Sunday, August 13, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from Arlington 8/12/17


The Handicappers tackled the late Pick 4 at Arlington and, although they didn't bring it down...they did have a good deal of success with nailing the late Pick 3 and providing some very profitable exacta and trifecta suggestions. Here how it shook out:

ARCHIE had eight of his sixteen picks finish in the money. Two winners, three seconds and three thirds for him. He also had an exacta in the final leg. His Best Bet Keystonetovictory ran third, his Value Play Grand Jete also ran third . His top jock of the sequence Julian Leparoux failed to win, though, in the four race sequence. ARCHIE FINISHES THE DAY WITH 17 POINTS. 

PAULIE saw nine of his sixteen picks draw money. He finished with two winners, three seconds and four thirds. Give him two exactas and two trifectas on the day as well. His Best Bet Deauville finished a disappointing third, his Value Play Ghost Hunter did not hit the board and his top jock of the sequence was also Julian Leparoux...so no cigar there. PAULIE FINISHES SECOND ON THE DAY WITH 26 POINTS. 

SCOTT got seven of his sixteen suggestions on the tote board. Three won, three placed and one showed. He scored on two exactas and two trifectas...plus nailing the late Pick 3. His Best Bet Dona Bruja ran second. His Value Play Sensitive failed to hit the board but his top jock of the sequence was Irad Ortiz, Jr. who won on Dacita in the 10th race. SCOTT WINS THE DAY WITH 33 POINTS.

Leparoux was disappointing on the day with just one third place finish and three out-of-the-money rides. Postulation surprised us all in the opening sequence (Race 9) with a win. A shipper from Delaware...maybe we should have considered his six length win in a 50k stakes race up there last out....but, honestly, there were better horses to choose from and the horse was 1 for 6 since last summer and beaten by Bullards Alley and Ghost Hunter...runners on yesterday's card. Sometimes, it can be the jockey change...J.A. Vargas, Jr. hopped on board for the first time. He came in from Parx to ride and it was one of two mounts he had on the day.  Veteran DRF handicapper Marcus Hersh did make Postulation his top pick in the race...

The winning jockeys in the sequence (Vargas, Joel Rosario, Miguel Mena and Irad Ortiz) all shipped in from other tracks and don't regularly ride at Arlington.

Check these numbers out. $1 exacta pays $71.80. .50 cent trifecta returning $173.45. Pick 3 gets you $295.25 on the .50 cent wager. All profit makers, all enough to make you a winner on the day and all available here....FREE...at Handicapping Heroes.

CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

Paulie -- 360
Archie -- 325
Scott -- 286

To hear yesterday's broadcast....go to this LINK

If you have a question, comment or idea for Scott, Archie or Paulie...send us an e-mail to:

handicappngheroes@gmail.com or leave a comment in the comments section.


paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, August 12, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections for 8/12/17 -- Arlington Million Day



Today the Handicappers go to Arlington Race Course in scenic Chicago for the late Pick 4. It is a challenging card ....with two Grade I and two Grade III races...all on turf. We'll be keeping an eye on the skies up there and see if the turf stays firm. 


