...he also opted to play the Kentucky track currently offering horse-racing (ELLIS PARK) and had a big day there...concentrating on hot jockeys Didiel Osorio and "Jersey" Joe Rocco. Rocco had three wins and two seconds and Osorio came in second six times...they also combined for three exactas...paying over $120 on those exotics. 

REPLAY FOR SATURDAY'S SHOW LINK:

LINK https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-4

paulie
xxxxx

HANDICAPPING HEROES...7/9/16 edition

STAKES RACES AT BELMONT AND ARLINGTON TODAY! 

LINK: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-4

Although the live racing at Churchill Downs is taking a two-month break, fear not...Scott Harris and Archie Karel haven't put away their pens and racing forms. Today they break down the Saturday stakes races in Chicago (Arlington) and New York (Belmont) Eight great races...what do the guys say? 

SCOTT is in Chicago watching the stakes races at Arlington. Here's his analysis:

RACE 4 -- The Modesty Handicap

Scott likes (3) Faufiler on top here...leading rider Jose Valvidia gets the ride for Graham Motion's turf monster. He also likes (2) Al's Gal, (6) Marypop and (1) Sequiota to contend for the money.

RACE 6 -- The Stars and Stripes

(6) The Pizza Man will attract most of the win wagering and Scott puts him on top. (9) Bullards Alley features Churchill owner Faron McCubbins and can't be ignored. (4) O'Prado Ole comes in off two successes at Churchill and (10) Roman Approval is out of the Michael Maker barn with Corey Lanerie on board. 

RACE 7 -- The Arlington Handicap

A very challenging run on the turf! Scott sees (6) Go AROUND leading the way with (12) MESSI having a chance to surprise at a price. (9) Kasaqui loves this distance and (1) Pyjama Party will be flying late. 

RACE 8 -- The American Derby

(11) JR's Holiday has a closing style that Scott sees as the winning tactic today. (1) Oscar Nominated ran in the Kentucky Derby and Michael Maker puts Corey Lanerie in the saddle today. (5) Tequila Joe is another that will be flying at the end and could surprise. 

ARCHIE has put time in handicapping the extraordinary late Pick 4 at Belmont and offers these: 

RACE 8 -- Belmont Derby

(7) Long Island Sound is Archie's top pick...excellent Irish runner who could blow these away. (11) AQUAPHOBIA is his "price" horse in here (9) Beach Patrol is another that could produce big money and gets Javier Castellano's services. Veteran (8) AIROFORCE can't be ruled out with Julian Leparoux in the saddle.

RACE 9 -- The Suburban

(2) Mubtaahij or (5) Effinex....Archie loves both of these and is also going back with hard-luck (4) Eagle to get a piece of the pool. (1) Noble Bird could get out on top and play "come catch me" today.

RACE 10 -- Belmont Oaks Invitational

Archie goes outside with the stellar (12) Catch A Glimpse on top....undefeated on the turf. (4) Time and Motion will stalk the leaders and try to swoop in the stretch. (6) Harmonize adds blinkers today and that might move her up. (8) Auntie Joy is due for a big run and supreme turf rider Brian Hernandez, Jr. gets the ride. Respect. 

RACE 11 -- Belmont Sprint

They go to the dirt for the final...(2) Private Zone wins easily if he he gets a good trip...Martin Pedroza rides and knows this one quite well. (1) Anchor Down will challenge with Jose Ortiz on board. (9) Marking will vye for a piece of the pie and (8) Ready for Rye has a stalking style that could make him dangerous if the pace is too swift. 

GOOD LUCK TODAY! 

HEAR THE ARCHIVED REBROADCAST AT: 

LINK: HANDICAPPING HEROES 7/9/16 BROADCAST

paulie
xxxxx

HAPPY FOURTH OF JULY! --

Happy Fourth of July from all of 
us at HANDICAPPING HEROES to 
all of you! 


paulie

xxxxx

HANDICAPPING HEROES RESULTS FROM 7/2/16

The Handicappers gave it their best try Saturday night on four races at Churchill Downs but fell just a little short of profitability on the final evening of the Spring meet. 


