Monday, May 29, 2017

Memorial Day



Special thoughts from us on Memorial Day: 

Forget not those who gave all to protecting our
country with the ultimate sacrifice...their lives. 

Thank those who serve, served and will serve.
We appreciate you putting your life on hold 
to keep us safe and strong. 

Our flag...long may it wave and serve as a symbol
that we live in freedom and will fight for that right. 

To our friends at the track, who read this site and
those who served or are serving.

Thank you. 


Sunday, May 28, 2017

Churchill Downs Results for 5/27/17



The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs yesterday and produced some pretty spectacular results. They gave you the Pick 4, plus both late Pick 3's, the exacta in each race plus three trifectas. On a day were the prices weren't exactly what we hoped for, the handicapping was, at least, satisfying and accurate. Let's see how the trio did. 


SCOTT HARRIS had all 16 of his runners go forth on the dirt and turf. Out of them eight hit the board. Give Scott three winners on the day, two seconds and two thirds. He also had two trifectas and two exactas...as well as the late Pick 3. Although his value play and top jockey of the sequence did not score...he did produce on his Best Bet of the Day with Finley's Lucky Charm. Scott ends with a very respectable 39 points for the day.

ARCHIE KAREL had a scratch in Race 10...so 15 of his picks broke from the gate. Seven of them showed up in the payouts column. Arch had the winner in each race, a place and two shows. He delivered the Pick 4, both Pick 3's and a exacta. He, too had the Best Bet of the Day with Finley's Lucky Charm and his top jock of the sequence (Brian Hernandez, Jr) won twice in the four races. Archie grabs second place for the day with a nice 58 points.

PAULIE caught a few breaks on the card. He, too, had the scratch in the 10th...so 15 of his went to the post. Out of them, nine returned a payout. He had all four winners, four second places and a third. Give him the exacta in all four races, a trifecta, both Pick 3's and the Pick 4. He, too, had the Best Bet of the Day with Finley's Lucky Charm and had Brian Hernandez, Jr as his best jockey of the sequence. Paulie takes the day with an impressive 72 points. 

If results are what you are looking for, look no further than Handicapping Heroes. The guys gave you a profit...despite the low payouts...in each race and tossed in the Pick 3's and late Pick 4 as a little cherry on top of the sundae. We'll stack our results up against any Handicapper(s) out there...and the beauty of it is...it's all free for you. All you have to do is come and get it. 

In the race to 500...Archie gets closer to the wire with a total of 448 points. Scott remains in second with 355 and Paulie narrowed the gap a bit and now has 337. 

We're also here to serve you in other ways....do you have a question about horse racing? Churchill Downs? Our handicapping keys? Just let us know by posting your question in the comments section or sending it to at our new e-mail address: 

psykesads@aol.com

LINK TO YESTERDAY'S BROADCAST:

HANDICAPPING HEROES 5/27/17 Broadcast


paulie
xxxxx






Saturday, May 27, 2017

Churchill Downs Selections for 5/27/17



Today the Handicappers take on the late Pk. 4 at Churchill Downs. There's a little bit of everything here to dissect and deliver picks on...maiden claiming, optional claiming, a Grade 3 stakes and regular claiming. The first three (races 8-10) are fillies and mares and final three (9-11) are on the dirt. Here we go!


Race 8 -- TURF 1-1/16 MD 40000


PAULIE

10 - Lipstickonmycollar
4 - I'm With Miller
1 - Desert Poem
5 - Little Irish Dancer

ARCHIE

8 - Remember the Allmo
5 - Little Irish Dancer
4 - I'm With Miller
10 - Lipstickonmycollar

SCOTT

4 - I'm With Miller
8 - Remember the Allmo
12 - Front Row Debbie
10 - Lipstickonmycollar