RACE 9 -- The American St. Leger - Grade III -- 1 - 11/16 miles

PAULIE 

1 - Keystoneforvictory
2 - Taghleeb
8 - Bullards Alley
6 - Applicator

ARCHIE

1 - Keystoneforvictory
6 - Applicator
2 - Taghleeb
8 - Bullards Alley

SCOTT

1 - Keystoneforvictory
8 - Bullards Alley
2 - Taghleeb
6 - Applicator

RACE 10 -- Beverly D - Grade I -- 1 - 3/16 miles

PAULIE 

1 - Dacita
4 - Dona Bruja
5 - Grand Jete
6 - Zipessa

ARCHIE 

4 - Dona Bruja
5 - Grand Jete
9 - Hawksmoor
6 - Zipessa

SCOTT

4 - Dona Bruja
9 - HAwksmoor
1 - Dacita
10 - Rain Goddess


RACE 11 -- Arlington Million - Grade I -- 1 - 1/4 miles

PAULIE

5 - Deauville
4 - Ghost Hunter
13 - Mekhtaal
11 - Divisidero

ARCHIE

5 - Deauville
13 - Mekhtaal
11 - Divisidero
10 - Beach Patrol

SCOTT 

13 - Mekhtaal
8 - Kasaqui
10 - Beach Patrol
12 - Ascend


RACE 12 -- Pucker Up - Grade III -- About 1 - 1/8 miles

PAULIE

7 - Lovely Bernadette
2 - Fault
4 - Journey Home
3 - Lipstick City

ARCHIE

3 - Lipstick City
2 - Fault
4 - Journey Home
11 - Canny

SCOTT

6 - Sensitive
4 - Journey Home
2 - Fault
5 - Dontmesswithjoanne



BEST BET OF THE DAY 

PAULIE - #5 Deauville -- Race 11
ARCHIE - #1 Keystoneforvictory -- Race 9
SCOTT - #4 Dona Bruja -- Race 10


VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 

PAULIE - #4 Ghost Hunter -- Race 11 
ARCHIE - #5 Grand Jete -- Race 10
SCOTT - #6 Sensitive -- Race 12


TOP  JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE 

PAULIE - Julian Leparoux
ARCHIE - Julian Leparoux
SCOTT - Irad Ortiz, Jr. 

Be sure to catch HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM locally and online at www.crescenthillradio.com 

LINK: www.crescenthillradio.com


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, August 6, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 8/5/17



The Handicappers took on the challenging late Pick 4 at Saratoga and, although they did not take it down, they did quite well in picking horses that finished in the money. The downfall for all the guys came in Race 10...when none of them came up with morning line 15-1 winner THUNDERING SKY...out of the George Weaver barn and ridden by Rajiv Maragh. A scratch of the #2 SASSY LITTLE LILA (who all three picked) sent the handicappers scrambling for a replacement horse...but none of them came up with the eventual winner. Saratoga proved once again that it is the "graveyard of favorites"...with only two of the four favorites in the sequence getting home first. Let's see how the guys did!


SCOTT HARRIS gave us 16 runners to look at and out of those...eight made the payoff board. He had three winners, three seconds and two thirds. He also picked two exactas and a trifecta. His best bet (GUN RUNNER) did hit the line first, but his value play (TEQUILITA)  ran third in the 8th race and his top jock of the sequence (LUIS SAEZ) did not win in the sequence. SCOTT FINISHES THE DAY WITH 34 POINTS.

ARCHIE KAREL picked 16 horses in his handicapping efforts and nine of his finished in the money. Archie had three winners, three seconds and three thirds. He also had two exactas and two trifectas. His bet bet of the day (NEOLITHIC) did win the 11th. race but his value play (WAR STORY) was fourth in the Whitney. He did have top jock JOHN VELAZQUEZ get a win for him in the final race. ARCHIE ENDS THE DAY IN SECOND WITH 48 POINTS.

PAULIE also provided 16 to consider and 11 of his returned money at the window. He had three winners, four places and four shows. Give Paulie three exactas and two trifectas also. His best bet (NEOLITHIC) won but his value play (TU BRUTUS) must have taken a side trip to the Spa infield for a beer and dog. His top jock (JOSE ORTIZ) came through in the 8th race for a win. PAULIE TAKES THE DAY WITH 52 POINTS. 

Trifectas that pay $349. Exactas that triple your four-horse box investment amount. Jockeys that win and profits for the day. That's what you get here at HANDICAPPING HEROES and what you'll find each week! At no cost or fee to you. Just read the site and listen to the radio show. 

in the overall standings: 

PAULIE -- 334
ARCHIE -- 308
SCOTT  -- 253

Did you miss the broadcast Saturday? Here's a replay at this link: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 8/5/17 BROADCAST

Questions or comments for the Handicappers? Just leave them in the comments section or e-mail directly to:   handicappngheroes@gmail.com


paulie
xxxxx








Saturday, August 5, 2017

Selections for Saratoga -- 8/5/17



The Handicappers remain at the Spa today to take on the Late pick 4 at Saratoga. A very challenging sequence for Races 8-11...with (2) Grade I affairs, a nice stakes race and ending up with an optional claiming contest. The boys have overcome fender benders, ailing backs and replaced hips to scout these out for you today. Let's go to the selections! 


