Sunday, October 14, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- KEENELAND -- RESULTS FROM LATE PICK 4 -- 10/13/18







The Handicappers took on the challenging late Pick 4 at Keeneland yesterday  and had a faily good day. With so many good horses, trainers and jockeys on the premises, it's quite a feat to be right every time with one's selections and sometimes the hunches, training angles, past performances and jockey switches are for naught. Some horse just pops up there that you didn't consider too strongly and wins. Usually at a pretty decent price. 

That's why they call it gambling.

Here's how the handicappers did: 


HOLLYWOOD saw all 16 of his picks test the dirt and turf. Out of those, he had two winners and a third. That's a 19% "in the money" figure. No exactas, trifectas, Pick 3 or 4 success for him yesterday. HOLLYWOOD finishes the four-race sequence with 7 points. 

ARCHIE also had all of his 16 selections try the distances. He ended up with three winners, a second and two thirds. A 38% "in the money number. He also got shut out on the exactas, trifectas and the Pick 3 and 4 sequences. ARCHIE ends up with 13 points.

PAULIE had 16 go forth for him also. He totaled two wins, three seconds and two thirds. He did manage hitting an exacta in the ninth race, but had no trifectas nor the Pick 3 or Pick 4 contests. PAULIE squeaks by as the top point-getter with 16 points. 

None of us could figure out the filly and mare affair in the 8th race yesterday and did not pick the winner between the three of us. A horse that hadn't won in over a year and had been beaten by a combinated 45 lenghts in her last two (QUICK, QUICK, QUICK) proved to be quick enough and took the six furlong race. I wouldn't have had it unless I would have hit the "all" button for the race. 

You can hear yesterday's broadcast at the link below: 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20181013


CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

ARCHIE           156
PAULIE            151
HOLLYWOOD   125

Join us next week for more handicapper selections. Breeders Cup is sneaking up on us and when November gets here, we'll have our choicce for the "biggest day in horse racing". 


paulie
xxxxx










Saturday, October 13, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR LATE PK 4 -- 10/13/18


The Handicappers head again to Lexington to try their skills against the Keeneland runners in Races 7-10...the late Pick4. A good variety of events to look at, a maiden 67K, two nice allowance races and the Grade I Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup stakes. The first two on the dirt, the final two on the turf. 

We know not, this early, what track conditions will be like by the time of the seventh race...a guess would say a "good" dirt condition and maybe "yielding" turf...but it's anyone's guess. With Kentucky Football on a "bye" week,I expect the bourbon drinkers and college kids to stay around for the entire card...which could skewer the odds.

We don't pay a lot of attention to odds, anyway. We just pick winners...so here goes: 


RACE 7 -- MAIDEN $67,000 -- 6 FURLONGS (DIRT) 


PAULIE

7 - DECLINED
10 - BOURBON CALLING
5 - EXPLORATIONIST
2 - SOAP BUBBLE

HOLLYWOOD

5 - EXPLORATIONIST
11 - TAPIT WISE
10 - BOURBON CALLING
9 - CLENCH

ARCHIE

10 - BOURBON CALLING
5 - EXPLORATIONIST
4 - HAWAIIAN NOISES
11 - TAPIT WISE



RACE 8 -- ALLOWANCE $69,000 -- 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)


PAULIE

6 - TRACE
7 - UPSET BREWING
10 -- TREASURE IN HEAVEN
9 - THE GIRL FACTOR

HOLLYWOOD

6 - TRACE
3 - FOXTROT SALLY
8 - TRUST
10 - TREASURE IN HEAVEN 

ARCHIE

10 - TREASURE IN HEAVEN
6 - TRACE
9 - THE GIRL FACTOR
7 - UPSET BREWING


RACE 9 -- QE II CHALLENGE CUP -- $500,000 -- 1 1/8 MILE (TURF)


PAULIE

8 - RUSHING FALL
3 - FATALE BERE
4 - DADDY IS A LEGEND
5 - MISSION IMPASSABLE

HOLLYWOOD 

3 - FATALE BERE
8 - RUSHING FALL
4 - DADDY IS A LEGEND
1 - NYALETI

ARCHIE

8 - RUSHING FALL
3 - FATALE BERE
4 - DADDY IS A LEGEND
1 - NYALETI


RACE 10 -- ALLOWANCE $73,000 -- 1 1/16 MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE 

