Sunday, November 26, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- RESULTS FROM 11/25/17



The Handicappers tackled the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs and had some successes in picking winners. Although they did not take down the prize, they gave you the early Pick 3 in Races 9-11 and some exactas. Here's how the final Handicapping Heroes of the year contest went: 


PAULIE had all sixteen of his break from the gate. He had two winners, a second and two thirds. He also had an exacta. He fell short on all three of the bonus items...the Best Bet, Value Play and Top Jock of the sequence. PAULIE earned 12 points on the day. 

SCOTT also offered 16 runners that covered ground. He produced a winner, three seconds and a third. Give Scott the 10th. race exacta as well. Like Paulie, his Best Bet, Value Play and Top Jock of the Sequence were non-winners. SCOTT ties Paulie with 12 points. 

ARCHIE gave us 16 selections and had three winners, two seconds and two thirds. He hit two exactas and the early Pick 3. His Best Bet, Value Play and Top Jock of the Sequence ran a bit short. ARCHIE takes the day with 22 points. 


It was a good day all-around for Archie. A horse that he is part-owner of, along with our buddy, Dr. Tom and others...won the 4th race!  Violent Storm unleashed a power stretch drive down the center of the turf to win at the wire. Ridden by Florent Geroux and traained by Brendan Walsh, he went off at 7-1 and paid $16 to win. 

FOURTH RACE Churchill NOVEMBER 25, 2017 1° MILES. ( Turf ) ( 1.46¦ ) MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT . Purse $60,000 ( includes $3,300KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund ) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $75,000). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One and One Eighth mile.). Value of Race: $60,500 Winner $36,000;second $12,000;third $5,670;fourth $3,000;fifth $1,800;sixth $293;seventh $293; eighth $284; ninth $293;tenth $283; eleventh $292;twelfth $292. Mutuel Pool $253,238.00Exacta Pool $188,216.00 Trifecta Pool $117,292.00 Superfecta Pool $76,251.00 Last Raced Horse M/Eqt. A. Wt PP St ² ¶ º Str Fin Jockey Odds $1 20å17 ªKee© Violent Storm L 2 118 4 1 9¦ 8ô 8¦ 5Ç 1ô Geroux F 7.00 12å17 ªKee« Funny Duck L b 2 118 9 2 6ô 7¨ 6ô 3ô 2¦ô Hernandez B J Jr 4.00 12ä17 «CD¬ Honey Dont L b 2 118 1 4 4Ç 4ô 4ô 2ô 3ö Lanerie C J 2.00 4ä17 ¬CD© Rare Form L 2 118 11 7 3¦ 3ô 3¦ô 1ô 4©õ Albarado R J 3.60 29å17 ¦¦CD¬ Come On Dover L 2 118 10 5 7¦ô 6ô 5¦ô 6¨ô 5Ç Landeros C 27.50 20å17 ªKee¨ Neverquitdreaming L 2 118 7 9 2¦ 2¦ 1Ç 4§ 6¨ö Leparoux J R 5.20 12ä17 «CD® Super Factor L 2 118 5 3 1Ç 1Ç 2ô 7¬ 7ª Rocco J S Jr 13.30 Callmecash bf 2 118 12 12 8¦ô 9§ô 9ªô 8§ 8ª Ordaz C A 23.40 27æ17 ¬Ind¤ Skydere L b 2 118 6 11 12 12 12 9¦ô 9«ô Sarvis D A 138.20 11ä17 ¨CD« Little Kansas L 2 118 2 10 10¦ 10¨ 10§ô10ô 10ô Miranda R 119.60 19å17 ¨Kee¬ Cause to Action L 2 118 3 8 11Ç11ô 11¦ô12 11¦ô Santana R Jr 59.00 29å17 ¦¦CD¤ Royal Edition L b 2 118 8 6 5§ 5¦ô 7¦ 11¨ô 12 McMahon C 102.40 OFF AT2:29 StartGood. Won driving. Course yielding. TIME :23¨, :48¨, 1:14§, 1:41¦, 1:54© ( :23.74, :48.67, 1:14.54, 1:41.33, 1:54.85 ) $2 Mutuel Prices: 4 -VIOLENT STORM 16.00 6.60 3.60 9 -FUNNY DUCK 5.60 3.40 1 -HONEY DONT 2.60 $2 EXACTA 4-9 PAID $69.60 $2 TRIFECTA 4-9-1 PAID $283.40 $1 SUPERFECTA 4-9-1-12 PAID $444.40 Ch. g, (Feb), byViolence - Oblige , by Bernardini . Trainer Walsh Brendan P. Bred byMike G Rutherford (Ky). VIOLENT STORM settled off of the hedge, wheeled out seven wide entering the stretch, closed with a rush and was up in the final strides. FUNNY DUCK tucked in to save ground, took closer order on the second turn, angled out and loomed 5w, kicked on well but was unable to resist the winner. HONEY DONT contended along the inside, shifted out entering the stretch, but flattened between horses. RARE FORM stalked the pace three deep, launched a bold bid entering the stretch, forged command nearing the furlong marker, but weakened during the drive and gave way. COME ON DOVER was allowed to settle, ranged up five wide tomake his bid, but faltered entering the stretch and faded. NEVERQUITDREAMINGpressed the pace, gained command with three furlongs to run, disputed the issue to the final furlong and tired. SUPER FACTOR set the pace along the inside, was headed after six furlong and gave way. CALLMECASH was allowed to settle fivewide but failed to make headway. SKYDERE passed only the tiring ones. LITTLEKANSAS showed little. CAUSE TO ACTION saved ground to no avail. ROYAL EDITIONcontended between horses to the second turn and stopped. Owners- 1, New Direction Racing 2016;2, Calumet Farm;3, Clarke Harvey A;4, Churchill Downs Racing Club;5, Walking L Thoroughbreds;6, Rojas Jackie and Scherr Wayne;7, Bruder Michael J;8, McIngvale James;9, Spooky Hollow Racing Inc;10, Ritter Andrew C and Barnett Debbie;11, McCarty Mike;12, Maloof Phillip and Lukas D Wayne Trainers- 1, Walsh Brendan P;2, Arnold George R II;3, Mott William I;4, Romans Dale;5, McPeek Kenneth G;6, Hartman Chris A;7, Tomlinson Michael A;8, Wohlers Laura;9, Langemeier John L;10, Barnett Bobby C;11, Asmussen Steven M;12, Lukas