RACE 8 -- Test (GI) 7 furlongs $500,000

PAULIE 

8 - Faypien
10 - American Gal
3 - Chalon
4 - Tequilita

SCOTT 

8 - Faypien
4 - Tequilita
2 - Your Love
10 - American Gal

ARCHIE

8 - Faypien
10 - American Gal
4 - Tequilita
7 - Divine Miss Grey


RACE 9 -- The Whitney (GI) 1-1/8 miles $1,200,000

PAULIE

5 - Keen Ice
6 - Gun Runner
4 - Tu Brutus
2 - Breaking Lucky

SCOTT

6 - Gun Runner
5 - Keen Ice
1 - War Story
4 - Tu Brutus

ARCHIE

6 - Gun Runner
5 - Keen Ice
1 - War Story
2 - Breaking Lucky


RACE 10 -- DeLaRoseB (Turf) 1 Mile $100,000


PAULIE 

7 - On Leave
2 - Sassy Little Lila
8 - Bar of Gold
12 - Proper Discretion

SCOTT

7 - On Leave
11 - Light In Paris
2 - Sassy Little Lila
10 - Elysea's World

ARCHIE

10 - Elysea's World
2 - Sassy Little Lila
7 - On Leave
11 - Light In Paris


RACE 11 -- OC 62k/N2X 7 Furlongs  $90,000


PAULIE

7 - Neolithic
6 - Mo Town
8 - Schivarelli
5 - Warrior's Club

SCOTT

7 - Neolithic
6 - Mo Town
4 - Always a Suspect
3 - Realm

ARCHIE

7 - Neolithic
8 - Schivarelli
6 - Mo Town
4 - Always a Suspect


BEST BET OF THE DAY

PAULIE -- 7 - Neolithic - Race 11
SCOTT -- 6 - Gun Runner - Race 9 
ARCHIE -- 7 - Neolithic - Race 11

VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 

PAULIE -- 4 - Tu Brutus - Race 9 
SCOTT -- 4 - Tequilita - Race 8 
ARCHIE -- 1 - War Story - Race 9 

TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE -- Jose Ortiz
SCOTT -- Luis Saez
ARCHIE -- John Velazquez


Be sure to listen to our radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon for more detailed explanation on these picks. Locally on WCHQ 100.9 FM and available on line at www.crescenthillradio.com

If you have a question or comment for the Handicappers...e-mail us at: 

handicappngheroes@gmail.com or just leave it in our comments section. 



paulie
xxxxx




Monday, July 31, 2017

Who can figure out this year's 3 yr. old crop?...Monmouth Results



Remember back in March and April of this year? Remember who we were talking about as the Derby favorites? Seems a while back right? We were big on McCracken here. After floundering in the Derby, he has returned pretty well...winning the Matt Winn at Churchill and finishing a nose back in second yesterday in the Haskell to Girvin...another one we were high on back in April and paid you generously at 9-1 if you were wise enough to include him. His trainer Joe Sharp said he was ready to win a Grade I race and he did just that with cagey Robby Albarado tracking down another favorite jockey of mine in Brian Hernandez, Jr on McCracken in the final jumps to get the upset win and complete a sweet exacta for us ($77.90 on a $1 box) and the Pick 3 ($193.50)...which we handed to you yesterday free of charge.

I came close to making the wager a Pick 4. I loved both Chad Brown horses in the first leg (Race 9) but didn't go there. That mistake cost me a $671 payout on the sequence (on a 50 cent wager).

We live and learn. Wind Tartare and Joel Rosario did the job for C.B.

We take our Pick 3 win, though, and are satisfied with it...specially since it only cost $32 to invest.
Money's On Charlotte was a nice way to start the Pick 3 and I gave you the exacta and trifecta in Race 10 as well. Next, Wekeela downed odds-on favorite Miss Temple City in the Matchmaker and I predicted that one also...along with another exacta and trifecta for you. Girvin finished the job.  Pity the poor fool on "The Horse Racing Network" who boldly proclaimed he was going six deep in the final race of the Pick 4 and tossing out Girvin. Hey, buddy...ever heard of the "all" button if you're going that deep?

