Archie surrounded by guys he owes money to at an obviously warmer place than Louisville, KY

Archie surrounded by guys he owes money to at an obviously warmer place than Louisville, KY
PICTURE OF THE WEEK -- Handicapping Hero Archie Karel up to his usual nonsense.

Sunday, November 11, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS LATE PICK 4 -- 11/10/18



The Handicappers went after the late Pick 4 and Archie Karel took it down! Great efforts, as well, by both Paulie and Hollywood as well in the Race 8-11 sequence under the Twin Spires on their Saturday picks.

Here's how the handicappers did:

HOLLYWOOD saw 15 of his 16 picks break from the gate, suffering one scratch. He gave out three winners, two seconds and a third. Chalk him up for an exacta as well. That's a 40% "in the money" percentage. HOLLYWOOD SCORES 16 POINTS ON THE DAY. 

PAULIE picked 16 horses in the four race sequence and all competed. He had three of the four winners, two places and two shows. Credit him with an exacta, trifecta, superfecta and the late Pick 3. He ended up with a 50% "in the money" percentage. PAULIE PUTS UP AN IMPRESSIVE 29 POINTS ON THE DAY'S PICKS...good for second place.

ARCHIE'S 16 radio and website selections all went to the post. He handed out four winners, two seconds and a third.. He also cashed in on two exactas, both Pick 3's and the late Pick 4 ! A VERY GOOD DAY FOR ARCHIE, WHO TAKES THE CONTEST WITH 31 POINTS. 

We've said it so many times here and once again, it comes to fruition. We give you winners here at Handicapping Heroes! Pick 4's that return almost $400.00 on 50 cent wagers. 10 cent superfectas that bring back almost $100. Nice exactas and trifectas. And winners!  

HEAR THE REBROADCAST HERE:  HANDICAPPING HEROES 11/10/18 BROADCAST

CUMULATIVE STANDINGS


PAULIE                 279
ARCHIE                258
HOLLYWOOD      228



paulie
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Saturday, November 10, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR CHURCHILL DOWNS LATE PICK 4 -- 11/10/18


The Handicappers test their skills on a variety of races at a chilly Churchill Downs on this Saturday Late Pick 4 sequence in the Fall Meet. Favorites have been far from a sure thing at the Twin Spires track as of late and today's card presents a few difficult challenges. Still, we go on. We had a great two days of Breeders Cup picks and hope to stay "on that roll" today!


RACE 8 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $62,500 -- 6 FURLONGS


ARCHIE

1 -CURATE
4 - THIRD DAY
7 - SPIKES SHIRL
5 - TOTALLY BOSS

PAULIE

1 - CURATE
3 - LASTING LEGACY
4 - THIRD DAY
5 - TOTALLY BOSS

HOLLYWOOD

1 - CURATE
5 - TOTALLY BOSS
3 - LASTING LEGACY
7 - SPIKES SHIRL 


RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $75,000 -- 7 FURLONGS

ARCHIE 

2 - CLASSY JOHN
8 - NITROUS
5 - HOG CREEK HUSTLE
4 - P H FACTOR


PAULIE

8 - NITROUS
5 - HOG CREEK HUSTLE
7 - CHASE GREATNESS
2 - CLASSY JOHN

HOLLYWOOD

2 - CLASSY JOHN
7 - CHASE GREATNESS
8 - NITROUS
4 - P H FACTOR


RACE 10 -- COMMONWEALTH TURF STAKES (GIII) $100,000 --1-1/16TH MILE (TURF)

ARCHIE

4 - MARCH TO THE ARCH
7 - HOT SPRINGS
1 - RERIDE
3 - SNIPER KITTEN

PAULIE 

7 - HOT SPRINGS
1 - RERIDE
4 - MARCH TO THE ARCH
3 - SNIPER KITTEN

HOLLYWOOD

4 - MARCH TO THE ARCH
7 - HOT SPRINGS
2 - MARZO
1 - RERIDE


RACE 11 --  CLAIMING $30,000 -- 7 FURLONGS

ARCHIE

9 - HONOR WITH PRIDE
8 - DIAL ME
3 - TAYLOR'S PRINCESS
5 - ORBELINA

PAULIE 

8 - DIAL ME
9 - HONOR WITH PRIDE
4 - HER KITTY
10 - NORTH PRINCESS

HOLLYWOOD

9 - HONOR WITH PRIDE
12 - TRIVAL
3 - TAYLOR'S PRINCESS
8 - DIAL ME


Be sure to listen to HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM for a more detailed explanations on the guys' picks. Or, you can download the app from the station site www.wchqfm.com or listen live at the site! 