CONGRATULATIONS TO NEW DIRECTION RACING AND A SPECIAL THANKS TO ARCHIE FOR INVITING ME AND SPANKY TO THE WINNER'S CIRCLE TO BE PART OF THE OFFICIAL PHOTO OF THE WINNER, FLORENT AND THE OWNERS. 


Hear the entire broadcast from Saturday here:  HANDICAPPING HEROES REBROADCAST 11/25/17


FINAL SEQUENCE STANDINGS: 

ARCHIE -- 405
SCOTT   -- 350
PAULIE  -- 346


We thank you for following us this year and we'll be back in the spring with the radio show and selections. Check back here occasionally, as we'll post articles and results of some big races and follow the early road to Kentucky Derby 2018.   


paulie

Saturday, November 25, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- SELECTIONS FOR 11/25/17



Today the Handicappers present their final selections for the year. They'll take on the challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs, which includes two big Stakes races and a platoon of two year old runners. Let's see what they got! 




RACE 9 

PAULIE

6 - Monomoy Girl
5 - Road To Victory
4 - Sultry
3 - Dessert Honeys

ARCHIE

6 - Monomoy Girl
4 - Sultry
5 - Road To Victory
10 - Kelly's Humor

SCOTT

6 - Monomoy Girl
4 - Sultry
10 - Kelly's Humor
11 - FoxtrotSally


RACE 10 

PAULIE

6 - Mr. Recio
3 - Ebben
11 - Jersey Justice
7 - Title Ready

ARCHIE

11 - Jersey Justice
6 - Mr. Recio
7 - Title Ready
3 - Ebben

SCOTT

8 - Oskar Blues
6 - Mr. Recio
3 - Ebben
2 - Dreamer's Point

RACE 11 

PAULIE

11 - Quip
5 - Givemeaminit
1 - Gotta Go
2 - Diamond King

ARCHIE

6 - Entice
5 - Givemeaminit
12 - Tiz Mischief
11 - Quip

SCOTT

1 - Gotta Go
11 - Quip
12 - Tis Mischief
13 - Lone Sailor

RACE 12 

PAULIE

8 - Victory Lane
3 - Sandville
4 - Tapitor
7 - Mojo Man

ARCHIE

8 - Victory Lane
7 - Mojo Man
5 - Wilderness Gate
1 - Tweeter in Chief

SCOTT

8 - Victory Lane
5 - Wilderness Gate
10 - Enjoy the Journey
7 - Mojo Man

  BEST BET

PAULIE -- #6 Monomoy Girl -- Race 9
ARCHIE -- #6 Monomoy Girl -- Race 9
SCOTT -- #6 Monomoy Girl -- Race 9 