Sadly, a similar story from Saturday where a couple of associates nearly took down the Saturday late Pick 4 at Saratoga ($4667 on a $2 wager). They had 3 of the 4 winners and took six horses in the race they lost (The Bowling Green) but left out Hunter O'Riley...the 16-1 winner. An "all" button there would have cost just a few dollars more per person. I'm sure they're tired of hearing about that...I can't fault them...I didn't like or use Hunter O'Riley either. Another reason why they call Saratoga "the graveyard of favorites" right there for ya....

This year's Derby winner Always Dreaming ran third Saturday. The Preakness winner Cloud Computing finished behind him in Saratoga's Jim Dandy...where a first-time dirt participant (Good Samaritan) and first-time two turns runner (Giuseppe The Great) stole the show. How many of you remember that "Good Sam" actually ran on Derby Day at Churchill? Not in the big race, of course...but in the American Turf Stakes...where he came flying down the center of the Matt Winn Turf Course and edged out Big Score to finish second to Arklow? I had him that day and remembered the run...I didn't know how well he'd adjust to dirt...but it seems he likes it just fine.

So...who is the top of the three year old crop currently? Will we ever see Classic Empire again? Any love left for Irap? How do Irish War Cry and Timeline rebound from yesterday's defeat?

The Travers at Saratoga may provide a few more answers before the Breeders Cup...the Travers is about a month away. Who will head to the Spa to contest it?

Plenty of questions remain about this 3 year old crop.


paulie
xxxxx




Sunday, July 30, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 7/29/17 and a look at the Haskell



The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Saratoga yesterday and didn't do too badly at all...coming up with three of the four winners of the sequence at the "graveyard of favorites" . None of us could come up with the winner of the ninth race...the Bowling Green Stakes...a 16-1 shot in Hunter O' Riley but it wasn't a bad day overall. Let's see how the fellas did.


ARCHIE gave us 16 horses he hoped would run well. With the scratch of AP INDIAN in the 8th race, the handicappers had the option of substituting a horse, since all three had this one in their selections. Paul and Archie chose to add a horse, Scott did not. Out of Archie's runners, nine hit the board. He had two winners, three seconds and four thirds. Also an exacta and trifecta. Although his best bet and value play failed to win...he did have his top jock Javier Castellano win a race for him. ARCHIE finishes the day with a very respectable 31 points. 

SCOTT had 15 runners break from the gate. Nine of those got paid for him. Three winners, two places and four shows for the pool shark. Add in an exacta and trifecta as well for him. Neither his best bet nor value play won...but he also had Castellano as his top jock of the sequence. SCOTT finishes second on the day with 32 points. 

PAULIE also gave you 16 mounts to consider. Nine of his were cashable tickets. Three winners, three places and three shows for the Paulster. He also had an exacta and trifecta scores. His best bet and value play were beaten...but he, too, had Castellano as his top jock. PAULIE barely wins the day with 33 points. 

Sometimes, just one big hit can make the day and that was the case in Race 10 for Paulie...where he hit a $145 exacta and $355 trifecta (based on $2 wager) when Good Samaritan and Giuseppe The Great ran by the Derby winner (Always Dreaming) and Preakness champ (Cloud Computing) to create a nice payday. Although the top two weren't his top two picks...he used them to fill out the exacta and trifecta and got a nice payout surprise. Never be afraid to take a chance when formulating those types of tickets. Favorites don't win every race...especially at Saratoga.

Another example is the "Grand Slam". Paulie caught that twice yesterday...it paid $90.50 for a $1 wager. Paulie plays it with two runners in the first three races and the"all" button in the final.  $181 total winnings on a $45 ticket. Why Churchill and the Kentucky tracks do not add this wager to their offerings is beyond me. Currently, the New York tracks are the only ones that offer it. The objective is to pick horses to come in at least third in the first three races of the sequence and the winner of the fourth leg.

The Pick 4...by the way...paid $4667. The "all" button in the 9th Race would have been smart here, right?


