Friday, April 18, 2014
Kentucky Derby Picture --- Clear as mud
The Kentucky Derby is 15 days away. There are 15 horses out there that have a legit chance to win this thing.
Color me confused.
California Chrome has done nothing wrong in building his case to be the pre-race favorite. He's ruled the California circuit and looked impressive in doing so. How well that'll transfer to the First Saturday in May is anyone's guess...but there is a lot to like here.
Danza was the big longshot that wowed them in the Arkansas Derby. His sneaky move up the rail and off to the finish line was impressive for the win. He wasn't getting tired. He laid off the pace, made is move and was the best that day.
Dance With Fate took the Bluegrass Stakes at Keeneland and wasn't expected to do that. A gutty horse. How well he'll adapt from the recent polytrack win to Churchill's surface remains to be seen.
There are others I'm looking at also. Strong Mandate, We Miss Artie rate a chance. Vicar's In Trouble and Tapiture were favorites of mine early in the Derby campaign. I haven't ruled those two out yet.
So, there you have it. A strong seven. The hard part will be whittling this list down.