VALUE PLAY

PAULIE -- #11 Quip -- Race 11
ARCHIE -- #5 Wilderness Girl -- Race 12
SCOTT -- #11 Quip -- Race 11


TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE 

PAULIE -- Florent Geroux
ARCHIE -- Florent Geroux
SCOTT -- Florent Geroux


We thank you for reading this year and listening to HANDICAPPING HEROES on WCHQ 100.9 www.wchqfm.com. The show today airs at noon. 

We'll be back tomorrow to recap how we did and...from Scott, Archie and myself...Good racing luck and win some money, honey! 

Paulie

Sunday, November 19, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- RESULTS FROM 11/19/17



The Handicappers met the challenge of the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs yesterday. The weather played a role on their picks, there were scratches and sloppy conditions after the 8th race for the dirt runners and the featured 10th race was taken off the grass and moved to the dirt surface. 

Here's how it went: 

ARCHIE, after scratches, ended up with 12 trying the track. Of those, he had three winners and two places. He had an exacta. His best bet of the day, Dona Bruja, scratched. His value play Absolute Love, ran second. He did hit on his top jock, Corey Lanerie, in Race 11. Archie ends up with 25 points.


PAULIE ended up with 14 runners breaking from the gate. Of those, he had three winners, two seconds and one show. He also had an exacta that paid quite well. His best bet of the day Linda did not win, his value play The Great Generation came up short also but his top jock of the sequence Brian Hernandez, Jr won on Mythical Tale. Paulie finishes second on the day with 26 points.  


SCOTT had 15 horses go for the money. He saw three of them win, three run second and one finish third. Scott hit two exactas. His best bet of the day, Neapolitan, won. His value play, Cara Blythe, finished second and he had Corey Lanerie as his top jock of the sequence...who won on Neapolitan. Scott takes the day with 40 points. 

Individually, the Handicappers had no Pick 3's or Pick 4's but if you had combined their picks...you would have spent $250 on the Pick 4 and $50 on each Pick 3 and taken the four race sequence and both Pick 3's down. I know, a lot to invest, but tickets that you could have taken to the window to cash out. As Scott is fond of saying, we can give you winners but we can't fix the payouts. WE GIVE YOU WINNERS AT HANDICAPPING HEROES AND WE DO IT EACH WEEK. 

CUMULATIVE TOTALS

ARCHIE -- 383
SCOTT -- 338
PAULIE -- 332


paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, November 18, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES - CHURCHILL DOWNS -- SELECTIONS FOR 11/18/17


The Handicappers have studied the form and analyzed the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs today (Races 8-11) and have done the best they can to give you solid picks, a few surprises and hopefully, a lot of winners today. Let's see what they've come up with: 


RACE 8 - MILE 2 YR. OLD FILLIES - MD SP WT  $60,000

SCOTT

12 - SHE'S A GYPSY
3 - LET'S ROLL
2 - ABSOLUTE LOVE
4 - TIZ A LEGACY

PAULIE 

12 - SHE'S A GYPSY
7 - PORTRAIT OF EMMA
3 - LET'S ROLL
1 - LA DAME BLANCHE

ARCHIE 

2 - ABSOLUTE LOVE
12 - SHE'S A GYPSY
4 - TIZ A LEGACY
11 - CURUZU 


RACE 9 - 6 1/2 FURLONGS 3 YR OLDS + OCLM  $62,500

SCOTT

5 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
7 - CARA BLYTHE
3 - RING KNOCKER
4 - IT'S THE TRUTH

PAULIE

3 - RING KNOCKER
5 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
1 - BREAKING BREAD
8 - MYTHICAL TALE

ARCHIE

5 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
1 - BREAKING BREAD
3 - RING KNOCKER
4 - IT'S THE TRUTH


