Saturday wasn't exactly what I wanted, as far as results went, I did not hit the Late Pick 4, but there were some successes.
Out of the 16 runners I had in Races 8-11...I had (2) winners, (3) second places and (3) shows.
A 50% "in the money" percentage. A $2 across the board wager on all was a $96 investment. It returned $98.60 so a small profit there. We did catch a 9-1 and 5-1 on top in our wins, so that was pretty cool.
We'll close the book on the .Twin Spires now until November and head east on I-64 to see what Keeneland has to offer
Sunday, September 29, 2019
Saturday, September 28, 2019
11 races on the closing night of the September meeting at Churchill. A TOUGH LATE PICK 4 SEQUENCE...no doubt about it...but we'll go after it and see how we do.
RACE 8 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (TURF) -- JEFFERSON CUP --$125K
6 -- TRACKSMITH
4 -- MICK'S STAR
5 -- FARAWAY KITTEN
1 -- SCARS ARE COOL
RACE 9 -- 1-1/8TH MILE -- LUKAS CLASSIC GIII -- $250K
8 -- KUKULKAN
10 -- MOCITO ROJO
4 -- QUIP
7 -- PIONEER SPIRIT
RACE 10 -- 1 MILE -- OPT. CLAIMING -- $34K
9 -- PATTI PATTI PATTI
6 -- KIMBERLY DREAM
8 -- DARLIN ROSE
4 -- COLORIN COLONEL
RACE 11 -- 6-1/2 FURLONGS -- CLAIMING -- $20K
5 -- JIMMY JOE
9 -- LONTANI
11 -- GRADE
6 -- ALL AROUND
12 -- ADMIRAL BROWN
(YOU MAY HAVE NOTICED I GAVE YOU FIVE PICKS IN RACE 11. I'M "GOING THE
EXTRA MILE" HERE...SINCE IT IS THE FINAL RACE ON THE FINAL NIGHT, THESE
ARE PRETTY CHEAP CLAIMERS AND ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN.) I MAY ROLL THE DICE ON THE SUPER HIGH FIVE,
TOTAL OUTLAY IF YOU PLAY THE PICK 4 IS $160. SINCE I AM "WAY UP" ON THE
TRACK FOR THE SEPT. MEET, I DON'T MIND GOING THE EXTRA $32 TO SEE IF I
CAN TAKE DOWN THE PICK 4.
PLAY 'EM HOWEVER YOU LIKE, THOUGH, AND REMEMBER WHAT I SAY:
IT TAKES MONEY TO MAKE MONEY.
Sunday, September 22, 2019
I tackled the late Pick 4 at Churchill Saturday and hit it. Because of a couple scratches in the last race, the cost dropped in half to play it ($64). It returned $166.95, on the 50 cent wager, so that was a profitable play with abut a $100 profit. .
Our tout on Blunt Force in the second race turned out O.K. as well. Although the Paul McGee runner didn't win, Ol' Blunt ran a strong second, surrendering the lead in the final 1/16th after forging to the lead in the stretch. The $2 pay out was $5.40 to place and $2.20 to show...so, for every $6 invested on a win, price and show bet -- you got a profit of $1.60 back. I ventured $20 to win, $30 to place and $50 to show and thought for a moment I was going to sweep the whole mutual return. I gladly accepted the $40 profit. We'll keep an eye on this runner.
On the late Pick 4 sequence, the numbers:
Out of the 14 runners we chose that broke from the gate in the four races, I scored four winners, two places and one show. A 50% "in the money" average. A $2 win, place and show on all 14 cost $84. I got back $84.10.
Coufefe, the huge favorite in Race 10, toyed with the small field before drawing away in the stretch. Look out, BREEDERS CUP, she's coming to see you !!
Renaissance Frolic looked great in winning the 8th race as my third pick, Wasabi Girl was my top pick in the 9th race and ran down Josie, my second pick to win, and -- despite only having two horses in the 11th race, In Good Spirits got the win and Hey Kitten finished third.
Play certain numbers? #6 hit the board in three of the four races. So did #3. #1 got two payouts out of the four races.
Saturday, September 21, 2019
We'll try the late Pick 4 again at Churchill's September meet (races 8-11) and hope for a little better success than last week. Four challenging races await, with two nice optional claiming affairs -- one of the turf -- the Dogwood Stakes (with a prohibitive favorite in a small field) and a maiden special weight on the turf to close it out.
Here we go.
RACE 8 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (TURF) OPTIONAL CLAIMING $62,500
1 - CAPE ANGEL
2 - BEMMA'S BOY
6 - RENAISSANCE FROLIC
5 - HE'S CHEEKY
RACE 9 -- 6 FURLONGS OPTIONAL CLAIMING $75,000
5 - WASABI GIRL
11 - JOSIE
7 - AMERICAN LEGEND
3 - BANKER'S CHARM
RACE 10 -- THE DOGWOOD STAKES 7 FURLONGS $125,000
6 - COUFEFE
1 - BELL'S THE ONE
2 - TAKE CHARGE ANGEL
5 - CHAMPAGNE ANYONE
RACE 11 -- 1 MILE (TURF) MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT $95.000
3 - HEY KITTEN
1 - IN GOOD SPIRITS
12 - SHE CAN'T SING
11 - RAIN DANCE
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<SPECIAL !! >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
( I'm hearing some GREAT THINGS about a horse in today's second race. #5 BLUNT FORCE -- a Paul McGee runner -- came into his own this summer with a win at a mile down at the ol' pea patch -- ELLIS PARK -- this one could be one to watch at 1-1/16th and might have a bit of a price. A nice closing stretch run against similar down there could be repeated today. Consider.)
