CHURCHILL DOWNS PICKS -- 5/27/23

 A NICE Memorial Day weekend card at Churchill this weekend, well look at the last four races at Churchill today (8-11) which feature two competitive allowance races, the Keertana Stakes and a maiden special weight affair that many may "single" in. I won't, so let's have a look at them.  Happy Saturday to ya! 

RACE 8

7 -- KUPUNA

2 -- THREE TECHNIQUE

6 -- SANTOS DUMONT

3 -- BRITAIN'S KITTEN

RACE 9 

7 -- MARGOINABUBBLEBATH scratch

2 -- ALVA STAR

6 -- FOGO ISLAND

9 -- TAMMY TAP TAP TAP

8 -- JERSEY PEARL

RACE 10

6 -- EXIT SOUL

7 -- LOVELY PRINCESS

10 -- SPARKLE BLUE

4 -- SINFILTRE

RACE 11

1 -- MULLIKIN

11 -- PADDINGTON

7 -- PILOTE COMETE

2 -- VIGANO  scratch

3 -- SPACE

(UPDATED 1:49)

Good luck today and we'll hop back in with changes/scratches as needed. 

paulie

PIMLICO PICKS -- PREAKNESS -- 5/20/23

 

Hi !  The second jewel of the Triple Crown today in Baltimore with the Preakness. A GREAT card with (8) stakes races I'm looking at, starting with the sixth race. . 

Let's get at them.... 

RACE 6 

1 -- HAVNAMELTDOWN

2 -- RYNIT

5 -- SUPERCHOW

3 -- FROSTED DEPARTURE

RACE 7 

7 -- PRINCESS THEROM

1 -- WHITEBEAM

2 -- SOPRAN BASILEA

4 -- EMINENT VICTOR

RACE 8

7 -- EMMANUEL

4 -- HURRICANE DREAM

1 -- ATONE

5 -- RISING EMPIRE

RACE 9

6 -- GUNNING

3 -- I'M THE BOSS OF ME

1 -- OXANA

5 -- PRINCESS KUKACHIN 

RACE 10

1 -- NOTHING BETTER

10 -- COPPOLA

12 -- BREAKTHROUGH

13 -- BEER CAN MAN

RACE 11 

8 -- STRAIGHT NO CHASER

7 -- NAKATOMI

10 -- WONDERWHERECRAIGIS

9 -- HELLO HOT ROD

RACE 12

9 -- NAGIRROC

1 -- FUNTASTIC AGAIN

5 -- CIRCLING THE DRAIN

8 -- WONDERFUL JUSTICE

RACE 13 -- THE PREAKNESS

6 -- PERFORM

3 -- MAGE

1 -- NATIONL TREASURE

7 -- BLAZING SEVENS

Good luck today and I'll jump in with changes/scratches as needed. 

paulie

CHURCHILL DOWNS SELECTIONS 5/13/23

 

A nice, clear and wonderful temperature day for racing at Churchill Downs ! I've handicapped the card and have selections for you for the final four races (8-11).

RACE 8 

5 -- TEPEU

1 -- SINGLE RULER scratched

3 -- CRUMP

7 -- TRIPLE ELVIS

6 -- COSTA TERRA

RACE 9 

6 -- PORTILLA

5 -- YOUR SO SILLEA

12 -- IRONIC TWIST

8 -- STREET JAM

RACE 10 

2 -- GASLIGHT DANCER

7 -- PRIVATE CREED

6 -- CRISPY CAT

4 -- CHRINGO

RACE 11

1 -- SPEAK OF THE DEVIL

12 -- PATTON'S WAR

9 -- ALILNALOT

12 -- LUNDBERG

Good luck today, and we'll jump back in to make changes if needed. 

paulie

DERBY PICKS -- -5/6/23

 

It should be a beautiful weather day for the 149th Kentucky Derby this Saturday, and there are some GREAT races on the 14-race card. 

Recapping yesterday, I had (8) winners (8) seconds and (6) thirds. Toss in six exactas, two trifectas and a couple of pick threes...and it wasn't a bad handicapping day, except for the end of the card. We'll do better today, right? 