13 - LAST PROMISE KEPT (IF SHE GOES)
2 - MO KNOWS
5 - NOW POWER
6 - YOU CHEATED
3 - DYNATAIL 

HOLLYWOOD

3 - DYNATAIL
7 - NA PALL SPIRIT
13 - LAST PROMISE KEPT (IF SHE GOES)
5 - NOW POWER
1A - VALENTINE WISH

ARCHIE

5 - NOW POWER
2 - MO KNOWS
3 - DYNATAIL
1 - YOUNGEST DAUGHTER
13 - LAST PROMISES KEPT (IF SHE GOES)





KEENELAND HAS BEEN CRAZY, IT SEEMS EACH DAY, WITH A RACE OR TWO ENDING UP WITH AN ASTRONOMICALLY PRICED WINNER ON TOP. WHEN YOU BRING IN THE BEST, SOME GET OVERLOOKED. WE'LL TRY TO FIND THEM. 

OUR OBJECTIVES: TO WIN SOME MONEY HONEY. TO LEAVE WITH MORE MONEY THAN WE CAME IN WITH AND TO HAVE THE HORSES WE PICKED FINISH IN FRONT OF THE ONES WE DIDN'T! 


LISTEN TO HANDICAPPING HEROES!  AT NOON TODAY!  WWW.WCHQFM.COM OR AT THE 100.9 FM CALL SIGNAL. WHY NOT DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP AND TAKE US WITH YOU WHEREVER YOU GO? 


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, October 7, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM KEENELAND LATE PICK 4 -- 10/6/18


The Handicappers tried their best to decipher a very challenging late Pick 4 at Keeneland Saturday and had a bit of success...but, as can happen early in a meet with so many talented trainers, jockeys and horses on the premises...things can sometimes not go as envisioned. They were unable to bring down the Pick 4. A huge payout there of over $15.000.00 and horses that scored at 70-1 and 23-1.

Bombs exploded in the ninth and tenth races that we weren't able to come up with and those who were lucky enough to successfully predict them got rewarded handsomely. It's horseracing. It can and does happen.

Here's how they fared:

PAULIE had 14 of his picks go forth (two scratches) and out of those he had two winners, a second and two thirds. That's a 36% "in the money" percentage. Add an exacta to his totals but no Pick 3's or Pick 4. PAULIE ends the day with 12 points. 

HOLLYWOOD saw 15 of his selections get a call. He had two firsts, two seconds and a third. A 33% "in the money" percentage. Give him two exactas as well. HOLLYWOOD takes second in the day's point totals with 15 points.

ARCHIE had no scratches and all 16 of his picks contested the distances. Two winners for him, with a place and three shows. He ends up with a 38% "in the money" percentage. He adds an exacta and trifectas to his successes. ARCHIE narrowly takes the day's competition with 16 points. 

Keeneland is tough, no doubt about it. Too early yet to determine any tracks biases, hot jockeys or sizzling trainers. We'll keep firing, though.


CUMULATIVE TOTALS

ARCHIE   143
PAULIE    135
HOLLYWOOD   118


(You can hear yesterday's show replay at the link below:) 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2018-10-06



paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, October 6, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- KEENELAND -- LATE PK 4 SELECTIONS -- 10/6/18


The Handicappers take their sheets and (hopefully) luck with them down I-64 East today to take on the late Pick 4 at historic Keeneland on their second day of the Fall meet. Quite an impressive and challenging card awaits them with three Grade I races and a nice maiden affair to close it out in races 8-11.

Let's see where the fellas are headed with their picks!


RACE 8 -- FIRST LADY STAKES (GI) -- $400,000 -- 1 MILE (TURF)


PAULIE 

3 - QUIDURA
5 - INDIAN BLESSING
2 - A RAVING BEAUTY
8 - VALADORNA


ARCHIE

2 - A RAVING BEAUTY
3 - QUIDURA
10 - OFF LIMITS
5 - INDIAN BLESSING


HOLLYWOOD

4 - CROWN WALK
2 - A RAVING BEAUTY
10 - OFF LIMITS
7 - DONA BRUJA






RACE 9 -- CLAIBORNE FUTURITY (GI) -- $500,000 -- 1 1/16TH MILE


PAULIE

13 - MIND CONTROL
3 - FLUMINENSE
8 - TOBACCO ROAD
2 - SOMEBEYAY

ARCHIE

13 - MIND CONTROL
2 - SOMEBEYAY
5 - DREAM MAKER
3 - FLUMINENSE


HOLLYWOOD

13 - MIND CONTROL
2 - SOMEBEYAY
5 - DREAM MAKER
8 - TOBACCO ROAD


RACE 10 -- SHADWELL TURF MILE (GI) -- $1,000,000 -- 1 MILE (TURF)