Good luck today and play 'em anyway you see fit !!
Sunday, September 15, 2019
An interesting day two for the Churchill meet.
In the late Pick 4, only one favorite got his picture taken, and what a promising one in Dennis' Moment, in the Iroquois Stakes, He toyed with the rest of the field. Watch this one, readers.
I had 15 of my 16 picks break from the gate...British Idiom, was scratched in the Pocahontas. Out of those, I had three winners, two seconds and three thirds. That's a 53% in the money percentage.
If you are a "numbers" player...the #2 post position produced three winners on the 11 race card. #4 had two winners and the post positions #1, #6, #7, #8, #10 and #11 one winner each.
A Pick 4 wager that fell apart in the ninth race with Portrait unable to close in the Pocahontas and knock me out of the wager. Bye, bye $96 investment.
A $2 across the board wager on all 15 of my runners cost $90. It returned $105.80, so a small profit there.
Saturday, September 14, 2019
Huge opening weekend Saturday card today at Churchill. We'll try our skills on the late Pick 4 (Races 8-11). Three graded stakes and a very challenging maiden special weight rounds it out:
RACE 8 -- LOCUST GROVE -- Grade III
3 - My Lady Curlin
5 - Escape Clause
7 - Go Google Yourself
2 - Moonlit Garden
RACE 9 -- POCAHONTAS -- Grade II
7 - British Idiom
6 - Morning Gold
3 - Portrait
8 - Lotta Ott
RACE 10 -- IROQUOIS -- GRADE III
4 - Rowdy Yates
8 - Dennis' Mom
3 - Scabbard
9 - Lebda
RACE 11 -- Maiden Special Weight -- $95,000
10 - Celtic Mischief
3 - Sprawl
9 - Hillbilly Deluxe
2 - Maxfield
Good luck today and remember our motto "It takes money to make money."
Sunday, September 8, 2019
I ventured into the parimutuel pool yesterday at Kentucky Downs and came out refreshed and had the correct sequence of numbers in the Pick 4 to triple my investment.
My wager of $144 returned $431.95.
I also put a 2 across the board wager on all of my sixteen picks. The outlay of $96 brought back $87.20...so that didn't do quite as well.
Let's see how the picks did. I had four winners, two seconds and two thirds. That's a 50% in the money percentage.
The brief meet at Kentucky Downs is a handicapper's dream,,,and a bit of a nightmare. You have the best jockeys and trainers from across the nation (and Europe) coming in.
To walk out of there with a profit is a "pat on the back" achievement. I'LL REFER back to my two adages. 1) You need to be unafraid to put out the money to make money and 2) you can pick the winners but you can't pick what you'll get paid.
Kentucky Downs ends their meet Thursday.
Saturday, September 7, 2019
A fine day of racing awaits at Kentucky Downs this Saturday waits!
I'm concentrating on the Late Pick 4 (Races 7-10), where three Grade III turf races are on the board. Some excellent runners in this sequence and it was hard to narrow it down to jus four picks per race.
Here we go:
RACE 7 -- RUNHAPPY TURF SPRINT -- SIX FURLONGS
1 -- WET YOUR WHISTLE
3 -- IMPRIMIS
8 -- LEINSTAR
10 -- TOTALLY BOSS
RACE 8 -- THREE CHIMNEYS -- 1 MILE
3 -- KALLIO
4 -- VIVA VEGAS
7 -- MITCHELL ROAD
9 -- MS BAD BEHAVIOR
RACE 9 -- SPENDTHRIFT FARMS -- 6 1/2 FURLONGS
3 -- OLEKSANDRA
5 -- COEXISTANCE
7 -- MORTICIA
9 -- TINY TINA
RACE 10 -- CALUMET FARMS -- 1-1/2 MILE
2 -- MY BOY JACK
7 -- PILLAR MOUNTAIN
9 -- ZULU ALPHA
10 -- ARKLOW
Horses are listed in post position number, not preference.
Best of luck to you today, play 'em anyway you like and let's make some money, honey !!
Sunday, September 1, 2019
Sometimes the opening day of a meet offers some surprises. On Kentucky Downs opening day, we look at Races 7-10 and there were NO favorites who hit the wire first in any of these four. I did have some success in giving you three out of the four winners in the sequence.
Here's how the day went:
I gave you 16 horses over the four race sequence, two got scratched -- so I had 14 runners leave the gate. Out of those, I had three winners, but nothing in the place or show spots. That's not a real great "in the money" percentage (21%).
Race 7 paid me nicely with a $12 return on the $2 wager. Race 8 was even better, with a $22.80 win price. In Race 10, another $12 payoff on the win.
Figuring a $2 win on all 14 runners ($28). the payback was $54.80, so that was profitable.
$2 across the board on all 14 ($84) would have returned $90.60, so I squeaked by with a small profit there.
Playing the #7 horse in all four races would have been profitable the #7 won the seventh and ninth races and finished second the the tenth.
It's called gambling and sometimes the best laid plans, study and handicapping doesn't always agree with the final results. The Pick 4 in the sequence paid $2066 on a ,50 cent wager.
Arguably the toughest race was the ninth (which I did not have the winner)...but playing my picks from yesterday and altering them by taking "ALL" in that race would have brought a Pick 4 cost of $384. ...so, once again, the adage of "it takes money to make money" would have returned roughly the same profit as a hitting a 2-1 shot.