Sunday, August 13, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from Arlington 8/12/17


The Handicappers tackled the late Pick 4 at Arlington and, although they didn't bring it down...they did have a good deal of success with nailing the late Pick 3 and providing some very profitable exacta and trifecta suggestions. Here how it shook out:

ARCHIE had eight of his sixteen picks finish in the money. Two winners, three seconds and three thirds for him. He also had an exacta in the final leg. His Best Bet Keystonetovictory ran third, his Value Play Grand Jete also ran third . His top jock of the sequence Julian Leparoux failed to win, though, in the four race sequence. ARCHIE FINISHES THE DAY WITH 17 POINTS. 

PAULIE saw nine of his sixteen picks draw money. He finished with two winners, three seconds and four thirds. Give him two exactas and two trifectas on the day as well. His Best Bet Deauville finished a disappointing third, his Value Play Ghost Hunter did not hit the board and his top jock of the sequence was also Julian Leparoux...so no cigar there. PAULIE FINISHES SECOND ON THE DAY WITH 26 POINTS. 

SCOTT got seven of his sixteen suggestions on the tote board. Three won, three placed and one showed. He scored on two exactas and two trifectas...plus nailing the late Pick 3. His Best Bet Dona Bruja ran second. His Value Play Sensitive failed to hit the board but his top jock of the sequence was Irad Ortiz, Jr. who won on Dacita in the 10th race. SCOTT WINS THE DAY WITH 33 POINTS.

Leparoux was disappointing on the day with just one third place finish and three out-of-the-money rides. Postulation surprised us all in the opening sequence (Race 9) with a win. A shipper from Delaware...maybe we should have considered his six length win in a 50k stakes race up there last out....but, honestly, there were better horses to choose from and the horse was 1 for 6 since last summer and beaten by Bullards Alley and Ghost Hunter...runners on yesterday's card. Sometimes, it can be the jockey change...J.A. Vargas, Jr. hopped on board for the first time. He came in from Parx to ride and it was one of two mounts he had on the day.  Veteran DRF handicapper Marcus Hersh did make Postulation his top pick in the race...

The winning jockeys in the sequence (Vargas, Joel Rosario, Miguel Mena and Irad Ortiz) all shipped in from other tracks and don't regularly ride at Arlington.

Check these numbers out. $1 exacta pays $71.80. .50 cent trifecta returning $173.45. Pick 3 gets you $295.25 on the .50 cent wager. All profit makers, all enough to make you a winner on the day and all available here....FREE...at Handicapping Heroes.

CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

Paulie -- 360
Archie -- 325
Scott -- 286

To hear yesterday's broadcast....go to this LINK

If you have a question, comment or idea for Scott, Archie or Paulie...send us an e-mail to:

handicappngheroes@gmail.com or leave a comment in the comments section.


paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, August 12, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections for 8/12/17 -- Arlington Million Day



Today the Handicappers go to Arlington Race Course in scenic Chicago for the late Pick 4. It is a challenging card ....with two Grade I and two Grade III races...all on turf. We'll be keeping an eye on the skies up there and see if the turf stays firm. 


RACE 9 -- The American St. Leger - Grade III -- 1 - 11/16 miles

PAULIE 

1 - Keystoneforvictory
2 - Taghleeb
8 - Bullards Alley
6 - Applicator

ARCHIE

1 - Keystoneforvictory
6 - Applicator
2 - Taghleeb
8 - Bullards Alley

SCOTT

1 - Keystoneforvictory
8 - Bullards Alley
2 - Taghleeb
6 - Applicator

RACE 10 -- Beverly D - Grade I -- 1 - 3/16 miles

PAULIE 

1 - Dacita
4 - Dona Bruja
5 - Grand Jete
6 - Zipessa

ARCHIE 

4 - Dona Bruja
5 - Grand Jete
9 - Hawksmoor
6 - Zipessa

SCOTT

4 - Dona Bruja
9 - HAwksmoor
1 - Dacita
10 - Rain Goddess


RACE 11 -- Arlington Million - Grade I -- 1 - 1/4 miles

PAULIE

5 - Deauville
4 - Ghost Hunter
13 - Mekhtaal
11 - Divisidero

ARCHIE

5 - Deauville
13 - Mekhtaal
11 - Divisidero
10 - Beach Patrol

SCOTT 

13 - Mekhtaal
8 - Kasaqui
10 - Beach Patrol
12 - Ascend


RACE 12 -- Pucker Up - Grade III -- About 1 - 1/8 miles

PAULIE

7 - Lovely Bernadette
2 - Fault
4 - Journey Home
3 - Lipstick City

ARCHIE

3 - Lipstick City
2 - Fault
4 - Journey Home
11 - Canny

SCOTT

6 - Sensitive
4 - Journey Home
2 - Fault
5 - Dontmesswithjoanne



BEST BET OF THE DAY 

PAULIE - #5 Deauville -- Race 11
ARCHIE - #1 Keystoneforvictory -- Race 9
SCOTT - #4 Dona Bruja -- Race 10


VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 

PAULIE - #4 Ghost Hunter -- Race 11 
ARCHIE - #5 Grand Jete -- Race 10
SCOTT - #6 Sensitive -- Race 12


TOP  JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE 

PAULIE - Julian Leparoux
ARCHIE - Julian Leparoux
SCOTT - Irad Ortiz, Jr. 

Be sure to catch HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM locally and online at www.crescenthillradio.com 

LINK: www.crescenthillradio.com


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, August 6, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 8/5/17



The Handicappers took on the challenging late Pick 4 at Saratoga and, although they did not take it down, they did quite well in picking horses that finished in the money. The downfall for all the guys came in Race 10...when none of them came up with morning line 15-1 winner THUNDERING SKY...out of the George Weaver barn and ridden by Rajiv Maragh. A scratch of the #2 SASSY LITTLE LILA (who all three picked) sent the handicappers scrambling for a replacement horse...but none of them came up with the eventual winner. Saratoga proved once again that it is the "graveyard of favorites"...with only two of the four favorites in the sequence getting home first. Let's see how the guys did!