PAULIE

5 - HEART TO HEART
7 - QURBAAN
9 - ANALYZE IT
2 - DIVISIDERO


ARCHIE 

9 - ANALYZE IT
7 - QURBAAN
11 - ALMANAAR
5 - HEART TO HEART


HOLLYWOOD

9 - ANALYZE IT
7 - QURBAAN
12 - MR. MISUNDERSTOOD
10 - VOODOO SONG


RACE 11 -- MAIDEN 67K -- $67,000 -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE

12 - READY AND RICH
13 - BOLD PROPOSITION
4 - LIMONITE
8 - SOMES SOUND


ARCHIE

12 - READY AND RICH
4 - LIMONITE
1 - GOTTA BOUNCE
8 - SOMES SOUND


HOLLYWOOD

4 - LIMONITE
13 - BOLD PROPOSITION
12 - READY AND RICH
10 - KING FORD


Be sure to catch the HANDICAPPING HEROES radio broadcast today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM. LINK: www.wchqfm.com   You can also listen live at the WCHQ website or download the WCHQ app and take the station with you wherever you go! 

Good luck today and remember our main objective:  "To have the horses we pick finish in front of the ones we didn't." 



paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, September 30, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS --RESULTS FROM 9/29/18



The Handicappers took on racing under the stars at Churchill Downs Saturday night with a run at the challenging late Pick 4 sequence and took it down. Although the payout wasn't extremely high, as we say here, we can just predict the winners...we can't choose the payouts...

Here's the replay:  https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2018-09-29


PAULIE gave you 16 horses and 15 went forward. Out of those he had three winners, a second and four thirds. That's a 53% "in the money" percentage. He also added the early Pick 3 to his totals. PAULIE FINISHES THE DAY WITH 18 POINTS. 


HOLLYWOOD also had 15 break from the gate. He gave us three winners, a place and three shows. Chalk him up for an exacta and the early Pick 3 as well. He ended up with a 46% "in the money percentage. HOLLYWOOD ENDS UP WITH 19 POINTS. 

ARCHIE had all 16 of his picks go. Archie provided four winners, one second and four thirds. Archie also gave us an exacta, trifecta, both Pick 3's in the sequence and the Pick 4! That's a 56% "in the money" percentage. ARCHIE TAKES THE DAY WITH A DOMINATING 33 POINTS, 


CUMULATIVE TOTALS

ARCHIE                   127
PAULIE                    123
HOLLYWOOD         103


Here's the results for Saturday: https://www.churchilldowns.com/racing-wagering/toteboard 



paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, September 29, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS -- LATE PICK 4 SELECTIONS -- 9/29/18


Tonight the Handicappers take on night racing at Churchill Downs...the Downs After Dark -- so to speak. A fine night of racing, including our late Pick 4 that includes a couple of Grade III races, and an interesting Arabian affair.

We don't handicap the Arabians very often and this one is a Grade I, so they must be pretty special.
Everything is on Churchill's "dirt" tonight in the sequence and first race starts at 6 p.m. Whether Paulie gets over there after football remains to be seen...

To the picks:


