HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS LATE PK 4 -- 9/22/18

The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday. A track that had devolved into sloppy conditions. We had some successes but, at least speaking for myself, handicapped the races for a fast track. We record the show early Saturday morning, so we don't exactly know what the track will be like later that afternoon.

A huge surprise in race 10, when Calvin Borel guided massive long-shot DIVINE QUEEN through the field and down the rail to win. An over $100 payout on a $2 wager there. We didn't have it between the three of us.

Handicapping for wet weather involves a bit more study. You look for horses that have run in the slop and how they've done. Any races on the track they're running on that day...you pay particular attention to. A look at Divine Queen shows us that, although she had never run on a "off track", she did have a win at Churchill with Borel on board the only time that she had run at Churchill.

With these two-year old fillies, we see that, upon further review, only (2) of them had ever tried the sloppy going. #7 EveryoneLovesJimmy tried the slop once (at Churchill) lifetime and won the race. That would have been a logical choice, but the filoy did not hit the board yesterday. The #10 Naples Legacy had run three times on an off-track and never hit the board, including an eighth-place finish at Churchill back in late June. Once again, she did not hit the board.

So, sometimes the "angle" works, sometimes it doesn't...but it remains a useful handicapping tool.

Let's see how the guys did yesterday:


HOLLYWOOD had 14 of his 16 picks break from the gate, with two scratches. Out of those, he had two winners, one second and two thirds. That's a 36% "in the money" percentage. He also had one exacta. HE FINISHED THE SEQUENCE WITH 12 POINTS. 

PAULIE had 15 of his 16 picks remain in the races, with one scratch. He gave us three winners, three places and a show. That's a 47% "in the money" percentage. He also gave us two exactas, including a huge one in race 11 that paid $136.40 on a $2 wager. PAULIE ALMOST TOPS ARCHIE WITH 20 POINTS IN THE SEQUENCE. 

ARCHIE saw all 16 of his picks try the dirt with no scratches. He produced three winners, three seconds and two shows. He also gave us two exactas, with a nice one in Race 8 that paid $64 on a $2 investment. HE EDGES OUT PAULIE FOR THE TOP SPOT IN THE CONTEST WITH A TOTAL OF 21 POINTS. 

Even though we did not hit either Pick 3 or the Pick 4, we still gave out some nice payouts via the exactas. 

YOU CAN HERE YESTERDAY'S SHOW AT THE LINK BELOW: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 9/22/18


CUMULATIVE TOTALS:


PAULIE                 105
ARCHIE                 94
HOLLYWOOD      84


paulie
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HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS --SELECTIONS FOR LATE PICK 4 -- 9/22/18

The Handicappers return to our home base -- Churchill Downs -- again this week to prognosticate on a very interesting late Pick 4 sequence that starts in the eighth race . There is a little bit of everything in the sequence. A maiden race, allowance race, the Dogwood Stakes and lower level claimers taking the track. All these are on the dirt and either 6 1/2 furlongs or 7 furlongs.

Here we go!

RACE 8 -- MAIDEN 56k -- 6 1/2 FURLONGS 


PAULIE

1 - BLUNT FORCE
9 - KATIE'S BAYOU
3 - JUST PERFECTION
2 - PERUVIAN APPEAL


ARCHIE

2 - PERUVIAN APPROVAL
3 - JUST PERRFECTION
7 - GARDEN AFFAIR
1 - BLUNT FORCE 


HOLLYWOOD

3 - JUST PERFECTION
6 - SADDLE SHOES
4 - CLASS ACTION
8 - TSCHUDI'S GIRL



RACE 9 -- ALLOWANCE 58k -- 6 1/2 FURLONGS


PAULIE

9 - MYLADY CURLIN
12 - ASCOT DAY
2 - UPSET BREWING
11 - CATHEDRAL READER


ARCHIE

9 - MYLADY CURLIN
11 - CATHEDRAL  READER
4 - DESSERT HONEYS
12 - ASCOT DAY


HOLLYWOOD

4 - DESSERT HONEYS
9 - MYLADY CURLIN
12 - ASCOT DAY
11 - CATHEDRAL READER


RACE 10 -- DOGWOOD STAKES -- $100,000 -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE 