Race 9 -- DIRT 7F OPTCLM 62500

PAULIE 

4 - Adore
1 - Sweet Malory
5 - Ivy Bell
6 - Care

ARCHIE

5 - Ivy Bell
6 - Care
11 - Deedeezee
8 - Whynotbequeen

SCOTT

11 - Deedeezee
5 - Ivy Bell
2 - Phone Chick
3 - Twirl Girl



Race 10 -- DIRT 6F THE WINNING COLORS G3 $100,000

PAULIE

6 - Finley'sluckycharm
7- Athena
1- Mayla
8 - Pleasant Tales

ARCHIE

6 - Finley'sluckycharm
7 - Athena
2 - Sweetgrass
8 - Pleasant Tales

SCOTT

6 - Finley'sluckycharm
2 - Sweetgrass
7 - Athena
1 - Mayla


Race 11 -- DIRT 1M Claiming 16000 

PAULIE

7 - Speedy A.P.
2 - Silver Wraith
5 - Enduring Honor
3- Glad To Be Here

ARCHIE

3 - Gladtobehere
7 - Speedy A.P.
5 - Enduring Honor
1 - Kielbasa

SCOTT

7 - Speedy A.P.
5 - Enduring Honor
9 - Burntwood
10 - Walker's Way


Best Bet

Paulie - (6) Finley'sluckycharm (10th) 
Archie - (6) Finley'sluckycharm (10th)
Scott -  (6) Finley'sluckycharm  (10th)

Value Play 

Paulie - (2) Silverwraith (11th) 
Archie - (1) Kielbasa (11th) 
Scott -  (9) Burntwood (11th)

Top Jock 

Paulie - Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Archie - Brian Hernandez, Jr.  
Scott -  James Graham 


To hear the broadcast, go here: HANDICAPPING HEROES 5/27/17 PICKS

Be sure to catch the radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES Saturdays at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM in Louisville and on line at www.crescenthillradio.com

Download the WCHQ app for your mobile devices ! 


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Churchill Downs and Preakness Results from 5/20/17



The Handicappers took on the very challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs yesterday...plus the Preakness at Pimlico and had some outstanding results with they selections they provided. Let's look at how they did. 


PAULIE offered 20 horses in the five races and out of those...seven made money. He had three winners, two places and two shows. He also hit an exacta and the Pick 3 for races 8-10. Unfortunately, his best bet of the day, value play and top jock for the sequence failed to get to the winner's circle. He ends up with 20 points on the day.

SCOTT also had 20 horses on his docket. Eight of his picks returned a payoff. Three winners for Scott, four seconds and one third. He hit a very nice exacta and trifecta in Race 11 at Churchill. No jock, best bet or value play success for him. He finished with 25 points on the day.

ARCHIE sent 20 selections forth. Eight of his were in the top three. Four were winners, including Cloud Computing in the Preakness. Three places and a show for him...plus the Pick 3 for races 8-10. He hit an exacta also. His best bet and value play did not win...but he did have Brian Hernandez, Jr as his top jock and he did have a win. Archie wins the day with 36 points.

Look at what some of these payouts were on the selections.! Scott's $2 trifecta in Race 11 paid $2485.00. The exacta was $210.80. The Pick 3 Paulie and Archie gave out was a nice $381.10 payout for a $1. The Preakness exacta returned $98.40. And all you had to do is listen to the radio show or check out the website to get this information free of charge! The Handicappers continues to leave a wake of tote board destruction at whatever track they handicap! 

In the race to 500 points, Archie is now up to 390. Scott follows in second at 316 and Paulie 265. 

To hear yesterday's show, click the link below: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 5/20/17


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, May 20, 2017

Churchill Downs Late PK 4 and Preakness Selections for 5/20/17



The second jewel in the Triple Crown takes place today at Pimlico Race Course...where they'll run the Preakness Stakes. We'll take a look at that today...plus a very challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill. 

We're back to full strength with the predictions, Scott Harris joining along with Archie and me. Here we go! 


THE PREAKNESS

Paulie 

4 - Always Dreaming
5 - Classic Empire
8 - Senior Investment
6 - Gunnervera 

Archie

5 - Classic Empire
4 - Always Dreaming
2 - Cloud Computing
10 - Conquest Mo Money

Scott

4 - Always Dreaming
10 - Conquest Mo Momey
5 - Classic Empire
9 - Looking At Lee



CHURCHILL RACE 8 

Paulie

4 - Aztec Lion
5 - Solve
6 - Alabama Tide
3 - Aurora's Kid

Archie

4 - Aztec Lion
1 - Fuhrious Warrior
6 - Alabama Tide
7 - Watch My Smoke

Scott

3 - Aurora's Kid
6 - Alabama Tide
4 - Aztec Lion
1 - Fuhrious Warrior




CHURCHILL RACE 9 

Paulie

(Note: if 15- Jaunt runs, top pick) 

9 - Auntie's The One
11 - La Manta Gris
12- Sandstorm
1 - Meister Legend

Archie

(Same on Jaunt) 