SCOTT HARRIS gave us 16 runners to look at and out of those...eight made the payoff board. He had three winners, three seconds and two thirds. He also picked two exactas and a trifecta. His best bet (GUN RUNNER) did hit the line first, but his value play (TEQUILITA)  ran third in the 8th race and his top jock of the sequence (LUIS SAEZ) did not win in the sequence. SCOTT FINISHES THE DAY WITH 34 POINTS.

ARCHIE KAREL picked 16 horses in his handicapping efforts and nine of his finished in the money. Archie had three winners, three seconds and three thirds. He also had two exactas and two trifectas. His bet bet of the day (NEOLITHIC) did win the 11th. race but his value play (WAR STORY) was fourth in the Whitney. He did have top jock JOHN VELAZQUEZ get a win for him in the final race. ARCHIE ENDS THE DAY IN SECOND WITH 48 POINTS.

PAULIE also provided 16 to consider and 11 of his returned money at the window. He had three winners, four places and four shows. Give Paulie three exactas and two trifectas also. His best bet (NEOLITHIC) won but his value play (TU BRUTUS) must have taken a side trip to the Spa infield for a beer and dog. His top jock (JOSE ORTIZ) came through in the 8th race for a win. PAULIE TAKES THE DAY WITH 52 POINTS. 

Trifectas that pay $349. Exactas that triple your four-horse box investment amount. Jockeys that win and profits for the day. That's what you get here at HANDICAPPING HEROES and what you'll find each week! At no cost or fee to you. Just read the site and listen to the radio show. 

in the overall standings: 

PAULIE -- 334
ARCHIE -- 308
SCOTT  -- 253

Did you miss the broadcast Saturday? Here's a replay at this link: 

HANDICAPPING HEROES 8/5/17 BROADCAST

Questions or comments for the Handicappers? Just leave them in the comments section or e-mail directly to:   handicappngheroes@gmail.com


paulie
xxxxx








Saturday, August 5, 2017

Selections for Saratoga -- 8/5/17



The Handicappers remain at the Spa today to take on the Late pick 4 at Saratoga. A very challenging sequence for Races 8-11...with (2) Grade I affairs, a nice stakes race and ending up with an optional claiming contest. The boys have overcome fender benders, ailing backs and replaced hips to scout these out for you today. Let's go to the selections! 


RACE 8 -- Test (GI) 7 furlongs $500,000

PAULIE 

8 - Faypien
10 - American Gal
3 - Chalon
4 - Tequilita

SCOTT 

8 - Faypien
4 - Tequilita
2 - Your Love
10 - American Gal

ARCHIE

8 - Faypien
10 - American Gal
4 - Tequilita
7 - Divine Miss Grey


RACE 9 -- The Whitney (GI) 1-1/8 miles $1,200,000

PAULIE

5 - Keen Ice
6 - Gun Runner
4 - Tu Brutus
2 - Breaking Lucky

SCOTT

6 - Gun Runner
5 - Keen Ice
1 - War Story
4 - Tu Brutus

ARCHIE

6 - Gun Runner
5 - Keen Ice
1 - War Story
2 - Breaking Lucky


RACE 10 -- DeLaRoseB (Turf) 1 Mile $100,000


PAULIE 

7 - On Leave
2 - Sassy Little Lila
8 - Bar of Gold
12 - Proper Discretion

SCOTT

7 - On Leave
11 - Light In Paris
2 - Sassy Little Lila
10 - Elysea's World

ARCHIE

10 - Elysea's World
2 - Sassy Little Lila
7 - On Leave
11 - Light In Paris


RACE 11 -- OC 62k/N2X 7 Furlongs  $90,000


PAULIE

7 - Neolithic
6 - Mo Town
8 - Schivarelli
5 - Warrior's Club

SCOTT

7 - Neolithic
6 - Mo Town
4 - Always a Suspect
3 - Realm

ARCHIE

7 - Neolithic
8 - Schivarelli
6 - Mo Town
4 - Always a Suspect


BEST BET OF THE DAY

PAULIE -- 7 - Neolithic - Race 11
SCOTT -- 6 - Gun Runner - Race 9 
ARCHIE -- 7 - Neolithic - Race 11

VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 

PAULIE -- 4 - Tu Brutus - Race 9 
SCOTT -- 4 - Tequilita - Race 8 
ARCHIE -- 1 - War Story - Race 9 

TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE -- Jose Ortiz
SCOTT -- Luis Saez
ARCHIE -- John Velazquez


Be sure to listen to our radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon for more detailed explanation on these picks. Locally on WCHQ 100.9 FM and available on line at www.crescenthillradio.com

If you have a question or comment for the Handicappers...e-mail us at: 

handicappngheroes@gmail.com or just leave it in our comments section. 



paulie
xxxxx




Monday, July 31, 2017

Who can figure out this year's 3 yr. old crop?...Monmouth Results



Remember back in March and April of this year? Remember who we were talking about as the Derby favorites? Seems a while back right? We were big on McCracken here. After floundering in the Derby, he has returned pretty well...winning the Matt Winn at Churchill and finishing a nose back in second yesterday in the Haskell to Girvin...another one we were high on back in April and paid you generously at 9-1 if you were wise enough to include him. His trainer Joe Sharp said he was ready to win a Grade I race and he did just that with cagey Robby Albarado tracking down another favorite jockey of mine in Brian Hernandez, Jr on McCracken in the final jumps to get the upset win and complete a sweet exacta for us ($77.90 on a $1 box) and the Pick 3 ($193.50)...which we handed to you yesterday free of charge.

I came close to making the wager a Pick 4. I loved both Chad Brown horses in the first leg (Race 9) but didn't go there. That mistake cost me a $671 payout on the sequence (on a 50 cent wager).