Both Scott Harris and Archie Karel handicapped races 8-11 on the card. Let's see how they did!

SCOTT HARRIS offered us 16 horses over the four race sequence and got seven of those "on the board". He had one winner, three seconds and three shows...plus an exacta pick. In our point scale (3 pts. for a win, 2 for a place, 1 for a show and 2 for an exacta) he finished with 14 points.

Putting $2 across the board on all sixteen of his picks would have cost $96 and returned you $58.60.  

He and I were also involved in the mandatory payout sequence of the Pick Six at Churchill along with a few members of the "I'll Have Another Gang". I'd like to tell you we took down the $39,000 plus payout for 6 of 6...but we took a tough beat in the second leg, where we ran second, third and fourth. We thought the winner might get disqualified...hoping so, since we didn't have him...but a lengthy steward's review kept him on top. 

ARCHIE KAREL handicapped the same four races and offered 16 horses to consider. He also had seven of them provide a payout...Arch had two winners, four seconds and one third. He also gave us two exactas...he ends up with 19 points for the evening. 

The $96 invested in his picks returned $79.80...so he didn't return  a profit either...but did a little better financially than Scott. 

Archie also handicapped the seventh race. We're not including it in his totals...he provided three horses and they ran second and third and "also ran". 

Archie made up ground in the overall points battle...narrowing the gap to 119-121...Scott with the two point lead.

Although the meet has ended at Churchill, HANDICAPPING HEROES is far from finished. We'll be looking at the best races in the country each week for the Saturday cards...and we'll be looking at the featured Saturday race at ELLIS PARK each week as well. 

PAULIE doesn't participate in the points battle with the boys...just adding a horse or two on their picks. Saturday night turned out well for him, though...hitting the middle pick 4 for $497 on a $48 ticket. That and a couple of early exactas made it a good day for the third day in a row. Hating to see the meet end after catching on fire at the end. 

We are working on a few things...creating a header for the site is one of them. Another is getting your input on the site and radio show. How are you doing at the tracks if you are playing the races? Are you a new handicapper and have we helped you? 

Feel free to send your comments to me at cardinalcouple@twc.com

THE REBROADCAST CAN BE HEARD AT: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 7/2/16

paulie
xxxxx

HANDICAPPING HEROES - 7/2/16 picks and "Those men are at it again"!

ANOTHER SCORE FOR THE" I'LL HAVE ANOTHER GANG"!

After Thursday Pick 4 triumph at Gulfstream, we figured we had no chance at taking down the Pick 4 at Churchill on Friday. But ,we gave it a try, anyway...and SPANKY, BILLY, SCOTT and PAULIE hit again!

Incredible...

We started it out with four horses in the 1st leg (5th race) and INCOMING (#5) got it done for us a 5-1 morning line odds. Up next was the 6th race...we were four "deep" here and #1 CONRAD found the wire for us at 5-1 odds. 

We figured the luck couldn't last...but we had four horses that we thought rated a chance in the seventh and HUNDRED YEARS (#6) gave us a big stretch run and beat the favorite. WE were halfway through the Pick 6 and had three horses in the 8th race. SPANKY insisted on the #5 WEST VILLAGE and he got to the wire first...a 4-1 morning selection. 

We were solidly aligned on two horses in the ninth race...DEAR ELAINE and CONQUEST CURLGIRL. Dear Elaine led for six furlongs but got tired after a wicked pace and Conquest Cowgirl passed her easily to get the win at 2-1 odds. Spanky and the gang couldn't believe it. We were 5 for 5 and had three horses in the final race. 

We argued a bit on this race when we handicapped it...I fought to keep the #10 PLACE DES VOGUES in and it paid off...this hard knocker winning the race by five furlongs. 

$4467 back on a ticket that cost us $128. 

Incredible. I'm still in shock. 