GOOD LUCK TODAY and remember our motto: WE WANT TO SEE THE HORSES WE PICKED FINISH IN FRONT OF THOSE WE DIDN'T PICK !!


paulie
xxxxx



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Sunday, November 4, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM SATURDAY'S BREEDERS CUP -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- 11/3/18



The Handicappers applied their skills toward the Saturday late Pick 4 at Churchill for Saturday's Breeders Cup action and walked away from it hitting it. It was a bit "chalky" from races 8 through 11 but...a winner is a winner and these horses have no idea what their odds are. Hollywood tells us he handicaps without looking at the odds and that worked for him yesterday. 

Let's look at how Archie, Paulie and Hollywood did: 

ARCHIE provided us with 16 horses over the four race sequence and, out of those, he had three winners, a second and two thirds. He also hit the late Pick 3. His "in the money" percentage was 37.5%. ARCHIE finishes the day with 16 points. 

PAULIE put out 16 runners who he thought would fare well at Churchill. He scored three winners, two places and two shows. He also hit an exacta and the late Pick 3. His "in the money" percentage" was 43%. PAULIE hits the clubhouse turn with 20 points. 

HOLLYWOOD fared the best of the three yesterday. He had all four winners in the four race sequence, and a second. He also picked up an exacta. His "in the money" percentage was 32%. Add the fact that he had both Pick 3's and the Pick 4 in the sequence and HOLLYWOOD ends up with a day-winning 26 points. 

Although the glitz, glamour and exorbitant pricing has gone from Churchill now that Breeders Cup has ended their two-day show, racing continues on at the Twin Spires with the rest of the Fall meet. We'll ride it out with them here at Handicapping Heroes!  

CUMULATIVE POINTS TOTAL

PAULIE             250
ARCHIE            227
HOLLYWOOD    212


YOU CAN HEAR YESTERDAY'S REBROADCAST AT THE LINK BELOW: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES SATURDAY BREEDERS CUP SELECTIONS



paulie
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Saturday, November 3, 2018

SATURDAY BREEDERS CUP -- FRIDAY RESULTS -- SATURDAY PICKS -- 11/3/18




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FRIDAY RESULTS

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The Handicappers took on races 5-9 yesterday at Churchill Downs and the Breeders Cup The Friday Card was a tough one. They took down the late Pick 4, though, and a couple of Pick 3's. We'll look at how they did before we get to their Saturday Late Pick 4 selections. 


ARCHIE had 18 of his 20 selections start. Out of those, he had three winners, two seconds and a third. That's a 33% "in the money" percentage. Credit him for one exacta also. ARCHIE scores 16 points yesterday


HOLLYWOOD also had 18 of his 20 picks run in the five races. He successfully picked four winners and a second in the five races. That is a 27% "in the money" percentage. He also hit an exacta. He nailed two Pick 3's and the late pick 4 also. A good showing for Hollywood with 26 points. 
 
PAULIE, too, had 18 horses try the distances, with one scratch. Out of those, he had four winners., a second and two third place finishes. He picked one exacta, both Pick 3's and the late Pick 4. PAULIE takes the day's competition with 28 points. 