We live and learn. Wind Tartare and Joel Rosario did the job for C.B.

We take our Pick 3 win, though, and are satisfied with it...specially since it only cost $32 to invest.
Money's On Charlotte was a nice way to start the Pick 3 and I gave you the exacta and trifecta in Race 10 as well. Next, Wekeela downed odds-on favorite Miss Temple City in the Matchmaker and I predicted that one also...along with another exacta and trifecta for you. Girvin finished the job.  Pity the poor fool on "The Horse Racing Network" who boldly proclaimed he was going six deep in the final race of the Pick 4 and tossing out Girvin. Hey, buddy...ever heard of the "all" button if you're going that deep?

Sadly, a similar story from Saturday where a couple of associates nearly took down the Saturday late Pick 4 at Saratoga ($4667 on a $2 wager). They had 3 of the 4 winners and took six horses in the race they lost (The Bowling Green) but left out Hunter O'Riley...the 16-1 winner. An "all" button there would have cost just a few dollars more per person. I'm sure they're tired of hearing about that...I can't fault them...I didn't like or use Hunter O'Riley either. Another reason why they call Saratoga "the graveyard of favorites" right there for ya....

This year's Derby winner Always Dreaming ran third Saturday. The Preakness winner Cloud Computing finished behind him in Saratoga's Jim Dandy...where a first-time dirt participant (Good Samaritan) and first-time two turns runner (Giuseppe The Great) stole the show. How many of you remember that "Good Sam" actually ran on Derby Day at Churchill? Not in the big race, of course...but in the American Turf Stakes...where he came flying down the center of the Matt Winn Turf Course and edged out Big Score to finish second to Arklow? I had him that day and remembered the run...I didn't know how well he'd adjust to dirt...but it seems he likes it just fine.

So...who is the top of the three year old crop currently? Will we ever see Classic Empire again? Any love left for Irap? How do Irish War Cry and Timeline rebound from yesterday's defeat?

The Travers at Saratoga may provide a few more answers before the Breeders Cup...the Travers is about a month away. Who will head to the Spa to contest it?

Plenty of questions remain about this 3 year old crop.


paulie
xxxxx




Sunday, July 30, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 7/29/17 and a look at the Haskell



The Handicappers took on the late Pick 4 at Saratoga yesterday and didn't do too badly at all...coming up with three of the four winners of the sequence at the "graveyard of favorites" . None of us could come up with the winner of the ninth race...the Bowling Green Stakes...a 16-1 shot in Hunter O' Riley but it wasn't a bad day overall. Let's see how the fellas did.


ARCHIE gave us 16 horses he hoped would run well. With the scratch of AP INDIAN in the 8th race, the handicappers had the option of substituting a horse, since all three had this one in their selections. Paul and Archie chose to add a horse, Scott did not. Out of Archie's runners, nine hit the board. He had two winners, three seconds and four thirds. Also an exacta and trifecta. Although his best bet and value play failed to win...he did have his top jock Javier Castellano win a race for him. ARCHIE finishes the day with a very respectable 31 points. 

SCOTT had 15 runners break from the gate. Nine of those got paid for him. Three winners, two places and four shows for the pool shark. Add in an exacta and trifecta as well for him. Neither his best bet nor value play won...but he also had Castellano as his top jock of the sequence. SCOTT finishes second on the day with 32 points. 

PAULIE also gave you 16 mounts to consider. Nine of his were cashable tickets. Three winners, three places and three shows for the Paulster. He also had an exacta and trifecta scores. His best bet and value play were beaten...but he, too, had Castellano as his top jock. PAULIE barely wins the day with 33 points. 

Sometimes, just one big hit can make the day and that was the case in Race 10 for Paulie...where he hit a $145 exacta and $355 trifecta (based on $2 wager) when Good Samaritan and Giuseppe The Great ran by the Derby winner (Always Dreaming) and Preakness champ (Cloud Computing) to create a nice payday. Although the top two weren't his top two picks...he used them to fill out the exacta and trifecta and got a nice payout surprise. Never be afraid to take a chance when formulating those types of tickets. Favorites don't win every race...especially at Saratoga.

Another example is the "Grand Slam". Paulie caught that twice yesterday...it paid $90.50 for a $1 wager. Paulie plays it with two runners in the first three races and the"all" button in the final.  $181 total winnings on a $45 ticket. Why Churchill and the Kentucky tracks do not add this wager to their offerings is beyond me. Currently, the New York tracks are the only ones that offer it. The objective is to pick horses to come in at least third in the first three races of the sequence and the winner of the fourth leg.

The Pick 4...by the way...paid $4667. The "all" button in the 9th Race would have been smart here, right?


IN THE CUMULATIVE points race:

PAULIE -- 282
ARCHIE -- 260
SCOTT -- 219


<><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>


I don't like playing Monmouth Race Curse ( I call it curse because that's usually what I end up doing when I bet there...) as a rule but they're offering the $1 million Haskell Invitational Stakes this Sunday...so I'll take a chance. I'm not going for the Pick 4 there...but will try a pick three. Here's the build....starting in Race 10. It's a 50 cent wager, so I'll go deep...

I've invited the boys to join me...we'll see if they respond.

RACE 10 -- MOLLY PITCHER

5 - Mo'Green
3 - Eskenformoney
2 - Carrumba
6 - Money's on Charlotte

RACE 11 -- MATCHMAKER

2 - Miss Temple City
3 - War Flag
4 - Quiet Kitten
1 - Wekeela

RACE 12 -- HASKELL

1 - Irish War Cry
7 - Girvin
5 - McCracken
3 - Timeline

If you want to short that $32 ticket I've proposed...Miss Temple City in the 11th looks pretty much like she'll romp against these today...so you could "shorten and single" there...I don't love her that much...


Good luck all.