                           *                              *                          *                       *


SCOTT'S PICK FOR CHURCHILL

RACE 8 -- THE DEBUTANTE ($100,000) 6 Furlongs

Scott likes (10) CHINA GROVE on top and the filly should handle the track well after coming in second in the Astoria. He sees (9) LIKE A HURRICANE for second...followed by (4) COUNTRY CANDY and (5) TRICKY ONE. Also keep an eye on (2) ANNA'S BANDIT, who might run well at a good price. 

RACE 9 -- ALLOWANCE ( $55,000) 1-1/16th mile

A tough race, indeed. Scott sees (7) WALKING THE KITTEN getting the score for Florent Geroux and Michael Maker. (6) SMART SHOPPING could be a price with Robby Albarado on board. (2) READY FOR CHIANTI gets Julian Leparoux and must be respected. (4) HAVANA DREAM could round out a nice superfecta. A couple others of merit (3) NALINS KITTY and (12) DORODANSA could climb into the money...a very challenging race! 

RACE 10 --  KELLY's LANDING STAKES ($67,000) 7 Furlongs

 (7) ALSVID has 14 career wins and three of them at Churchill. He's the one to beat. (3) HELOOKSTHEPART is Scott's price horse and (6) WABEL and (4) SCHIVARELLI round out his selections 

RACE 11 -- STARTER ALLOWANCE ($22,000) 7 furlongs

The final race of the Spring meet is a good test for these 4 year olds and Scott sees (7) PADEN hitting the wire first. (3) BOB'S GONE WILD gets Ricardo Santana back on board for hot trainer Chris Hartman and shouldn't be ignored. (4) BAD STUDENT rates a chance with Julian Leparoux despite the move up in class and (8) CONDESTABLE has been first, second and third in his three starts at Churchill this spring -- a contender. 


We have ARCHIE'S PICKS also!


(TAKE A LOOK AT WHERE HE HAD TO HANDICAP FROM...POOR CHILD! )

RACE 7 -- BASHFORD MANOR STAKES ($100,000) 6 furlongs

This 2 year-old spring is quite competitive. Archie gives us (3) TIP TAP TAPIZAR on top, with (5) RIV in there with a shot and (9) RECRUITING READY and the legendary Edgar Prado on board as his top three. 

RACE 8 

It's "bombs away" time for the Arch...putting (2) ANNA'S BANDIT in the winner's circle over (10) CHINA GROVE. (6) PRETTY CITY GROVE is getting a long, hard look from Arch also and (5) TRICKY ONE can't be ruled out. 

RACE 9 

Archie agrees with Scott. Gotta beat (6) WALKING THE KITTEN. He sees (5) SMART SHOPPING, (11) MOONLIGHT SKY and (3) HAVANA DREAM as the main contenders to do so, 

RACE 10

(6) WABEL is his pick to beat this small but talented field. He wouldn't be surprised by (7) ALSVID going to the winner's circle. (3) HELOOKSTHE PART and (4) SCHIVARELLI round out his top four.

RACE 11

Both he and Scott think (7) PADEN will capture the final race of the evening. (4) BAD STUDENT is a contender, (3) BOB'S GONE WILD just might...and (8) CONDESTABLE could be in the money. 



Did you miss the broadcast? Well,no worries! Listen to the rebroadcast at the link below! 

LINK: HANDICAPPING HEROES 7-2-2016

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- The I'll Have Another Gang hits big !

WE features handicappers Archie Karel and Scott Harris on our weekly radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES but the "I'll Have Another" gang...a loosely associated group of 3-4 other Churchill regulars often combines with me, Arch and Scott to do wagers at Churchill. Yesterday, the boys came through in fine fashion...taking down the Gulfstream Pick 6 and its mandatory payout.

Involved in the triumph were Charlie, Spanky and yours truly...Paulie. We convened about a half-hour before the start of the Pick 6...which was race 5. Our handicapping in place, we were disappointed to find out that two of our "single" picks...in races 6 and 10 had been scratched. So, it was back to the drawing board for those two races. 