CUMULATIVE TOTALS

PAULIE  230
ARCHIE  211
HOLLYWOOD  186


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SATURDAY SELECTIONS


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RACE 8 -- MILE -- 1 MILE (TURF) 

PAULIE

5 - OSCAR PERFORMANCE
8 - I CAN FLY
10 - CATAPULT
12 - ANALYZE IT

ARCHIE

2 - NEXT SHARES
10 - CATAPULT
12 - ANALYZE IT
5 - OSCAR PERFORMANCE

HOLLYWOOD

5 - OSCAR PERFORMANCE
1 ONE MASTER
2 - NEXT SHARES
7 - EXPERT EYE



RACE 9 -- DISTAFF -- 1-1/8TH MILE (DIRT) 

PAULIE 

11 - MONOMOY GIRL
2 - ABEL TASMAN
10 - BLUE PRIZE
9 - WOWCAT

ARCHIE

11 - MONOMOY GIRL
2 - ABEL TASMAN
7 - MIDNIGHT BISOU
10 - BLUE PRIZE

HOLLYWOOD

11 - MONOMOY GIRL
10 - BLUE PRIZE
1 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
2 - ABEL TASMAN


RACE 10 -- TURF -- 1-1/2 MILE (TURF) 

PAULIE

2 - ENABLE
3 - CHANNEL MAKER
10 - HI HAPPY
11 - SADLER'S JOY

ARCHIE 

2 - ENABLE
7 - GLORIOUS EMPIRE
12 - WALDGEIST
3 - CHANNEL MAKER

HOLLYWOOD

2 - ENABLE
12 - WALDGEIST
6 - ARKLOW
5 - MAGICAL


RACE 11 - CLASSIC -- 1-1/4TH MILE (DIRT) 

PAULIE

3 - CATHOLIC BOY
14 - ACCELERATE
7 - WEST COAST
11 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS

ARCHIE

7 - WEST COAST
11 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
14 - ACCELERATE
8 - PAVEL

HOLLYWOOD

11 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
14 - ACCELERATE
3 - CATHOLIC BOY
6 - MCKINZIE



Be sure to catch today's HANDICAPPING HEROES broadcast on WCHQ 100.9 FM at noon today. You can listen also on the website www.wchqfm.com or download the app on the WCHQ homepage and take the station with you wherever you go! 

GOOD LUCK TODAY AND MAY YOUR PICKS FINISH IN FRONT OF THE ONES YOU DIDN'T PICK! 


PAULIE
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Thursday, November 1, 2018

FRIDAY BREEDERS CUP SELECTIONS --11/2/18 -- CHURCHILL DOWNS


Breeders Cup Friday!

We're rarin and ready to go as we tackle ALL five of the Breeders Cup races at the Twin Spires
on what looks to be a wet track at Churchill.  .

HERE'S THE AUDIO:

ARCHIE KAREL'S SELECTIONS

HOLLYWOOD'S SELECTIONS

PAULIE'S SELECTIONS




RACE 5 -- JUVENILE TURF SPRINT -- 5 1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)

ARCHIE

2 - SOLDIER'S CALL
3 - WELL DONE FOX
7 - SHANG SHANG SHANG
8 - SERGEI PROKOFIEW 

HOLLYWOOD

7 - SHANG SHANG SHANG
16 - LEGENDS OF WAR
1 - STRIKE SILVER
11 - QUEEN OF BERMUDA

PAULIE
8 - SERGEI PROKOFIEW
2 - SOLDIER'S CALL
10 - SO PERFECT
7 - SHANG SHANG SHANG


RACE 6 -- JUVENILE FILLIES TURF -- 1 MILE (TURF)

ARCHIE 

6 - NEWSPAPEROFRECORD
1 - CONCRETE ROSE
10 - PAKHET
3 - LILY'S CANDLE

HOLLYWOOD

6 - NEWSPAPEROFRECORD
1 - CONCRETE ROSE
12 - SUMMERING
4 - JUST WONDERFUL

PAULIE

6 - NEWSPAPEROFRECORD
3 - LILY'S CANDLE
1 - CONCRETE ROSE
10 - PAKHET


RACE 7 - JUVENILE FILLIES -- 1-1/16TH MILE (DIRT) 

ARCHIE

10 - BELLAFINA
2 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
4 - RESTLESS RIDER
7 - JAYWALK

HOLLYWOOD

10 - BELLAFINA
4 - RESTLESS RIDER
7 - JAYWALK
2- SERENGETI EMPRESS

PAULIE

10 - BELLAFINA
4 - RESTLESS RIDER
7 - JAYWALK
2 - SERENGETI EMPRESS

RACE 8 - JUVENILE TURF -- 1 MILE (TURF) 