IF you want to hear yesterday's broadcast, go HERE

IF you have questions, comments, ideas or suggestions for HANDICAPPING HEROES...contact us at handicappngheroes@gmail.com

(That's right...there is no second "i" in "handicappng". )



paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections for Saratoga 7/29/17



The Handicappers stay at Saratoga for the second week in a row with a very good late Pick 4
to tackle that includes three stakes.handicap races and a challenging maiden special weight
to end it. The action for these starts in race 8!

RACE 8 -- ALFRED G> VANDERBILT (DIRT) 6 FURLONGS. GRADE I


PAULIE

8 - Limousine Liberal
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED)
5 - Bird Song
6 - Ready For Rye 
3 - El Deal (ADDED) 

ARCHIE

5 -Bird Song
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED) 
8 - Limousine Liberal
3 - El Deal 
6 - Ready for Rye (ADDED) 


SCOTT

8 - Limousine Liberal
4 - AP Indian (SCRATCHED) 
3 - El Deal
5 - Bird Song
(No ADD ON) 



RACE 9 -- BOWLING GREEN STAKES (TURF) 1-3/8 MILES. GRADE II 


PAULIE 

1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler's Joy
7 - Ascend
8 - Frank Conversation 

ARCHIE

7 - Ascend
1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler
2 - Frank Conversation

SCOTT

7 - Ascend
3 - Closing Bell
1 - Bigger Picture
4 - Sadler's Joy


RACE 10 -- JIM DANDY STAKES (DIRT) 1-1/8 MILES. GRADE II 


PAULIE

1 -Always Dreaming
2 - Cloud Computing
3 - Giuseppe The Great
5 - Good Samaritan

ARCHIE

1 - Always Dreaming
2 - Cloud Computing
4 - Pavel
3 - Giuseppe The Great

SCOTT

2 - Cloud Computing
1 - Always Dreaming
5 - Good Samaritan
4 - Pavel



RACE 11 -- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT (TURF) 1-1/16 MILES 


PAULIE

6 - Freedom
2 - Durable Goods
4-  Mini Pearl 
3 - Wake Island

ARCHIE

2 - Durable Goods
3 - Wake Island
8 - Magical Sky 
11 - Mini Pearl 

SCOTT

8 - Magical Sky
2 - Durable Goods
3 - Wake Island
11 - Mini Pearl 


BEST BET

PAULIE -- 8 - Limousene Liberal - 8th RACE
ARCHIE -- 1 - Always Dreaming - 10th RACE
SCOTT -- 7 - Ascend - 9th RACE


VALUE PLAY 

PAULIE -- 3 - Giuseppe The Great - 10th RACE
ARCHIE -- 2 - Frank Conversation - 9th RACE
SCOTT -- 8 - Magical Sky - 11th RACE



TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE -- Javier Castellano 
ARCHIE -- Javier Castellano 
SCOTT -- Javier Castellano 




Be sure to catch the radio broadcast HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9
FM and streaming live on the Internet. Here the picks HERE for more detailed explainations
on why the Handicappers chose their selections. 


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 7/22/17



The Handicappers went after the elusive late Pick 4 at Saratoga on Saturday but fell just short in their quest. Living true to the tag "Graveyard of Favorites" we saw a  couple of morning line 12-1 horses ruin the party in races nine and 11...but still had a pretty good day. Anytime you can bat .500 with winners up there...you are doing some good handicapping.

SCOTT selected 16 horses he thought could finish in the money and nine of them ended up doing just that. Two wins, three seconds and four shows for "Gold Room Scotty"...plus and exacta and trifecta. Unfortunately, he did not connect on his best bet of the day, value play or top jockey in the sequence. He finished the day with 21 points. 

PAULIE also had 16 participate and six of his got paid. Two winners, two second place and two third place finished.  No exactas or trifectas...but his best best of the day (Lady Eli) did win. Sadly, his value play and top jock of the sequence did not win. He'll take 22 points for the day. 

ARCHIE is down the the back but very alive and well with his handicapping yesterday at the Spa. Out of his 16, seven hit the board. Two wins, two places and three shows. Give the man an exacta and trifecta as well. The bonus plays is where he cleaned up. His best bet of the day was also Lady Eli, like Paulie. Although his value play lost, his top jock of the sequence (Irad Ortiz, Jr) won three of the four races in the sequence. Archie takes the day with an impressive 58 points. 


Sometimes it's about the jockeys in handicapping. Although Javier Castellano got shut out...another strong rider in Irad Ortiz, Jr  got you paid $3.90,  $16 and $27.60  on $2 wagers. That's $47.50 on a $6 investment and you can do the math if you want on across the board wagering on Irad...it's nice I'll tell you that...so, sometimes...even if they only win once....betting on jockeys can be profitable.

CUMULATIVE STANDINGS

Paulie   249
Archie  229
Scott    187


***************************************************************************

As a side note, if you listened to my Ellis Park selections on the Saturday show...

LINK: HANDICAPPING HEROES 7/22/17

I gave out a Pick 4 that paid $116.65 on a 50 cent wager.

Just filling in a little time and handing out money....


paulie


Friday, July 21, 2017

Handicapping Heroes Saratoga selections 7/22/17


With a day of Spa racing behind us that featured a lot of double digit pricing...it looks like Saratoga is living up to their billing as "the graveyard of favorites" The Handicappers turn their attention to Saturday's card and the late Pick 4 (races 8-11). A couple of nice stakes races in here, a challenging optional claiming and claiming affair to negotiate. Hold on, here we go!