Anytime you construct a ticket like a Pick 6...or even a Pick 4 or 3...there is a little "give and take" on the selections before the final ticket is bet. Our first attempt at building the ticket ended up in a selection roster that would have cost us a little over $80 each. Feeling that was a bit too high...we went into the elimination process, race by race, to pare that total down a bit. Finally, with just a few minutes before post, we had reduced the ticket to where we were at a total wager amount of $38 each and I headed to the window to bet it. 

Below is a picture of what we were working off of. Yeah, first class all the way for this bunch...

With napkin in hand, I took the $115 dollars to the teller and got the bet down. When I returned to the table, Spanky looked at me and wryly commented...

"This may be one of the most moronic things we've done lately." I chuckled and repeated our creed:

"Morons R Us." 

The fifth race got underway and we had four horses in the leg, We got a break when the odds-on favor got caught in the stretch and the #1 horse, CALLING ME HOME zipped by to win. A nice price, at 5-1. We were one race in. The sixth race was a scramble for us, since the one we all figured would win...CARIBOU CAT, had scratched. Still, we had three horses in the sprint...and #2 PIONEER PETE came home for us at 6-1. We were 1/3 of the way there...and had two pretty good prices in each of our wins. 

In the seventh race, we had a hard paring the selections down and ended up with four horses. We almost tossed Charlie's selection, the #4 horse HEARTBREAKER GIRL out...but decided to take a chance with her on the "drop" and it was a wise choice...she held on in the stretch and won at 6-1 odds. Going to the eighth race, we were a bit nervous thaat we have left the betting favorite out of our three horse selection...but a strong ride by Lionel Reyes on 3-1 ANA'S PRIDE magically got us to the winner's circle again. 

Two races to go and we were getting a bit nervous. We only had two horses in each of the final two races...but felt very confident that either the odds-on favorite in the ninth FLASH JAK or second choice Jill's Comprise could get it done. What a nail-biter! TWINKLING TIME jumped out to the early lead and looked unbeatable as they set down for the stretch. But the #2...FLASH JAK...took after him, caught him with a few yards to go and won by a long neck. 

We were 5-5 and the final race loomed. Once again, by post time, we had the two favorites when they broke from the gate. Both #6 DREAMING OF EVA and #10 FIRST SALUTE laid off the pace in the early fractions of the five furlong race. It looked like Dreaming of Eva was poised to make a big move in the stretch but got checked sharply and fell back. We looked desperately for the #10 FIRST SALUTE and Jesus Rios had him coming on the outside. He charged to the lead and held on for the win! 

We had just hit the Pick 6 and were going nuts in Churchill's GOLD ROOM. 

A couple of exciting minutes went by before we saw the payout.  We had guessed maybe $1500, possibly $2000. When the board flashed $3234.24 we were stunned. 

Goes to show that even a group of blind squirrels can find a nut at times and our "moronic effort" had pocketed each of us a little over $1000. 

Good times...


paulie
xxxxx

HANDICAPPING HEROES RESULTS FROM 6/25

The Handicapping Heroes stumbled a bit on Saturday, both Archie and Scott having their first losing days since we began the broadcasts and picks. 

They did produce some good results but with the chalky results and low payouts...not enough to end up on the plus side of wagering. 

SCOTT HARRIS won the points battle...based on (3) points for a winner, (2) for a place (1) for a show (3) for a trifecta and (2) for an exacta. He ended with 28 points...ARCHIE KAREL finished with 24 points. 

Scott did get 9 of his 16 picks in the money and gave out three exactas and a trifecta..but on a total of $192 potential wager on $2 across the board on each horse and a $1 exacta and .50 cent trifecta in each of the four races...he would have spent $192 in wagers and just received $129.20 back...a loss of $62.80. 

Archie fared a little worse than that. 8 of his 16 selections hit the board but he provided only two exactas and one trifecta. His $192 spent on wagers would have returned $83.30...a loss of $108.70.

Scott jumped out to a 107 to 100 lead in the points battle after four weeks. 

A less than profitable day at the track. It happens sometimes...both Handicappers promise to be back strong next week for the final day of the Spring Meet at Churchill next Saturday. 

LINK TO REBROADCAST OF THE SHOW: 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2