RACE 8 -- ACK ACK STAKES (GIII) $100,000 -- 1 MILE 


PAULIE

7 - C Z ROCKET 
6 - SEEKING THE SOUL
1 - AWESOME SLEW
2 - GIANT EXPECTATIONS


ARCHIE

6 - SEEKING THE SOUL
7 - C Z ROCKET
2 - GIANT EXPECTATIONS
1 - AWESOME SLEW


HOLLYWOOD

7 - C Z ROCKET
6 - SEEKING THE SOUL
2 - GIANT EXPECTATIONS
1 - AWESOME SLEW




RACE 9 -- LUKAS CLASSIC STAKES (GIII) $200,000 -- 1-1/8TH MILES


PAULIE

1 - HONORABLE DUTY
6 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
5 - FLOWERS FOR LISA
2 - REMEMBERING RITA 


ARCHIE

6 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
1 - HONORABLE DUTY
5 - FLOWERS FOR LISA
2 - REMEMBERING RITA


HOLLYWOOD 

6 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
1 - HONORABLE DUTY
8 - BREAKING LUCKY
5 - REMEMBERING RITA


RACE 10 -- UNITED EMIRATES CUP STAKES (GI) -- $100,000 -- 1-1/16TH MILES


PAULIE

1 - QUICK SAND
2 - QUICK AND RICH
4 - EASTER MAN
5 - UPTOWN SANDY GIRL


ARCHIE 

1 - QUICK SAND
5 - UPTOWN SANDY GIRL
2 - QUICK AND RICH
4 - EASTER MAN


HOLLYWOOD

5 - UPTOWN SANDY GIRL
2 - QUICK AND RICH
1 - QUICK SAND
8 - MADJIKMAN





RACE 11 --  MAIDEN CLAIMING -- $50,000 -- 6 FURLONGS


PAULIE 

1 - TRUTH GODDESS
4 - TALAALAH
8 - SAY IT SOFTLY
5 - SUMMER STORM


ARCHIE

3 - MRS HOWELL
8 - SAY IT SOFTLY
5 - SUMMER STORM
9 - BRONZE CHARM 


HOLLYWOOD

4 - TALAALAH
5 - SUMMER STORM
1 - TRUTH GODDESS
2 - SHE'S SO BOSSY


Be sure to catch HANDICAPPING HEROES radio broadcast today at noon for a more detailed description of Paulie, Archie and Hollywood's picks. 

HERE'S THE ARCHIVED REPLAY OF THE SATURDAY SHOW: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2018-09-29

You can find the station locally on WCHQ-FM at 100.9 FM. The station is also available at the website....WWW.WCHQFM.COM  . Why not download the WCHQ app while there and take the station with you wherever you go? 

LINK:  HANDICAPPING HEROES

Best of luck tonight in your ventures, may your horses run fast and finish in front of the others!


paulie
xxxxx


Sunday, September 23, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS LATE PK 4 -- 9/22/18


The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday. A track that had devolved into sloppy conditions. We had some successes but, at least speaking for myself, handicapped the races for a fast track. We record the show early Saturday morning, so we don't exactly know what the track will be like later that afternoon.

A huge surprise in race 10, when Calvin Borel guided massive long-shot DIVINE QUEEN through the field and down the rail to win. An over $100 payout on a $2 wager there. We didn't have it between the three of us.

Handicapping for wet weather involves a bit more study. You look for horses that have run in the slop and how they've done. Any races on the track they're running on that day...you pay particular attention to. A look at Divine Queen shows us that, although she had never run on a "off track", she did have a win at Churchill with Borel on board the only time that she had run at Churchill.

With these two-year old fillies, we see that, upon further review, only (2) of them had ever tried the sloppy going. #7 EveryoneLovesJimmy tried the slop once (at Churchill) lifetime and won the race. That would have been a logical choice, but the filoy did not hit the board yesterday. The #10 Naples Legacy had run three times on an off-track and never hit the board, including an eighth-place finish at Churchill back in late June. Once again, she did not hit the board.

So, sometimes the "angle" works, sometimes it doesn't...but it remains a useful handicapping tool.

Let's see how the guys did yesterday:


HOLLYWOOD had 14 of his 16 picks break from the gate, with two scratches. Out of those, he had two winners, one second and two thirds. That's a 36% "in the money" percentage. He also had one exacta. HE FINISHED THE SEQUENCE WITH 12 POINTS. 

PAULIE had 15 of his 16 picks remain in the races, with one scratch. He gave us three winners, three places and a show. That's a 47% "in the money" percentage. He also gave us two exactas, including a huge one in race 11 that paid $136.40 on a $2 wager. PAULIE ALMOST TOPS ARCHIE WITH 20 POINTS IN THE SEQUENCE. 

ARCHIE saw all 16 of his picks try the dirt with no scratches. He produced three winners, three seconds and two shows. He also gave us two exactas, with a nice one in Race 8 that paid $64 on a $2 investment. HE EDGES OUT PAULIE FOR THE TOP SPOT IN THE CONTEST WITH A TOTAL OF 21 POINTS. 

Even though we did not hit either Pick 3 or the Pick 4, we still gave out some nice payouts via the exactas. 

YOU CAN HERE YESTERDAY'S SHOW AT THE LINK BELOW: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 9/22/18


CUMULATIVE TOTALS:


PAULIE                 105
ARCHIE                 94
HOLLYWOOD      84


paulie
xxxxx