RACE 8 -- 1 mile (inner turf) OC 62K 


PAULIE 

1 - Volatility Index
5 - Priced To Perfection
10 - Stella Rose
2 - Penjade

SCOTT 

5 - Priced To Perfection
1 - Volatility Index
10 - Stella Rose
2 - Penjade

ARCHIE

1 - Volatility Index
2 - Penjade
5 - Priced to Perfection
10 - Stella Rose


RACE 9 -- 6 Furlongs (dirt) The Sanford -- Grade III


PAULIE

6 - Baffin
7 - Direct Dial
1 - Psychoanalyze
2 - Bal Harbor

SCOTT 

5 - Admiral Jimmy
7 - Direct Dial
1 - Psychoanalyze
4 - Free Drop Billy

ARCHIE

6 - Baffin
7 - Direct Dial
1 - Psychoanalyze
4 - Free Drop Billy


RACE 10 -- 1 1/8  miles ( Outer Turf) The Diana  -- Grade I


PAULIE 

3 - Lady Eli
2 - Antonoe
6 - Dickinson
1 - Harmonize

SCOTT

3 -Lady Eli
2 - Antonoe
6 - Dickinson
4 - Quidura

ARCHIE

3 - Lady Eli
6 - Dickinson
4 - Quidura
2 - Antonoe


RACE 11 -- 1 1/16 mile (Inner Turf) Claiming 50,000


PAULIE 

8 - Souperfast
11 - High Noon Rider
3 - Chiltern Street
1 - Mills


SCOTT 

3 - Chiltern Street
8 - Souperfasr
5 - Southside Warrior
11 - High Noon Rider


ARCHIE

11 - High Noon Ride
1 - Mills
3 - Chiltern Street
8 - Souperfast


BEST BET OF THE DAY


PAULIE -- #3 LADY ELI -- RACE 10
SCOTT -- #5 ADMIRAL JIMMY -- RACE 9
ARCHIE -- #3 LADY ELI -- RACE 10


VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY 


PAULIE -- #3 Chiltern Street -- RACE 11
SCOTT -- #3 Chiltern Street -- RACE 11
ARCHIE == #3 Chiltern Street -- RACE 11


TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE 


PAULIE -- Javier Castellano 
SCOTT -- Javier Castellano 
ARCHIE -- Irad Ortiz


Be sure to catch our radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES Saturday at noon 
on WCHQ 100.9 FM locally and on-line at www.cresenthillradio.com for a 
more in-depth commentary on Scott and Archie's selections.

Questions about our picks, racing or handicapping? E-mail us at: 

handicappngheroes@gmail.com 


-paulie  

Spa and Del Mar open! Good racing returns



Not that the racing at Ellis and Indiana Downs hasn't been challenging to handicap...and the cards have been better than expected...but great summer racing is back upon us with the opening of Del Mar earlier this week and the summer meet at Saratoga opening today.

Some notable Churchill jockeys will test their skills at Saratoga. A look at the Friday card reveals Julian Leparoux, Florent Geroux, Ricardo Santata and Joe Bravo all have rides today. They'll get plenty of challenges from the NYRA regular riders... the Ortiz boys, Johnny V., Javier, Joel, Manual Franco, Luis Saez and more.

The top trainers, the top horses, a promising group of two year olds and full fields. Welcome back Saratoga.

On the west coast, Del Mar is the epitome of California racing. You've got a great contingent of jocks to consider out there...Bearano, Nakatani, Desormeaux, Tyler Baze, Drayton Van Dyke, Tiago Pereira, Flavian Prat and Aaron Gryder...to name just a few.

We'll mostly stick with Spa handicapping here until September...when Churchill rolls back around...and that handicapping is quite challenging. Read our picks here on Saturdays.

Don't miss our excellent radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES...which airs Saturdays at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM and streams live at www.crescenthillradio.com  You can also hear previous shows at the site, too.

High quality summer racing. Welcome back!

Got a question about racing, our methods or picks? We welcome your e-mails at:

handicappngheroes@gmail.com



paulie

Saturday, July 15, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 7-15-17


The Handicappers took on the very challenging late Pick 4 at Ellis Park on Saturday. Although they weren't able to win the sequence with their picks...they did have some very good results in the first three races of the sequence. None of us had the foresight to pick the 17-1 winner in Race 9...it was still a good selection day. Watching a front runner that you have in your picks getting nipped at the wire is tough...but it's happened to all of us.


SCOTT gave us 16 horses to consider and out of those 15 broke from the gate. All three of the handicappers had 1A Babe Raham Jan in their picks in the ninth race...but the horse was scratched shortly before the start.  Seven of his made money...he had three wins, three seconds and a third. Give Scott two exactas and the early Pick 3 on the sequence. Although his value play and top jock failed to win, he did score with BIG IRON in the seventh race as his best best. GIVE SCOTT 33 points on the day. 

PAULIE had 15 of his 16 start. Seven of his were cashable tickets at the window. Three winners, two seconds and two thirds over the sequence. One exacta and the early Pick 3 for Paulie also. His best bet UNITED STAND won the sixth race and his top jockey in the sequence Channing Hill had a win also. His value play did not fare too well, though. PAULIE finished the day with 40 points. 

ARCHIE also had 15 of his 16 selections gobble up dirt. Seven of his got you paid. Three wins, two seconds and two thirds for him. He also had the early Pick 3, an exacta and a trifecta in race 6. Archie scored on his best bet of the day BONNIE ARCH and his value play BIG IRON. Although his jockey for the day Manny Cruz failed to win in the sequence...ARCHIE TAKES THE DAY WITH 44 points. 

As Scott will tell you...we can't pick our prices, just the winners. And we provided plenty of those. It was a day where favorites were doing well late and that'll happen sometimes...but a win is a win...regardless of the odds. It just means a lot of people agreed with you.

WE love to see our higher priced horse selections win each race obviously, but studies show that favorites do win about 1/3 of the time. That does leave you with 2 out of 3 chances to catch a price and that's hat we try to give you here at Handicapping Heroes.

You can hear a rebroadcast of Saturday's show at the link below: It went long and if anyone can come up with an idea to keep these guys to 10 minutes or less in their segments....e-mail me at handicappngheroes@gmail.com

That e-mail is good for any questions you might have for us also.