IN THE CUMULATIVE points race:

PAULIE -- 282
ARCHIE -- 260
SCOTT -- 219


<><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>


I don't like playing Monmouth Race Curse ( I call it curse because that's usually what I end up doing when I bet there...) as a rule but they're offering the $1 million Haskell Invitational Stakes this Sunday...so I'll take a chance. I'm not going for the Pick 4 there...but will try a pick three. Here's the build....starting in Race 10. It's a 50 cent wager, so I'll go deep...

I've invited the boys to join me...we'll see if they respond.

RACE 10 -- MOLLY PITCHER

5 - Mo'Green
3 - Eskenformoney
2 - Carrumba
6 - Money's on Charlotte

RACE 11 -- MATCHMAKER

2 - Miss Temple City
3 - War Flag
4 - Quiet Kitten
1 - Wekeela

RACE 12 -- HASKELL

1 - Irish War Cry
7 - Girvin
5 - McCracken
3 - Timeline

If you want to short that $32 ticket I've proposed...Miss Temple City in the 11th looks pretty much like she'll romp against these today...so you could "shorten and single" there...I don't love her that much...


Good luck all.

IF you want to hear yesterday's broadcast, go HERE

IF you have questions, comments, ideas or suggestions for HANDICAPPING HEROES...contact us at handicappngheroes@gmail.com

(That's right...there is no second "i" in "handicappng". )



paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections for Saratoga 7/29/17



The Handicappers stay at Saratoga for the second week in a row with a very good late Pick 4
to tackle that includes three stakes.handicap races and a challenging maiden special weight
to end it. The action for these starts in race 8!

RACE 8 -- ALFRED G> VANDERBILT (DIRT) 6 FURLONGS. GRADE I


PAULIE

8 - Limousine Liberal
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED)
5 - Bird Song
6 - Ready For Rye 
3 - El Deal (ADDED) 

ARCHIE

5 -Bird Song
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED) 
8 - Limousine Liberal
3 - El Deal 
6 - Ready for Rye (ADDED) 


SCOTT

8 - Limousine Liberal
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED) 
3 - El Deal
5 - Bird Song
(No ADD ON) 



RACE 9 -- BOWLING GREEN STAKES (TURF) 1-3/8 MILES. GRADE II 


PAULIE 

1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler's Joy
7 - Ascend
8 - Frank Conversation 

ARCHIE

7 - Ascend
1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler
2 - Frank Conversation

SCOTT

7 - Ascend
3 - Closing Bell
1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler's Joy


RACE 10 -- JIM DANDY STAKES (DIRT) 1-1/8 MILES. GRADE II 


PAULIE

1 -Always Dreaming
2 - Cloud Computing
3 - Giuseppe The Great
5 - Good Samaritan

ARCHIE

1 - Always Dreaming
2 - Cloud Computing
4 - Pavel
3 - Giuseppe The Great

SCOTT

2 - Cloud Computing
1 - Always Dreaming
5 - Good Samaritan
4 - Pavel



RACE 11 -- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT (TURF) 1-1/16 MILES 


PAULIE

6 - Freedom
2 - Durable Goods
4-  Mini Pearl 
3 - Wake Island

ARCHIE

2 - Durable Goods
3 - Wake Island
8 - Magical Sky 
11 - Mini Pearl 

SCOTT

8 - Magical Sky
2 - Durable Goods
3 - Wake Island
11 - Mini Pearl 


BEST BET

PAULIE -- 8 - Limousene Liberal - 8th RACE
ARCHIE -- 1 - Always Dreaming - 10th RACE
SCOTT -- 7 - Ascend - 9th RACE


VALUE PLAY 

PAULIE -- 3 - Giuseppe The Great - 10th RACE
ARCHIE -- 2 - Frank Conversation - 9th RACE
SCOTT -- 8 - Magical Sky - 11th RACE



TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE -- Javier Castellano 
ARCHIE -- Javier Castellano 
SCOTT -- Javier Castellano 




Be sure to catch the radio broadcast HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9
FM and streaming live on the Internet. Here the picks HERE for more detailed explainations
on why the Handicappers chose their selections. 


paulie
xxxxx