RACE 10 - 1 1/8 MILE (TURF) CARDINAL HANDICAP - GRADE III  $100,OOO

SCOTT 

12 - DONA BRUJA
2 - TRICKY ESCAPE
9 - LINDA
5 - WEEP NO MORE

PAULIE 

9 - LINDA
10 - FAIR POINT
12 - DONA BRUJA
4 - LA PIBA

ARCHIE

12 - DONA BRUJA
7 - BEAULY
2 - TRICKY ESCAPE
9 - LINDA


RACE 11 - 6 FURLONGS MAIDEN $12,500

SCOTT

8 - NEAPOLITAN
2 - DR LEE
1 - REAL DISCOUNT
7 - OATER

PAULIE 

8 - NEAPOLITAN
3 - POLAR BEAR
1 - REAL DISCOUNT
9 - THE GREAT GENERATION 

ARCHIE 

8 - NEAPOLITAN
1 - REAL DISCREET
3 - POLAR BEAR
7 - OATER




BEST BET

SCOTT - #8 NEAPOLITAN - RACE 11
PAULIE - #9 LINDA - RACE 10
ARCHIE - #12 DONA BRUJA - RACE 10

VALUE PLAY

SCOTT - #7 CARA BLYTHE - RACE 9
PAULIE - #9 THE GREAT GENERATION - RACE 11
ARCHIE - #2 ABSOLUTE LOVE - RACE 8 

TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE 

SCOTT - COREY LANERIE
PAULIE - BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR
ARCHIE - COREY LANERIE


Be sure to catch the HANDICAPPING HEROES broadcast Saturday at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM for more detailed explanations on the Handicappers' selections or listen at: 

www.crescenthillradio.com

DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP AT THE WEBSITE AND TAKE THE STATION WITH YOU WHEREVER YOU GO! 


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, November 12, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- RESULTS FOR 11/11/17


The Handicappers went after the Late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday and were successful in hitting it. They also hit both Pick 3's in the sequence and you would have made a lot of money on Saturday if you had been betting the guys' picks! 

Let see how they did! 


SCOTT selected 16 horses for the four race sequence. Of those, he had four winners, three seconds and one third. Give Scott the Pick 4, both Pick 3's and three exactas. He also connected on his top jock of the sequence Corey Lanerie who won a race in the sequence and his Best Bet Still Chief in the seventh race A very good day and second place for Scootin' Scott with 55 points.  

ARCHIE also sent forth 16 runners and had four winners, three seconds and a show. He nailed the Pick 4, both Pick 3's and hit three exactas and a trifecta. His Best Bet of the Day Mr. Misunderstood won the featured 10th race. Archie with a very nice day of handicapping


SCOTT selected 16 horses for the four race sequence. Of those, he had four winners, three seconds and one third. Give Scott the Pick 4, both Pick 3's and three exactas. He also connected on his top jock of the sequence Corey Lanerie who won a race in the sequence and his Best Bet Still Chief in the seventh race was a winner, too! A very good day and second place for Scootin' Scott with 55 points.


PAULIE provided 16 thoroughbreds for consideration. He had four winners, four seconds and one third. He hit the Pick 4, both Pick 3's and scored on four exactas, a trifecta and a superfecta. His Best Bet of the Day was also Mr. Misunderstood who won. Paulie wins the day with 56 points. 

With payouts like  $191.50, $187.90, $80.40, $72.80 and $65.30 on $1 wagers, you would have been rolling "in the money" by following the Handicappers yesterday.

You can hear the replay of the show at: HANDICAPPING HEROES 11/11/17 BROADCAST

Cumulative Totals:

ARCHIE -- 358
PAULIE -- 307
SCOTT -- 298


paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, November 11, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES - CHURCHILL DOWNS PICKS FOR 11/11/17 --



The Handicappers chase a challenging Late Pick 4 at Churchill today beginning in Race 8. They had a bit of success Saturday in taking down the Pick 4 in a five-man syndicate that got them $125 back each on a $32 per man investment. Here's their picks: 