LINK: HANDICAPPING HEROES 7-15-17

CUMULATIVE TOTALS:

Paulie 227
Archie 171
Scott 166



paulie
xxxxx

Friday, July 14, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections from Ellis Park 7/15/17



Today the Handicappers return to the "pea patch" to look at the late Pick 4. A challenging card with two maiden special weight affairs, an allowance race and maiden claimer contest.


RACE 6 -- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 40K (Turf) 1-1/16 Mile


PAULIE

5 - United We Stand
10 American Sea
12 - His Royal Majesty
8 - Mr Compass

SCOTT

5 - United We Stand
10 - American Sea
8 - Mr Compass
11 - Red Hot Chile

ARCHIE

5 - United We Stand
10 - American Sea
7 - Hour City
9 - Exit Laughing


RACE 7 -- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 40K  (Dirt) 6 Furlongs


PAULIE

2 - Big Iron
3 - Tree Peeps
5 - Fight On 
7 - Seven Trumpets

SCOTT

2 - Big Iron
5 - Fight On
1 - John Tipperman
7 - Seven Trumpets

ARCHIE

7 - Seven Trumpets
5 - Fight On
6 - Super Day
2 - Big Iron


RACE 8 -- ALLOWANCE 41K (Turf) 1 -1/16 Mile


PAULIE 

7 - Bonnie Arch
9 - Little Irish Dancer
10 - Oh Dear Lord
5 - Tapanel


SCOTT

4 - Egg Roll
7 - Bonnie Arch
6 - Kaylen's Revenge
11 - TiztheSound

ARCHIE 

7 - Bonnie Arch
4 - Egg Roll
10 - Oh Dear Lord
11 - TiztheSound



RACE 9 -- MAIDEN CLAIMING 7,500 (Turf) 5 1/2 Furlongs

PAULIE

2 - Social Iron
4 - Nevaeha's Rain
3 - Family Label
1A - Babe Raham Jan 

SCOTT

5 - Zemo
1A - Babe Raham Jan
2 - Social Icon

ARCHIE

3 - Family Label
2 - Social Icon
1A - Babe Raham Jan
4 - Nevaeha's Rain



BEST BET 

PAULIE -- #5 United We Stand (Race 6) 
SCOTT -- #2 Big Iron (Race 7) 
ARCHIE -- #7 Bonnie Arch (Race 8) 


VALUE PLAY 

PAULIE -- #9 Little Irish Dancer (Race 8) 
SCOTT -- #8 Kaylan's Revenge  (Race 8)
ARCHIE -- #2 Big Iron (Race 7)  -We'll give Archie a break here...probably won't be 5-1
                                                          or better...our line of demarcation. 


TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE -- Channing Hill  
SCOTT -- Declan Cannon
ARCHIE -- Manny Cruz


Listen HERE for the rebroadcast...HANDICAPPING HEROES 7/15/17

Got a question for the handicappers? Send your e-mail to:

handicappngheroes@gmail.com

paulie
xxxxx


Sunday, July 9, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from 7/8/17



The Handicappers took on the late pick 4 from Stars and Stripes Day at Belmont RaceCourse yesterday and found a lot of success. The guys provided the Pick 4, both Pick 3's in the sequence...plus all four exactas, two trifectas and a superfecta. Here's the breakdown: 


SCOTT gave us 16 horses to consider in the four races and all went forth.  He had nine of those finish in the money. Three winners, four seconds and two thirds. He also provided three exactas and a trifecta. Although his best bet (Shaman Ghost) fell short and value play (Bold Recall) did not get to the wire in time...his top jockey (Javier Castellano) did win a race. SCOTT ENDS WITH AN EFFICIENT 38 POINTS ON THE DAY. 

ARCHIE also had 16 try the surface and also had nine provide a payout. He picked all four winners, had three places and two shows. The Pick 4, both pick 3's, two trifectas, three exactas all under his selection guidance. Unfortunately, his best bet (Shaman Ghost) ran second, his value play (Arklow) is still running and top jock (Johnny Velazquez) did not pick up a win. ARCHIE HAS A NICE DAY TO FINISH SECOND AND PICKS UP 42 POINTS. 

PAULIE participated with 16 runners. Out of them, nine made the tote board. He also had all four winners, three seconds and two shows. Count him in all the Pick 4, both pick 3's, a superfecta in Rqce 8 (8-12-7-11), two trifectas and three exactas. Shaman Ghost failed as my best bet (although credit to Keen Ice for a nice stretch run). Whitecliffsofdover didn't develop as my value play but Javier Castellano did get me one win. PAULIE WINS FOR THE SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK WITH 56 POINTS. 

We make you money and don't charge you for the information. Crazy, right? 

I had a nice last Saturday betting the "pea patch" at Ellis and decided to experiment with my winnings. Yesterday, based on my picks,  I: 

- bet $1 on each exacta (12x4) = $48
- bet $1 on each trifecta (24x4) = $96
- bet $1 on each Pick 3 (4x4x4) $64  (twice for $128) 
- bet a 50 cent Pick 4 (4x4x4x4 divided in half for $144
- bet $10 to win on my best best
- bet $10 to win on my value play
-bet $10 to win on Castelllano in each of the four races. = $40.

A total of $476...which may be a bit out of the reach of some who visit the site. Let's look at the returns, though....which totalled $650. 

The Overall Standings: 

Paulie 188
Arch 127
Scott 126


Saturday, July 8, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Selections for Belmont 7/8/17


The Handicappers are leaving the Kentucky horse racing scene today to take
on a very challenging late Pick 4 sequence at Belmont Race Course on their
final weekend. Two turf, two dirt, Grade I and Grade 2 racing that will be
a true test of their skills today. Let's see who they're liking! 