7 - EVERYONELOVESJIMMY
1 - FIGARELLA'S QUEEN
8 - SALT BAE
11 - GO GOOGLE YOURSELF


ARCHIE

1 - FIGARELLA'S QUEEN
4 - JEAN ELIZABETH
7 - EVERYONELOVESJIMMY
11 - GO GOOGLE YOURSELF


HOLLYWOOD

4 - JEAN ELIZABETH
8 - SALT BAE
6 - DEVINE MISCHIEF
9 - PRIMO EXTREMO 





RACE 11 -- CLAIMING 10k -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE

9 - ISTILLGOTIT
10 - UNSTABLED
12 - HOW'S MY BUD
5 - ALL HANSEN'S ONDECK


ARCHIE

4 - FLORIDA BOYS
7 - BLUEGRASS GEM 
8 - DISTORTED RANSOM
9 - ISTILLGOTIT


HOLLYWOOD

1 - KISS MY NOTE
9 - ISTILLGOTIT
7 - BLUEGRASS GEM
8 - DISTORTED RANSOM


Best of luck today on the sequence! Remember, you can catch the handicappers live on the HANDICAPPING HEROES radio show at noon today on WCHQ 100.9 FM. Download the WCHQ app or listen live at the website www.wchqfm.com

Remember our objectives...to win some money, honey so we can leave the place with more money than we came in with.


Hear the re-broadcast of the show at the link below

HANDICAPPING HEROES 9/22/18

paulie
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HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- RESULTS LATE PICK 4 -- 9/15/18

The Handicappers fired away at the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs and had some nice successes. Although they didn't hit the Pick 4, or either of the pick threes in the sequence, they gave you some nice winners. Race 10 and Brian Hernandez, Jr on Cairo Cat...at 17-1 was the culprit that ruined their Pick 4 party.

Let's see how they did:


ARCHIE saw 15 out of his 16 break from the gate and, out of those, he gave you three winners, four places and one show. That's a 53% "in the money" percentage and he had eight of the possible twelve best finishers innthe four races. Give him three exactas as well. NOT A BAD EFFORT AT ALL FOR THE BREAD GUY, HE ENDS UP WITH 24 POINTS. 

HOLLYWOOD had all 16 of his picks run down the stretch and from those he accumulated three winners, four seconds and one show. He hits 50% "in the money numbers. He also gave out three exactas and a trifecta. A NICE RUN FOR HIS MONEY TODAY, OUR APPRENTICE FINISHES WITH 27 POINTS

PAULIE gave you 16 picks and they all got a call. He also had three winners...plus four seconds and two shows for a 57% "in the money" ratio. Out of the 12 possible money spots, he grabbed nine of them. He also gave you three exactas and two trifectas. PAULIE TAKES THE DAY WITH AN IMPRESSIVE 31 POINTS. 

Sometimes, we tend to overlook things on a form or sheet that make sense AFTER the race. One could have easily played Cairo Cat in the 10th race. Good jockey, won his last race at Saratoga and turned in a bullet work preparing for this one. The bettors ignored him also, his 8-1 morning line odds drifted up to 17-1. As our co-founder and friend the late Scotty Harris used to say, always watch Brian Hernandez, Jr at Churchill. We watched him yesterday. We watched him beat us. 

WE live and learn.

Hear yesterday's show at the link below.

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180915



CUMULATIVE TOTALS

Paulie           85
Archie          73
Hollywood   62        


paulie
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HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- LATE PICK 4 SELECTIONS -- 9/15/18

The Handicappers are back home underneath the Twin Spires to handicap the second day of the September meet at the most legendary race track in the world. It, quite honestly, is a bit tough being back at the Downs without our good friend, the late Scott Harris, but we gather together to remember and honor him. He will never be forgotten. Not Forgotten here at Handicapping Heroes, or for what he did in his life.

Let's see what the fellas came up with today in this late Pick 4 sequence (races 8-11)


RACE 8 -- THE OPEN MIND -- $100,000 -- SIX FURLONGS (DIRT) 

_______
PAULIE

3 - VERTICAL OAK
6 -MISS KENTUCKY
7 - ASTROLLINTHEPARK
4 - COURTMEWITHCARATS


ARCHIE

6 - MISS KENTUCKY
3 - VERTICAL OAK
7 - ASTROLLINTHEPARK
5 - OUR MAJESTY


HOLLYWOOD

6 - MISS KENTUCKY
7 - ASTROLLINTHEPARK
3 - VERTICAL OAK
2 - P BOO


RACE 9 -- THE LOCUST GROVE (GIII) -- $100,000 -- ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILE (TURF) 

_______
PAULIE

3 - BLUE PRIZE
2 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
5 - PINCH HIT
6 - MANNERLY


ARCHIE

2 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
3 - BLUE PRIZE
5 - PINCH HIT
9 - PACIFIC PINK


HOLLYWOOD

3 - BLUEPRIZE
2 - CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS
8 - SAILOR'S VALENTINE
5 -  PINCH HIT



RACE 10 -- THE IROQUOIS (GII) -- $150,000 -- ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILE (DIRT)