1 - Meister Legend
2 - Auntie's The One
11 - La Manta Gris
3 - Our Maria Celeste

Scott

(Same on Jaunt)

10 - House On The Hill
4 - Aircraft Carrier
2 - Auntie's The One
3 - Our Maria Celeste



CHURCHILL RACE 10 

Paulie

7 - Curlin's Approval
11 - Walkabout
1 - Weep No More
5 - Lady Fog Horn

Archie

7 - Curlin's Approval
1 - Weep No More
4 - Tiger Moth
11 - Walkabout

Scott

7 - Curlin's Approval
1 - Weep No More
11 - Walkabout
5 - Lady Foghorn 



CHURCHILL RACE 11 

Paulie 

6 - Twilight Eclipse 
5 - Kaigun
11 - Bullard's Alley
9 - Danish Dynoformer

Archie

7 - Reporting Star
6 - Twilight Eclipse 
9 - Danish Dynoformer
11 - Bullard's Alley

Scott

7 - Reporting Star
8 - Street Fashion
11 - Bullard's Alley
4 - Some In Tieme


BEST BET

Paulie - #6 Twlight Eclipse - Race 11
Archie - #7 Curlin's Approval - Race 10
Scott -  #7 Curlin's Approval - Race 10


VALUE PLAY

Paulie - #1 Weep No More - Race 10
Archie - #7 Reporting Star - Race 11
Scott -   # 10 House On The Hill - Race 9 


TOP JOCK

Paulie - Edgard Zayaz 
Archie - Brian Hernandez, Jr
Scott - James Graham


Be sure to listen to the Handicapping Heroes broadcast at noon
today! On WCHQ 100.9 locally and on-line at www.crescenthillradio.com

LINK: HANDICAPPING HEROES 5-20-17


paulie
xxxxx

Friday, May 19, 2017

Black Eyed Susan Today...A further look at the Preakness



The Black Eyed Susan highlights the card at Pimlico today. The race...for three year old fillies...has 11 entries but non from the Kentucky Oaks two weeks ago.

Who do I like?

(1) Shimmering Aspen hasn't run in a stakes race in her young career but did win three races in a row at nearly Laurel Race Course and all three were with relative ease. she's never been moree than seven furlongs...but the 1 1/8th Black Eyed Susan seems within reach for a horse that was basically geared down for the final 1/8th of her last win. Steve Hamilton regains the ride and she's out of Rodney Jenkins barn.

(4) Full House ran into a monster in Miss Sky Warrior last time out in the Gazelle. "The Miss" won't be in the Black Eyed Susan and Full House should be forwardly placed and ready to pounce in the stretch under Rajiv Maragh. Full House was sharply checked in the first turn of the Gazelle by "The Miss" but the jockey's objection was overruled by the stewards. Veteran trainer James Jerkins trains and Maragh returns to ride.

(9) Summer Luck ran into several Oaks runners in the Ashland Stakes at Keeneland ran ran better than her fifth place finish indicates. Breaking dead last, she showed some gain on the rail late.and should be better placed today at the start. She gets Javier Castellano, who has won two out of the lasr three Black Eyed Susan's and comes out of Mark Casse's barn..which has been on fire lately. The gal barely missed getting in the Oaks...maybe today will be her lucky day.

(8) Torrent followed the leaders in Oaklawn's Fantasy but lost all hope of winning when she was forced eight wide going around the final turn. She showed some late gain despite this to finish fourth. Ron Moquett is high on her chances today and Jose Ortiz in the saddle certainly doesn't hurt at all. I fell in love with this hopeful last fall at Churchill when she won her first race...a maiden special weight affair...by six lengths. She looked like she could have gone around again and today's distance won't be a problem.

An interesting horse here is (10) Actress...a maiden running in this big stakes race. I'll use...must have a reason, right?

THE PLAY

I'll put these five in an exacta box and probably do a box wheel with them on top and everyone else on the bottom...and turning it around. A nice play possible would be a trifecta "pyramid" with them on top, adding Todd Pletcher runners (7) Moana and (5) Lights of Medina with them for second and going to the "all" button for third..

The Black Eyed Susan starts the late pick 4. I'll use 1,4,8,9,10 to begin it, go to the "all" button for race 12, single 13 (Clipthecoupon) in Race 13 and finish it with Foerza, West Coast Bias and She'slikethewind in Race 14. On the 50 cent level, it's a tidy investment of $150 but a probably payout way much higher than the initial investment.