**********PICKS UPDATED  10:10 AM SATURDAY TO REFLECT SCRATCHES**********

**********PICKS UPDATED 11:45 AM STAURDAY TO REFLECT SCRATCHES***********

RACE 1 

1-- EXTRA  ANEJO

2 -- OLAZABEL

3-- FEDERAL JUDGE

8 -- DEER DISTRICT

RACE 2 

8 -- QUALITY CHIC

1 -- CAPE TRAFALGAR scratched

6 -- QUATERNION

4 -- SHOCKWAVE

RACE 3

5 -- KING OTTOMAN

1 -- BRIGHT FUTURE

12 -- SUPER DESIGN

6 -- MAJOR FED  scratched

2 -- COASTAL DEFENSE

RACE 4 

2 -- GOODNIGHT OLIVE

3 -- WICKED HALO

5 -- MATAREYA

1 -- HOT AND SULTRY

RACE 5 

5 -- SPENDARELLA

2 -- SPEAK OF THE DEVIL

3 -- HAUGHTY

4 -- WAKANAKA

RACE 6 

2 -- MASQUEPARADE

12 -- CADDO RIVER

3 -- BABY YODA

11 -- KUPUNA

6 -- ZOZOS

RACE 7 

7 -- NOTHING BETTER scratched

11 -- MOTORIOUS

4 -- BIG INVASION

2 -- GO BEARS GO

10 -- ARREST ME RED

RACE 8 

1 -- KANGAROO COURT

5 -- ECHO AGAIN

9 -- GENERAL JIM

10 -- CURLY JACK

RACE 9 

1 -- MAJOR DUDE

11 -- CARL SPACKLER

2 -- FARBRIDGE

4 -- TALK OF THE NATION

RACE 10 

7 -- CODY'S WISH

10 -- ENDORSED

6 -- TEJANO TWIST

1 -- WHITE ABARRIO  scratched

4 -- HOIST THE GOLD

RACE 11

5 -- UP TO THE MARK

9 -- SPOOKY CHANNEL

3 -- WOLFIE'S DYNAHOST

8 -- SANTIN

RACE 12

15 -- FORTE scratched

6 -- KINGSBARN

14 -- ANGEL OF EMPIRE

3 -- TWO PHIL'S

22 -- MANDARIAN HERO

(DISARM?  WILL USE IN EXOTICS)

RACE 13 

3 -- EQUIVOQUE

6 -- PROMISE ME A RIDE

8 -- CLAASSIC LEGACY

10 -- SHOPPER'S REVENGE

RACE 14

8 -- MULLIKIN  scratch+ed

3 -- LAST DAWN

2 -- EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS

11 -- WICKED AGAIN  scratched

7 -- NOBLE REALITY

14 -- DILLINGER

We'll jump back in as needed with any scratches or changes. 

Good LUCK !!

paulie

OAKS PICKS -- 5/5/23

 

Another challenging card today on Oaks Day with 13 races (and seven of them stakes races!) A lot of fillies and mares on the track today and the weather is looking nice with temps in the mid 70's and just a 30% chance of rain. 

Just to briefly recap yesterday,  I handicapped all (11) races and I had (8) winners, (8) places and (9) shows. I had a few exactas, trifectas, superfectas and two Pick 3's also. Let's hope today is another profitable day.. 

Here we go...