RACE 8 -- 6 1/2 Furlongs  Claiming $5000


PAULIE

4 - Pea Shooter Pro
11 - Nite of the Hunter
7 - Still Chief
12 - Read The Cards

ARCHIE 

7 - Still Chief
12 - Read The Cards
4 - Pea Shooter Pro
11 - Nite of the Hunter

SCOTT

7 - Still Chief
11 - Nite of the Hunter
4 - Pea Shooter Pro
3 - Rod McCloud


RACE 9 -- Mile and Sixteenth -- Maiden $60,000

PAULIE

10 -Tapsolute
5 - Fireball Shot
1 - Such A Tease
2 - Run Tappy 

ARCHIE

10 - Tapsolute
5 - Fireball Shot
2 - Run Tappy
1 - Such A Tease

SCOTT

10 - Tapsolute
1 - Such A Tease
5 - Fireball Shot
2 - Run Tappy



RACE 10 --  MILE and sixteenth (TURF) -- Commonwealth Turf Grade III - $100,000


PAULIE

3 - Mr. Cub
4 - Parlor
5 - Gorgeous Kitten
6 - Mr. Misunderstood

ARCHIE

6 - Mr. Misunderstood
7 - Tiz A Slam
5 - Gorgeous Kitten
8 - Giant Payday

SCOTT

6 - Mr. Misunderstood
2 - Mr. Cub
8 - Giant Payday
7 - Tiz A Slam


RACE 11 -- MILE and Sixteenth -- Maiden Claiming $10,000


PAULIE

6 - Awesome Gal
5 - Hopeful Joy
12 - Susie's Daddy
1 -Greely and Ariana

ARCHIE

6 - Awesome Gal
12 - Susie's Daddy
7 - Filly Madison
5 - Hopeful Joy

SCOTT

6 - Awesome Gal
12 - Susie's Daddy
5 - Hopeful Joy
1 - Greely and Ariana 


BEST BET OF THE DAY

PAULIE - #6 Mr. Misunderstood - Race 10
ARCHIE - #6 Mr. Misunderstood - Race 10
SCOTT - #7 Still Chief - Race 8 

VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 

PAULIE - #2 Run Tappy - Race 9
ARCHIE - #2 Run Tappy - Race 9
SCOTT - #3 Mr. Cub - Race 10

TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE - Joe Rocco
ARCHIE - Robby Albarado
SCOTT  - Corey Lanerie


For a more detailed description of these picks, be sure to catch the HANDICAPPING HEROES Radio Show today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM and streaming live on the internet at www.wchqfm.com - HANDICAPPING HEROES BROADCAST.

You can download the WCHQ app at the site and take us with you wherever you go! 

WIN SOME MONEY HONEY TODAY! 


paulie
xxxxx


Sunday, November 5, 2017

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SATURDAY BREEDERS CUP RESULTS AT DEL MAR 11/4/17



The Handicappers took on the nine race Breeders Cup on Saturday and had some ups and downs at the Del Mar Race Course. It was a wacky day of racing...with some huge upsets, favorites getting dusted and humongous payouts on multi-race wagers and trifectas. It also gave Gun Runner the chance to prove he is the best horse of 2017 and he did it convincingly....going wire to wire in the Classic! If you're a "numbers" player...the #5 horse won four of the nine races. The favorites fared badly in the nine-race sequence...the only one to win was World Approval in the ninth. 

Here's how the Handicappers did: 

ARCHIE discussed 36 horses in the nine race sequence. Of those, ten hit the board. He had two winners, two places and six shows. He had an exacta and trifecta in the sequence. ARCHIE FINISHES WITH 21 POINTS. 

SCOTT also gave us 36 chances. 13 of those made the payout list. Three firsts, four seconds and six thirds. He had the final race exacta and trifecta. SCOTT ENDS UP IN SECOND PLACE ON THE DAY WITH 27 POINTS. 

PAULIE put 36 runners out as possibles. He had 13 of those finish in the money. Paulie had four winners, three seconds and six thirds. He also had the Classic exacta and trifecta. PAULIE WINS THE DAY WITH 29 POINTS. 

AN INTERESTING angle is to put $2 to win on each of the horses you like. In this case, it would have cost you $72 to play each Handicappers pick in the nine races. (9x4x2) . For Paulie, it would have returned $62.60. I would have taken just a $10 loss on the day --compared to how it actually fared for me. 

You can hear the 52 minute rebroadcast of our predictions in the archives at WCHQ 100.9 FM. Go to the Handicapping Heroes 11/4/17 replay at: 

www.crescenthillradio.com

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2017-11-04


CUMULATIVE STANDINGS:

Archie 310
Paulie  251
Scott   243


paulie