Sunday, July 22, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FOR SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 -- 7/21/18



Two of the Handicappers took on the second day of racing at Saratoga and did not fare so badly. It takes a bit of time, usually to pick up trends and "hot" trainers and jockeys at any track. Yesterday, in the Late Pick 4, four different jockeys won and only Brad Cox had multiple victories as a trainer in the sequence with two wins. Trainng wise,  Pletcher, Asmussen, Brown, Casse, Donk, Henning, Jerkens, Lukas, McGaughey, McPeek, Motion, Rice, Romans, Servis, Stall, Ward and Wilkes --and that doesn't even scraatch the surface. Say what you will about West Coast and Del Mar (and it's all good out there as well). the best and brightest are in eastern New York.

Here's how the Handicapper's did:

PAULIE gave you sixteen horses he thought might hit the board and six managed to. 37.5% in the money.  He had two winners, two places and two shows. Give him two exactas on the day as well. An OK start to a tough first week of Handicapping at the Spa and he finished with 16 points.

ARCHIE also provided 16 horses to watch and out of those seven got you paid. 43% in the money. Archie had three winners, two seconds and two thirds. He also hit an exacta and the late Pick 3. A nice $102.50 payout on that late Pick 3 for the dollar. ARCHIE takes the contest today with 20 points. 

Such is the chance one takes when they take on the best. Ortiz's, Geroux, Leparoux, Castellano, Velazquez, Saez, Rosario and Santana. One heck of a starting nine, right? A Hall-of-Fame riders' contingent, for sure.


To hear the replay of Saturday's  Handicapping Heroes, go to this link:


LINK: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180721


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, July 21, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 -- 7/21/18


The Handicappers go to "The Spa" today for summer racing at Saratoga. The best horses, the best trainers, owners and jockeys ascend upon this historic race track each year in late July for fantastic racing and today is no exception. A very challenging Late Pick 4 for the guys awaits -- two stakes races, an allowance affair and tough claiming race make up the sequence.

We'll be without Scott Harris today in our selections and radio broadcast. He is doing better but a doctor's appointment has him on the sidelines for today's selections. Archie and I jump in the canoe to do the best we can... here's what we got!


RACE 8 -- Allowance 87,000n1x -- 5 1/2 Furlongs (TURF) 

PAULIE

6- CONQUEST TIZFIRE
4 - CHIPOLINA
3 - REALLY PROUD
2 - FIRST APPROVAL

ARCHIE 

5 -BEAUTIFUL STREET
3 - REALLY PROUD
2 - FIRST APPROVAL
6 - CONQUEST TIZFIRE



RACE 9 -- SANFORD Stakes (G3) $150,000 -- 6 Furlongs 


PAULIE 

8 - STRIKE SILVER
6 - CHASE GREATNESS
1 - SOMEBEYAY
2 - LEXITONIAN

ARCHIE

1 - SOMEBEYAY
2 - LEXITONIAN
7 - BANO SOLO
8 - STRIKE SILVER


RACE 10 -- DIANA Stakes (G1) $500,000 -- 1-1/8th Mile (TURF) 

PAULIE

1 - SISTERCHARLIE
2 - PROCTOR'S LEDGE
6 - A RAVING BEAUTY
3 - NEW MONEY HONEY

ARCHIE

6 - A RAVING BEAUTY
1 - SISTERCHARLIE
2 - PROCTOR'S LEDGE
3 - NEW MONEY HONEY


RACE 11 -- CLAIMING $50,000 -- 1 Mile (INNER TURF) 

PAULIE 

8 - SOUPERFAST 
2 - THATCHER STREET
11 - TEAM COLORS
9 - HIEROGLYPHICS

ARCHIE

8 - SOUPERFAST
11 - TEAM COLORS
9 - HIEROGLYPHICS
10 - JESS I AM


For a more detailed analysis and explanation on today's picks...be sure to catch our radio show 
HANDICAPPING HEROES today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM. Download the WCHQ app. Or, you can go to the website and listen. Link below. 

Good luck today and remember our objective: To leave the track with more money than we walked in with! 