RACE 1

6 -- DESTINE TO RACE

5 -- BEACH WALKIN

12 -- FOREVER AFTER ALL

7 -- K'ANTHEIA

RACE 2

3 -- MARGOINABUBBLEBATH

2 -- PADMA

9 -- UNDERVALUED ASSET

11 -- VAHVA

RACE 3 

11 -- BURNING BRIGHT

6 -- POINT ME BY

9 -- COWBOY JUSTICE

1 -- SMOKIN T

RACE 4

4 -- NOT SO CLOSE

8 -- MUSIC STREET

7 -- HEARTYCONSTITUTION

2 -- NEW ROO

RACE 5 

4 -- WEST WILL POWER

1 -- ART COLLECTOR

2 -- LAST SAMURI

3 -- RICH STRIKE

RACE 6 

7 -- SHANTISARA

6 -- MCKULICK

2 -- DIDIA

8 -- NEW YEAAR'S EVE

RACE 7 

8 -- MUNNY'S GOLD

6 -- RED CARPET READY

1 -- CONDENSATION

3 -- OLIVIA TWIST

RACE 8 

11 -- CARAVEL

8 -- OEUVRE

1 -- BAY STORM

9 -- LITTLE JEWEL

RACE 9 

4 -- SECRET OATH

7 -- SOCIETY

1 -- PLAYED HARD

2 -- SEARCH RESULTS

RACE 10

2 -- LIGURIA

3 -- CAIRO CONSULT

6 -- MISSION OF JOY

9 -- PAPILLO

RACE 11

7 -- WET PAINT

6 -- BOTANICAL

3 -- GAMBLING GIRL

13 -- AFFIRMATIVE LADY

RACE 12

1 -- CURL GIRL

6 -- GUNS N GRACES

5 -- HAYUNEVANO

7 -- FOREVER DIXIE scratch

9 -- Metaphysical

RACE 13

11 -- TWIN MISCHIEF

9 -- NEVER TELL PATTI  scratch

12 -- PITCH CLOCK

1 -- KID'S LAST LAUGH

14 -- AMERICAN RETRO

(We'll jump back in as needed to update and report any scratches)

Good LUCK!!

paulie

THURBY PICKS 5/4/23

 

Today is Thursday at Churchill Downs and it is known as "Thurby". No, we don't like the designation as locals, but you out-of-towners who come to Louisville and spend your money think it's cute, so...we do the stupid name for you. Thursday used to be "Louisville's Day" at the track, but, as more and more out-of-towners came in for the three day "Thurby, Oaks and Derby" scenario...most now look at Wednesday as "Louisville's Day" at the track.

The horses, of course, know none of this and could probably care less...they are geared to take to the track and run. It's a pretty decent field for a Thursday, but, it's Derby week, so you'd expect that. 

I used to hit Churchill, or TwinSpires on Thursday and Friday every year during Derby Week. for years....and then handle a private party's financial "needs" on Derby Day. I've retired from such and, for the second straight year...I'll be watching from the comfort and convenience of my couch.   

Now...to the picks!  

RACE 1 

1 -- TOTAL DISCRECTION

3 -- TATTERED HEART

8 -- FREEDOM MACHINE

6 -- CONDIMENT GIRL

RACE 2 

6 - BRITTLE AND YOU

4 -- SCARLET STRIPE

3 -- ACADEMIC HONOR

1 -- BEAUXS ARTES

RACE 3 

3 -- CARAMEL CHIP

8 -- CONCRETE GLORY  scratched

6 -- MY MAN FLINTSTONE

7 -- SAND MOUNTAIN  scratched

2 -- HIGH TONE

1 -- TETSU

RACE 4 

2 -- YOUALMOSTHADME

1 -- HIBERNACLE  scratched

4 -- LOU'S LEGACY

6 -- WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE 

RACE 5 

4 -- HIDDEN PATH

9 -- DECANTED   scratched

10 -- CURLIN'S INCHARGE

12 -- NOW AND LATER

11 -- MAIN LINE CYPHER

RACE 6 

7 -- RUNCLASSIC

2 -- STRAVA

3 -- CHASING TIME

6 -- SPANKSTER

RACE 7

8 -- KIKI KRAZY

6 -- ALLINTHECALL

7 -- VALIANT PRAISE

11 -- FEARLESS KRISTIE

RACE 8 

2 -- FIGHT FIERCELY

3 --  MORNING CUP

6 -- BUCKTOWN

10 -- GROUP HUG

Note: My favorite trainer Matt Kordenbrock has the #11 in here (Runrunrapidash). Maybe not ready for the winner's circle just yet but I'll be watching...with Joe Rocco riding)

RACE 9 

2 -- MILES AHEAD

1 -- BAGTOSS

7 -- BANGO

6 -- SURVEILANCE

RACE 10 

3 -- ANNAPOLIS

5 -- SET PIECE

7 -- CHURCHTOWN

10 -- ENGLISH BEE

RACE 11

3 -- DARK TIMBER

9 -- CRIME SPREE

4 -- PALACE KITTEN

7 -- LEGAL DEAL

(POSTED 9:18 am THURSDAY -- I will try to "jump back in" and update as needed, if scratches on my picks occur)

'have fun and win some money, honey..."

--paulie