_______
PAULIE 

6 - TOBACCO ROAD
4 - TIGHT TEN 
9 - MANNY WAH
10 - HOG CREEK HUSTLE


ARCHIE

4 - TIGHT TEN
6 - TOBACCO ROAD
7 - POLE SETTER
12 - EVERFAST


HOLLYWOOD

5 -MY SIXTH SENSE
4 - TIGHT TEN
6 - TOBACCO ROAD
2 - ROYAL URN



RACE 11 --THE POCAHONTAS (GII) -- $200,000 -- ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILE (DIRT) 

_______
PAULIE 

1 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
5 - SPLASHY KISSES
6 - LIGHTSCAMERAACTION
2 - LOVE MY HONEY


ARCHIE 

8 - TWO DOZEN ROSES
9 - IT JUSTHITTHE WIRE
1 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
5 - SPLASHY KISSES


HOLLYWOOD

5 - SPLASHY KISSES
10 - TAYLOR'S SPIRIT
1 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
9 - IT JUSTHITTHE WIRE


BE SURE TO CATCH THE RADIO BROADCAST OF HANDICAPPING HEROES TODAY ON WCHQ 100.9 FM AT NOON FOR A MORE DETAILED EXPLANATION OF THE HANDICAPPERS' PICKS TODAY. DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP. OR LISTEN LIVE AT THE WEBSITE: 

WWW.WCHQFM.COM


WE HOPE EVERYONE HAS A GREAT SATURDAY. KEEP ARCHIE IN YOUR THOUGHTS AND PRAYERS....HIS MOTHER ENTERED IN-HOME HOSPICE YESTERDAY.

IN THE WORDS OF OUR CO-FOUNDER AND FRIEND, THE LATE SCOTTY HARRIS, WE CAN PICK THE WINNERS (AND WE DO) WE JUST CAN'T PICK WHAT THEY'LL PAY US. 

REMEMBER OUR OBJECTIVE: TO WIN SOME MONEY, HONEY, AND LEAVE THE PLACE WITH MORE THAN WE WENT IN WITH. 


PAULIE
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HANDICAPPING HEROES -- KENTUCKY DOWNS -- RESULTS FROM LATE PICK 4 --9/8/18

The races took place yesterday at Kentucky Downs on what was classified as a "good" turf for the riders and horses.

It was also a "good" day for the Handicapping Heroes crew...they din't hit the late Pick 4 but gave you the late Pick 3 and winners in all the races except the seventh.

Let's see how they did.


HOLLYWOOD had 15 break from the gate with one scratch. Out of those, he gave you two winners, two seconds and a third. That's a 33% "in the money" percentage.  He also provided an exacta and trifecta. Not a bad second outing for our newest handicapper. HOLLYWOOD finishes with 16 points for the day.

ARCHIE also had 15 try the turf and one scratch. He gave you one winner, two places and one show. He ends with a 27% "in the money" number. Add an exacta, trifecta and superfecta to his totals also. He completely owned the 8th. race. ARCHIE noses out Hollywood for second place in the points total with 17 points for the four race sequence. 

PAULIE brought his "A" game to the handicapping contest yesterday. All 16 of his started and he gave you three winners, three seconds and a third. That's a 43% in the money percentage and seven out of the possible 12 money payout slots available (58%)in the four races. He also correctly handicapped two exactas and a trifecta...plus the late Pick 3. PAULIE splashes home in the rain much the best with 26 points to take yesterday's contest. 

WE give you winners. That's what we do here. WE apologize for continued technical glitches concerning the "live" broadcast...but Paulie was able to give out the handicappers picks "live" in the studio following The Cardinal Couple Radio Hour. He also posted the original recording
of the show in yesterday's Handicapping Heroes selections. Listen for yourself.  I think I may have discovered the source of the "clicking" and "static". The test run sound pretty clear. WE WILL NOT BACK DOWN NOR GIVE UP. That's how we roll. Scott never would have and we won't either...

ON AIR SOUNDCHECK TEST FOR HANDICAPPING HEROES 9/9/18


CUMULATIVE TOTALS FOR TWO DAYS OF THE CONTEST

PAULIE             54
ARCHIE            49
HOLLYWOOD  35


paulie
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HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR KENTUCKY DOWNS LATE PICK 4 -- 9/8/17

The Handicappers head back to Kentucky Downs to make selections in the late Pick 4 today. A very challenging sequence with (4) Grade III races. These are races 7-10.