ARCHIE

12 - CURRENT
14 - ANTHONY VAN DYCK
6 - HENLEY'S JOY
2 - UNCLE BENNY

HOLLYWOOD

6 - HENLEY'S JOY
5 - LINE OF DUTY
12 - CURRENT
1 - ARTHUR KITT

PAULIE

7 - SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN
14 - ANTHONY VAN DYCK
4 - FORTY UNDER
5 - LINE OF DUTY


RACE 9 - JUVENILE -- 1-16TH MILE (DIRT) 

ARCHIE

6 - COMPLEXITY
9 - GAME WINNER
12 - GUNMETAL GREY
11 - CODE OF HONOR

HOLLYWOOD

7 - MIND CONTROL
5 - WELL DEFINED
9 - GAME WINNER
1 - DUELING

PAULIE

9 - GAME WINNER
6 - COMPLEXITY
8 - STANDARD DEVIATION
11 - CODE OF HONOR

Best of luck today!


Paulie
xxxxx




HANDICAPPING HEROES -- THURSDAY -- The owners, trainers and jockeys

Horse racing is a four part collaboration. Obviously, you have to have the horse...but the owner, trainer and jockey of the horse are as equally important. Breeders Cup brings in to Churchill the best of all four in the world for the two day event.

Who are some of the owners, trainers and jockeys to keep an eye on? Let's take a look:

OWNERS

In Friday's card alone, look at this list of well-noted and successful owners. John C.Oxley, Ken and Sarah Ramsey, Winstar Farm and China Hourse Club LLC, Phoenix Thoroughbreds, Qatar Racing Limited, Ashbrook Farms and BBN Racing, Michael Tabor, Godolphin, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Kaleem Shah, Three Chimneys Farm, Team Valor and Gary Barber, Michael Stidham, Winchell Thoroughbreds, Gary and Mary West, W.S. Farish, West Point Thoroughbreds, The Churchill Downs Racing Club, Michael Dubb... And that just scratches the surface.

Godolphin and Team Valor/Gary Barber look to have several very good runners going on Friday. The owner game is complex and multi-layered. Picking a good sire and dam. Knowing where to invest, where to run and under what conditions. Making sure that the horses you own are in great surrounding during their formative years and selecting the right trainer. The owners are the ones who get the ball rolling, of course, since they produce the two-year old that needs to be trained and eventually ridden. An investment of money, time and strategy. All in the hopes of having a successful horse that produces a nice return on investment. That can eventually go to the breeding shed and command top dollar for services.

Being an owner of anything is difficult, filled with responsibility, but...hopefully profitable and rewarding. What established names will hit the winner's circle with their horses? How many "new kids on the block" will be there as well?

TRAINERS

A very important role and process in horse racing involves the trainer. You know these names: Bob Baffert, Mark Casse, Norm Casse, Tom Amoss, Dale Romans, Bill Mott, Brad Cox, Wesley Ward, Todd Pletcher, Aidan O'Brien, Graham Motion, Roger Attifield, Tom Proctor, Ken McPeek, Keith Desormeaux, Doug O'Neil, Gary Contessa, John Servis, Jason Servis, Simon Callaghan, Mike Maker, Steve Asmussen, D. Wayne Lukas, Chad Brown, Ben Colebrook and Shug McGaughey.  A few of the many who have descended upon Churchill.

I look for Baffert, Maker, O'Brien, Amoss, Brown and Ward to have big Fridays.

A trainer is the middleman between owner and jockey/horse...plus so much more. He's the spokesman, the hero or goat. He takes this trust the owner has in him, takes the horses and does his best to get the horse ready to compete successfully. He finds that "right guy" to ride and he puts in long hours every day ensuring his "barn" of runners are healthy, fed, rested and maintained.

How many of the "known and established" will be standing there with their horse in the winners circle. How many "who is that guy?" counterparts will be doing the same.

It is not an easy job by far. But, it is a task of love and devotion to the racing game. As a trainer told me recently..."I wake in the morning and I see the moon on my drive in to the track, while most of you are sleeping. That moon greets me on the way home, also...after most of you have gone to bed."