LINK:  www.wchqfm.com


paulie
xxxxx 


Sunday, July 15, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FOR ELLIS PARK -- 7/14/18


The Handicappers took on the late pick 4 at Ellis Park (races 6-9) on Saturday and, despite some key scratches, had a very good day. It was incredibly hot down at "the Pea Patch"...and some trainers did not want to run their owners' horses in such extreme conditions, but...the card was still very competitive and entertaining to watch. The horses' health and well-being is the main concern, as always. Archie predicted on the radio that Corey Lanerie might have a big day, and he did...with two winners in the four race sequence.

Here's how they did:

ARCHIE gave us 16 horses he handicapped and, out of those, nine of them made it to the starting gate. He had three winners, a second and a third. That's a 56% in the money percentage. He also hit an exacta and the early Pick 3 with those who ended up running. ARCHIE ends up with 17 points. 

SCOTT looked at these four races and ended up having 10 of his 16 selections breaking from the gate. A good day for Scott, with three winners, one second and two thirds. A 60% in the money percentage. He also added an exacta, trifecta and superfecta to his totals. A nice return to handicapping for SCOTT with 22 points for the sequence. 

PAULIE had 10 of his 16 picks start. He had four winners and a second. That's a 50% in the money percentage. He also hit an exacta, both Pick 3's and the Pick 4. The pick 4 paid $223 and he spent $18 to hit it. PAULIE wins the the day with a strong 26 points. 

CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

ARCHIE    265
PAULIE     243
SCOTT      240 


You can hear a rebroadcast of Saturday's show at: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180714


Paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, July 14, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR ELLIS PARK LATE PICK 4 -- 7/14/18


This week the Handicappers head to Henderson, KY to handicap the late Pick 4 at Ellis Park. We are pleased to have Scotty Harris back with us this week. A challenging Pick 4 awaits us at "the pea patch" ...but, you know the saying...good handicappers do well at the claimers as well as the stakes.

Here's what we got:

RACE 6 -- Claiming 5000n2L -- 5 1/2 Furlongs (TURF) 


PAULIE 

6 - KISS MY NOTE
7 - FOOTS
3 - BUMPTYBUMPBUMP
9 - MIKEBRAVOZEROTHREE


ARCHIE 

5 - MUN UP 
7 - FOOTS
6 - KISS MY NOTE
1 - ROCKY ROMA


SCOTT

6 - KISS MY NOTE
2 - TIZWAYORTHEHIGHWAY
7 - FOOTS
5 - MUN UP 


RACE 7 -- Optinal Claiming $40000n2x -- 1 MILE


PAULIE

2 - SOUTH BEACH
3 - TERM OF ART
6 - FISH TRAPPE ROAD
8 - LADDIE BOY


ARCHIE

2 - SOUTH BEACH
3 - TERM OF ART
5 - GRANDPA KNOWS BEST
8 - LADDIE BOY


SCOTT

2 - SOUTH BEACH
3 - TERM OF ART
7 - SHARP ART
1 - LANGDARMA


RACE 8 -- Maiden Special Weight $42000 -- 1-1/16th MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE 

5 - MJOINIR
1 - FRA MAURO
8 - RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE
3 - MR. CLASSICAL 


ARCHIE 

1 - FRA MAURO
8 - RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE
3 - MR. CLASSICAL 
5 - MJOINER


SCOTT 

3 - MR. CLASSICAL
5 - MJOINIR
1 - FRA MAURO
9 - HURRY BACK


RACE 9 -- Maiden Claiming  $16000 -- 1-1/16TH MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE

11 - IRON JOHNNY
10 - EAGLE RIVER
5 - CADUCEUS
4 - DATA GOLD


ARCHIE 

10 - EAGLE RIVER
11 - IRON JOHNNY
5 - CADUCEUS
2 - DONTMISSTHEPRIZE


SCOTT

10 - EAGLE RIVER
4 - DATA GOLD
8 - PISTOL BOX
5 - CADUCEUS


To hear the detailed and descriptive analysis of the handicappers' picks, be sure to catch our radio show HANDICAPPING HEROES. We air at noon on Saturday on WCHQ 100.9 FM. You can listen live on the internet at the link below or download the WCHQ app and take us and the station with you wherever you go!

Good luck today and remember our objective:  To leave the track with more money than we went in with!