Here's what they say:


RACE 7 -- LADIES TURF STAKES -- $500,000 (GIII) -- 1 MILE TURF


PAULIE

10 - DUBARA
8 - IN THE LEE
1 - I'M BETTY
5 - VALADORNA

ARCHIE

1 - I'M BETTY G
3 - STORM THE HILL
8 - IN THE LEE
7 - HALLIE BELLE


HOLLYWOOD

3 - STORM THE HILL
6 - PAS DE SOUCIS
1 - I'M BETTY G
8 - IN THE LEE




RACE 8 -- LADIES SPRINT STAKES -- $200,000 (GIII) -- 6-1/2 FURLONGS TURF

PAULIE

6 - LULL
5 - RUBY NOTION
1 - BRIELLE'S APPROVAL
10 - MINES AND MAGIC


ARCHIE

6 - LULL
5 - RUBY NOTIION
3 - CON TE PARTIRO
1 - BRIELLE'S APPROVAL


HOLLYWOOD

5 - RUBY NOTION
7 - ORIGINATOR
1 - BRIELLE'S APPROVAL
6 - LULL




RACE 9 -- TURF SPRINT STAKES -- $500,000 (GIII) -- 6-1/2 FURLONGS TURF


PAULIE

4 - UNDRAFTED
5 - BLIND AMBITION
2 - PROFORMA
1 - CONQUEST PANTHERA

ARCHIE

1 - CONQUEST PANTHERA
5 - BLIND AMBITION
4 - UNDRAFTED
6 - RICHIESINTHEHOUSE


HOLLYWOOD

10 - MANICAL
12 - DONE DEAL
5 - BLIND AMBITION
7 - WHITE FLAG


RACE 10 -- KENTUCKY TURF CUP -- $350,000 (GIII) -- 1-1/2 MILE TURF


PAULIE

4 - BIGGER PICTURE
6 - OSCAR NOMINATED
5 - MULTIPLIER
8 - ARKLOW

ARCHIE

6 - OSCAR NOMINATED
5 - MULTIPLIER
4 - BIGGER PICTURE
3 - MANITOULIN


HOLLYWOOD

8 - ARKLOW
6 - OSCAR NOMINATED
12 - BIG BEND
2 - NESSY


WE WISH EVERYONE THE BEST OF SUCCESS TODAY IF THESE ARE RUN AND LEAVE THE PLACE WITH MORE MONEY THAN YOU CAME IN WITH!

YOU CAN HEAR THE HANDICAPPING HEROES RADIO BROADCAST AT NOON TODAY ON WCHQ 100.9 FM. DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP OR LISTEN AT THE WEBSITE: 

WWW.WCHQFM.COM


HEAR ARCHIE COMMENTS HERE: https://soundcloud.com/user-748907999/dr0000_1475mp3

HEAR PAULIE COMMENTS HERE: https://soundcloud.com/user-748907999/dr0000_1476mp3

HEAR HOLLYWOOD PICKS HERE: https://soundcloud.com/user-748907999/dr0000_1477mp3



paulie
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HANDICAPPING HEROES --RESULTS FROM KENTUCKY DOWNS -- LATE PICK 4 -- 9/1/18

The Handicappers tried their skills at boutique track Kentucky Downs yesterday. Opening day at the European-style race track that features only turf racing during its short meet. Turf racing or the cards must have agreed with the boys...hey produced some great results that included hitting both Pick 3's in the sequence and the late Pick 4. True, it was a day of favorites at the end of the card, but as our mentor and friend Scott Harris used to say:

"We can pick the horses but we can't pick what they're going to pay us."

With Hollywood joining us for the handicapping duties...Paulie and Archie took aim on the course that has the uphill stretch. Here's how they did:


HOLLYWOOD gave us 16 runners and one scratched. Out of the 15 that ran, he had three winners, a place and three shows. He also provided us with an exacta and trifecta in his picks. That's a 46% "in the money" percentage.  HOLLYWOOD MAKES HIS DEBUT HERE WITH 19 POINTS. 

PAULIE also saw 15 of his leave the starting gate, suffering one scratch. From those, he had four winners, a second and two thirds. That's a 46% "in the money' percentage also.  In addition, he gave out one exacta, both Pick 3's in the sequence and the Pick 4. A NICE DAY FOR PAULIE AND HE FINISHES WITH 28 POINTS. 

ARCHIE sent 15 forward and did quite well. Four winners, two seconds and two thirds. A 53% "in the money" number for him. Chalk him up two exactas, both Pick 3's and the Pick 4 over the four-race sequence. ARCHIE TAKES THE POINT TOTAL HOME WITH A VERY STRONG 32 POINTS. 

Handicapping presents one a lot of options but the ultimate one is to pick winners. The Handicappers did that quite well yesterday.

To hear a replay of yesterday's show, go to the link below. We apologize on the sound quality over the second half of the broadcast, we re working with the WCHQ technicians to get rid of that annoying "clicking" sound.

LINK: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2018-09-01?in=chradio/sets/handicapping-heroes


paulie
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