RACE 7 -- BELMONT SPRINT CHAMPIONSHIP. 7 FURLONGS. G2


PAULIE 

2 - Mind Your Biscuits
1 - Stallwalkin Dude
5 - Awesome Slew
7 - Unified


SCOTT

7 - Unified
1 - Stallwalkin Dude
2 - Mind Your Biscuits
5 - Awesome Slew

ARCHIE

7 - Unified
2 - Mind Your Biscuits
1 - Stallwalkin Dude
5 - Awesome Slew


RACE 8 -- BELMONT OAKS INVITATIONAL STAKES (turf) 1 1/4 MILES G2


PAULIE

7 - Uni
12 - Sistercharlie
8 - New Money Honey
11 - Daddy's Lil Darlin

SCOTT

2 - Bold Recall
12 - Sistercharlie
8 - New Money Honey
10 - Fifty Five

ARCHIE

12 - Sistercharlie
7 - Uni
8 - New Money Honey
10 - Fifty Five


RACE 9 --  SUBURBAN STAKES - 1-1/4 MILES G2


PAULIE

6 - Shamin Ghost
1 - Keen Ice
2 - Matt King Cole
5 - Follow Me Crev

SCOTT

6 - Shamin Ghost
2 - Matt King Cole
3 - Sunny Ridge
5 - Follow Me Crev

ARCHIE

6 - Shaman Ghost
1 - Keen Ice
5 - Follow Me Crev
2 - Matt King Cole


RACE 10 -- BELMONT DERBY INVITATIONAL STAKES (turf) 1-1/4 MILES  G1


PAULIE

4 - Oscar Performance
10 - Whitecliffsofdover
6 - Arklow
11 - Senior Investment

SCOTT

3 - Homespun
1 - Good Samaritan
4 - Oscar Performance
6 - Arklow

ARCHIE 

7 - Yoshida
6 - Arklow
1 - Good Samaritan
4 - Oscar Performance
VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY

PAULIE - 10-Whitecliffsofdover (10th Race) 
SCOTT - 2 Bold Recall (8th Race) 
ARCHIE - 6 Arklow (10th Race) 


BEST BET OF THE DAY

PAULIE - 6 Shaman Ghost (9th Race) 
SCOTT - 6 Shaman Ghost (9th Race) 
ARCHIE - 6 Shaman Ghost (9th Race) 
TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE - Javier Castellano
SCOTT - Javier Castellano 
ARCHIE - John Velazquez 


You can always e-mail the Handicappers if you have any horse racing
questions at: handicappngheroes@gmail.com 

(On the e-mail...remember...There is no "i" in handicappng...on many levels...) 


Be sure to catch the HANDICAPPING HEROES RADIO SHOW today and
each Saturday at noon for detailed explanations on these picks! 

LISTEN! 

On WCHQ 100.9 FM in Louisville or at the Crescent Hill Radio website: 

LINK: www.crescenthillradio.com


paulie
xxxxx



Tuesday, July 4, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Happy Fourth of July



From the Handicappers....have a safe and fun Fourth!


Freedom isn't free...there are many in our history who sacrificed to give us
our independence and right to do things we take for granted. Never forget
and always appreciate the the fact you have the right to choose and express.

We are all races and creeds. We are all ages and religious types. We are farmers,
forensic scientists, bakers and botanists. We fix cars and repair hearts. We race
horses and watch children. We have the right to dissent, demonstrate and speak
out for what is wrong and right in this world. Rejoice in those freedoms.

Thank those who got us here, keep us here and also remember that you can make
a difference, you can debate and you can choose. There are many who cannot...

Happy Fourth!





Sunday, July 2, 2017

Handicapping Heroes -- Results from Ellis Park 7/1/17



The Handicappers took their skills to Ellis Park for the opening day of their summer meet yesterday and owned the place in the late PK 4 sequence. Both Pick Threes, the late Pick 4,  all four exactas and three trifectas were successfully provided for the reader on these pages yesterday. Let's look at the individual numbers...

ARCHIE had 14 of his 16 picks break from the gate after a couple of scratches and seven returned a payout. He had three winners, three seconds and a third in his numbers. Give Archie a couple of exactas as well. Unfortunately, his best bet, value play and top jock of the sequence did not finish first. ARCHIE ends the day with 20 points. 

SCOTT saw all 16 of his selections race. He ended up cashing tickets on eight of them. Three firsts, four places and a show for "Gold Room Scotty". Three exactas and a trifecta also paid out on his picks. His best bet and value play did not get to the winners circle but his top jock...Corey Lanerie...did. SCOTT finishes the day with 37 points. 

PAULIE found the "pea patch" to his liking. 15 of his 16 choices got a call. Nine of those were good for taking to the window. Paulie swept the sequence with four winners, two seconds and three thirds. Add in two exactas and two trifectas for him. He also had both of the Pick 3's in the sequence and the Pick 4. Although his value play ran a bit short, his best bet of the day Caberneigh barely got to the wire in time in the final and his top jock of the sequence Brian Hernandez, Jr. got his picture taken twice. Those bonus categories really paid off for him...Paulie wins the day with 69 points.


You want to play the ponies and have a good time....whether it's live or online. Socialize, watch exciting races and have a fun day. Why not end the day with more money than you started with? All you have to do is follow the handicapping we provide here to pad the wallet. All for free, from the guys who know the horses, jockeys, trainers and "in's and out's".  HOW DOES A $1143.40 PICK 4 SOUND TO YOU? PICK THREES THAT PAY $177.20 and $374.00. $517, $131 AND $147 TRIFECTAS?  They're here waiting for you. All you have to do is click and read...or listen to the radio show. Pretty simple, right?  


The Race to 500 numbers after two weeks: 

Paulie - 131
Scott - 88
Archie - 85


To hear yesterday's broadcast replay: go  HERE


paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, July 1, 2017

Handicapping Heroes Selections for Ellis Park Late Pk. 4 -- 7/1/17



We move from Churchill Downs to a little further down the Ohio River and 
look at the opening day for Ellis Park. We've tackled the late Pick 4...a very 
challenging sequence that features two maiden races, an allowance affair
and a lower level claiming contest to close out the sequence. Three of these
are on the Ellis Turf...so it'll be interesting to see how the Churchill grass horses
do down at the "pea patch".