****************************************************************************


PREAKNESS


Me with Wm. Denzik's trophy for
winning his race with Like A Haint
I'm still not moving off Always Dreaming as my top choice here. I do expect Classic Empire to give a better account of himself Saturday and he'll be my second place pick. I feel really good about Senior Investment's chances Saturday and he's my third choice. Gunnervera will close to pick up fourth. 

I'll most likely repeat my Derby Day strategy and put Always Dreaming on top and everyone else beneath in exacta and trifecta selections. Maybe a side show bet on Senior investment as well. 

We'll look at this race and the stakes races on Saturday's Churchill card on Handicapping Heroes radio show tomorrow. The show starts at noon and can be accessed at the link below: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 5/20/17 Broadcast


paulie
xxxxx

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Early Preakness thoughts



Saturday, May 20th is when the 2017 Preakness will be run and, as of Tuesday, it looks like there will be nine horses that will go in pursuit of knocking off prohibitive favorite ALWAYS DREAMING.

THE PROBABLE FIELD: 

Always Dreaming -- Obviously the one to beat. If lucky, you'll get 4/5 at the window. Arrived OK at Pimlico and despite an Tuesday morning brief training scare...looks to be his sassy, old self and ready for the race. The question is...how to make money with him? 

Classic Empire -- Will he be the "bounce back" horse? Rough Derby trip, infected eye but still managed fourth place. The word is he's training quite well for the second jewel in the Triple Crown and could seriously challenge "The Dream".  I'll use in the exotics. 


Looking at Lee -- Rallied up the rail with cagey Corey Lanerie for second in Derby. No threat to the winner and one wonders if he'll get perfect trip on that rail at Pimlico?  One would think he needs to be much closer when they hit the stretch. Must include in the exotics. 


Gunnervera -- Did not get a bad trip in the Derby...just didn't do anything spectacular in the race...finishing seventh. Maybe a slop issue? He did run well at Saratoga in winning the the Saratoga Special last August...but I'm just not seeing a top three finish here. 


Hence -- He broke next to last in the Derby and it was obvious he didn't like the kick back from the sloppy track at Churchill. 11th place finish. Also trained by Lookin At' Lee trainer Steve Asmussen...what's the wild-haired man up to? I'll put him in the lower part of the exotics...nothing more. Sunland Derby winner...respect that a bit.


Conquest Mo Money --  Didn't make the Derby field, so he's had a bit more rest that some of these. The second place Sunland Derby finish and second place Arkansas Derby finish to Classic Empire shows he can stay close to the winners...maybe a long-shot for show money. 


Cloud Computing -- His best bet here is to follow Classic Empire around the track, move when he does and try to pass him in the stretch. No pace-setter here and has run all three lifetime races at Aqueduct...so how will he handle other than his home turf? Don't think he'll have much of an impact here but Javier Castellano is riding...and he's amazing. 


Multiplier -- Winner of the Illinois Derby...where he closed strongly to get the "W"...Brendan Walsh liked the way he trained Sunday at Keeneland. Joel Rosario gets on board and he's one of the best in the business. An upset Saturday is difficult to see...but not entirely impossible. 


Senior Investment  -- Got his nose up just in time to win G2 Lexington...coming from out of the clouds. That stretch run might parlay into a possible tote board placement in the Preakness...or more...depending on how the early fractions go. This one will be my long shot sleeper. Respect. 


Term of Art -- Can't honestly tell you why this one is in here. The Santa Anita Derby was not impressive. That being said, trainer is Doug O'Neill and he's a tricky enough son-of-gun that makes you respect. Jose Ortiz is one of the "young guns" in the jockey colony. Who knows? You make the call, I see nothing here to indicate or recommend a board finish. 


I'll be back later this week with some predictions and we'll see if I can get "The Arch" and maybe even Scotty to chime in. 


*******************************************************


Our partner here at Handicapping Heroes...SCOTT HARRIS...has been released from the hospital and home. He still has things to take care of and to get better but he has a plan and, for Scotty...his plans usually turn out pretty well. He hopes for a return to the Gold Room in a week or two and we're so glad that he's out of immediate danger right now. 

We'll get him back up here with us as soon as he is able and anxiously await that blessed day. 


paulie
xxxxx