JOCKEYS

A good jockey can be the difference between first or second. And Churchill has the best of the best in town to try and get to that winners' circle. The Ortiz brothers Jose and Irad, Mike Smith, Corey Lanerie, Brian Hernandez, Jr, John Velasquez, Julian Leparoux, Javier Castellano, Tyler Gaffalione, Joel Rosario, Flavien Prat, Manny Franco, Florent Geroux and a wide range of English and European jockeys that we're not quite as familiar with.

I think Rosario, the Ortiz brothers, Velasquez, and Leparoux are set up for potential "Good Fridays"
but don't count out the jocks coming in from across the ocean,

Jockeys receive instructions based on how a horse likes to run but sometimes those instructions get altered or changed on the track during the race because of conditions and happenings. Speed horses don't always get to the lead. Closers can run into traffic problems. Many other factors that can present themselves in that minute to two minutes of actual running and very little or no time to dally or hesitate on making the decision. .

A semi-famous jockey told me years ago: " I get the trainer's orders, I break from the gate and try to  fulfill them. It's a partnership between me and the horse.  I've never personally physically carried one across the wire, but I've sure driven and encouraged quite a few to try and get there first. "

We'll be back tomorrow morning with our five-race Friday picks.


paulie
xxxxx




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Wednesday, October 31, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- Breeders Cup week -- Wednesday -- Horses to watch. in Classic, Mile and Juvenile Turf Sprint


Yes, Breeders Cup comes to Churchill Downs this week and we're expanding our coverage here at HANDICAPPING HEROES starting today. There will be articles here today through Sunday and here's what we have in store for you:

TODAY --  Horses in three races Paulie thinks you should consider.

THURSDAY -- Thoughts on trainers and who they're bringing to Churchill

FRIDAY -- Our picks and audio for the five Friday Breeders Cup races

SATURDAY -- Who we like in the Breeders Cup Day Late Pick 4

SUNDAY -- Recap and review.

So, with 14 races over two days, there is a lot of ground to cover. The best of the best. All ages, different distances, different surfaces. I thought I'd look at horses, from three different races, who just might warrant your attention.

IN THE CLASSIC

Catholic Boy. The 3-year-old multi-surface talent flourished this summer, reeling off three straight graded stakes wins in a span of less than three months, including the Grade 1 Belmont Derby on turf and the Grade 1 Travers at the Classic distance. Not much chatter surrounding the bay ridgling as he’s facing older males for the first time, but is he that much far off? He looked strong in his 5-furlong work (1:01.02) Sunday at Churchill Downs. An overlooked upset candidate? We'll take 8-1. 


IN THE JUVENILE TURF SPRINT

Aidan O'Brian is loaded for bear in the opening race of the Breeder Cup five races, the "Future Stars Friday".  He will send a pair of talented European-based turf runners. Among them is group 3 winner Sergei Prokofiev, a son of the late Scat Daddy. As a counterpart to the colt, O'Brien has also entered So Perfect, a Scat Daddy filly and fellow group 3 winner who finished second against males—a half-length behind the winner—in the Aug. 12 Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (G1) at Newmarket. Don't be surprised if both "hit the board" and give him a exacta finish. With 6-1 on Sergei and 12-1 morning line odds on So Perfect, a great chance to hit "sumthin' big". 


THE SATURDAY SPRINT

If you're going to the Saturday Breeders Cup races, don't forget the limo. Not the chauffeured-driven kind, (although that'd be nice). We're talking about morning line 6-1 runner LIMOUSINE LIBERAL , who will break from the gate for owner Katherine Ball, trainer Ben Colebrook and have Jose Ortiz on his back. 

While, for whatever reason, Keeneland has proven to be an unlucky host to Limousine Liberal, the other big track in the Commonwealth has proven to be his own friendly confines. In eight lifetime races under the iconic Twin Spires, he has six wins, while just missing in another. Making that stat line all the more impressive is the fact that he comes to this year's edition of the Sprint having won five straight at Churchill Downs, and all of them were stakes races. You wanna give us 6-1 on this "horse for the course?" Yep, we'll accept. 



paulie
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