RACE #6  MAIDEN 40K (TURF) 1 MILE FILLIES AND MARES. 


PAULIE

1 - English Affair
2 - Front Row Debbie
5 - Street Performer
6 - Appealing Way 

ARCHIE

1 - English Affair
9 - I Remember Mama
2 - Front Row Debbie
6 - Appealing Way

SCOTT

1- English Affair
6 - Appealing Way
3 - Looks Super
9 - I Remember Mama

RACE #7  MAIDEN 40K 5 FURLONGS TWO YEAR OLDS

PAULIE

1 - Go Chiva Go
6 - Shakedown
5 - Make Noise
3 - Mr. Ashley

ARCHIE

6 - Shakedown
5 - Make Noise
2 - Morning Stride
1 - Go Chiva Go

SCOTT

6 - Shakedown
8 - El Rubi0
4 - Tree Peeps
5 - Make Noise



RACE #8 ALLOWANCE 41K  (TURF) 1 MILE 

PAULIE

8 - Giant Payday
7 - Derby Champagne
2 - Araqeel
1 - Rapid Red

ARCHIE

8 - Giant Payday
7 - Derby Champagne
6 - Marksman
2 - Araqeel

SCOTT

9 - Nice Not Nice
2 - Araqeel
8 - Giant Payday
7 - Derby Champagne


RACE #9 CLAIMING (TURF) 1 MILE

PAULIE

9 - Caberneigh 
10 - Gill's Terrace
12 - Carlos Dangerous
7 - My Brother Don 


ARCHIE

9 - Caberneigh
10 - Gill's Terrace
12 - Carlos Dangerous
1 - Mr. Leadbox

SCOTT

10 - Gill's Terrace
9 - Caberneigh
2 - Sky Alert
12 - Carlos Dangerous


BEST BET 

PAULIE  (9) Caberneigh  Race 9 
ARCHIE (8) Giant Payday Race 8
SCOTT (9) Nice Not Nice  Race 8


VALUE PLAY 

PAULIE  (1) Go Chiva Go  Race 7 
ARCHIE (1) Go Chiva Go  Race 7 
SCOTT (8) El Rubio  Race 7


TOP JOCK OF THE SEQUENCE

PAULIE - Brian Hernandez, Jr. 
ARCHIE - Chris Landeros
SCOTT - Corey Lanerie



If you missed the live broadcast...you can hear the replay here :

HANDICAPPNG HEROES 7/1/17

We recommend you download the WCHQ app. 

paulie
xxxxx

Monday, June 26, 2017

Ellis Park approaches -- Strong Jockey Colony Returning



Ellis Park will kick off their 2017 Summer meet with a bang...so to speak...on Saturday, July 1st and run thru Monday, Sept. 4th. The Henderson, KY track has survived a few rough years during Churchill Downs previous ownership...and has now become a spot that a lot of Churchill trainers send their charges to compete in dirt and turf racing. 

One of the things that Churchill Downs goers will find familiar is the jockey colony that rides at Ellis. Corey Lanerie returns for a second year after spending his summers previously at Saratoga. He's the leading rider currently at Churchill as their meet winds down to the final three days. Robby Albarado will also takes his whip to "The Pea Patch"...a popular nickname for Ellis...where soybeans are grown in the infield. Add in Brian Hernandez, Jr., Miguel Mena, Jon Court, Chris Landeros, Didiel Osorio, James Graham, Calvin Borel and Channing Hill and you have 10 of the top 15 jockeys in the standings at Churchill headed to the track off US 41. 

Top trainers also choose to barn their thoroughbreds at Ellis also. Steve Asmussen, Brad Cox, Dale Romans, Michael Maker, Kenny McPeek and William Bradley will all have runners during the Friday, Saturday and Sunday racing calendar. They comprise six out of the top ten trainers at Churchill currently. Local favorites Paul McGee and Joe Sharp also participate in the Ellis meet....as well as many others who run at the Twin Spires. 

Ellis has also brought in Joe Kristufek as the track analyst...he holds the same position at Churchill. Ellis has also moved a number of stakes races to Sunday...so that the jockeys and trainers who may opt to go to Saratoga, Chicago and New Orleans for big Saturday stakes can still get back and be competitive at Ellis with promising two-years olds and such. The money available to win for owners has improved each of the several last years and is an incentive to stay around the area instead of taking your chances at Saratoga or Monmouth. 

Ellis is also close to Indiana Downs and Hoosier Park...so there will continue to be an influx of top runners and trainers there that won't hesitate to make the 3 hour van ride with their runners to compete. 

Ron Geary purchased the track from Churchill Downs back in 2006...just months after a tornado destroyed several building on the grounds.  Churchill, who had owned the track for a decade, had done away with some of the traditions that had existed before, shortened the racing schedule and even stopped growing soybeans out in the infield. They were considering closing the facility altogether...but Geary had a vision. The few couple of years were rough...but Geary prevailed...bringing popular Churchill tracck announcer Luke Kruytbosch for a couple of meets before Luke's untimely death in 2008. 

He also added video gaming terminals as an option for gamblers, a move that has proven to be profitable for tracks who have installed them. 

The one thing Geary believes he has accomplished is creating a family-friendly environment with free admission, Sunday Dollar Days at the concession stands and the addition of wiener dog, ostrich and camel races.

Now entering his 12th meet as the track owner, it wasn't until five years ago mostly because of the addition of Instant Racing casino-style games and a partnership with Saratoga Casino and Raceway in New York that Geary began to feel like the track was on the right path again.


Ellis has survived the rough stretches. The summer meet could be the most successful in terms of profitability that the track has ever seen. 


Not bad for a place that has soybeans instead of mint juleps in their infield...



paulie
xxxxx