LISTEN LIVE LINK: www.wchqfm.com


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, July 8, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM BELMONT LATE PK 5 -- 7/7/18



The Handicappers met the competitive Pick Five at Belmont on Saturday and had big success in handicapping the races. Paulie and Archie, combined, gave you all five winners. Playing their combined picks would have cost you $512 but returned $7600.25 !!

That's equal to hitting at 14-1 shot. One could have even taken the handicappers top two picks in each race and just bet those and got out for $216 and still hit it. That's like having a 35-1 hit first place for you.

To score on big days like this, sometimes you have to risk a rather expensive outlay to receive a significant return. It's called gambling. Many handicappers avoid the multi-race sequence wagers and concentrate on win, place, show or exacta and trifecta attempts. High risk, high reward is available most of the time, though, in the Pick 3, Pick 4 and Pick 5 attempts.

Don't get me wrong here. I've seen huge multi-race sequences hit on very minimal tickets. I've seen huge tickets lose or return less than the original investment. I've also heard the lament "Oh, if we had only included 'that' horse. He was third in my picks for that race!" Syndicates can help defray individual costs but syndicates can also disagree in the final selections and really jack a price up or have people drop out because they aren't satisfied with either the cost or the selections.

As our handicapping partner Scott says: "We can pick the winners but we can't choose the prices."

To each his own. Always remember to "bet within your personal limits" and set a budget.

Here's how "A&P" did yesterday.


ARCHIE had four winners in the five race sequence. He also had three seconds, three thirds, two exactas, two trifectas. Although none of his top picks took a race, his selections were still very accurate. ARCHIE FINISHES THE DAY WITH 31 POINTS. 

PAULIE also gave you four winners yesterday. Three places and two shows also. "No service Paulie" tacked on three exactas, two trifectas and the early Pick 3 of the sequence. In his top picks...Catholic Boy, Athena and Limousene Liberal hit the wire first. PAULIE TAKES THE COMPETITION WITH 35 POINTS. 

Here's a replay of yesterday's show:  HANDICAPPING HEROES 7/7/18

paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, July 7, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR BELMONT PICK 5 -- 7/7/18

The Handicappers are one short today and will miss Scott Harris's insightful look into a big day of racing at Belmont but will carry on without him. Sadly. We hope he can rejoin us soon.

Today, we go to New York to handicap the NYRA Pick 5 stakes. A challenging sequence for sur, but Archie and Paulie will do their best to give you some profitable selections in Races 6-10.


RACE 6 -- Dwyer G3 -- $300,000 -- 1 MILE


ARCHIE

6 - MENDELSSOHN
3 - RUGBYMAN
7 - FIRENZE FIRE
4 - NOBLE INDY


PAULIE

2 - SEVEN TRUMPETS
7 - FIRENZE FIRE
6 - MENDELSSOHN
4 - NOBLE INDY


RACE 7 -- Belmont Sprint G2 -- $350,000 -- 7 FURLONGS


ARCHIE

2 - WHITMORE
4 - SHAFT OF LIGHT
3 - EYE LUV LULU
1 - LIMOUSINE LIBERAL


PAULIE

1 - LIMOUSINE LIBERAL
2 - WHITMORE
3 - EYE LUV LULU
6 - FAVORABLE OUTCOME


RACE 8 -- Belmont Oaks G1 -- $1,000,000 -- 1-144 MILES (INNER TURF)


ARCHIE

1 - SIGNIFICANT FORM
4 - CAPLA TEMPTRESS
7 - LA SIGNARE
8 - THEWAYIAM


PAULIE

6 - ATHENA
1 - SIGNIFICANT FORM
3 - PAVED
7 - LA SIGNARE


RACE 9 -- Suburban Stakes G2 -- $700,000 -- 1-1/4TH MILES


ARCHIE 

4 - TAPWRIT
5 - DR DORR
10 - DIVERSITY
8 - HOPPERTUNITY


PAULIE

5 - DR DORR
2 - WAR STORY
4 - TAPWRIT
8 - HOPPERTUNITY


RACE 10 -- Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes G1 -- $1,200,000 -- 1-1/4TH MILES (INNER TURF)


ARCHIE

3 - ANALYZE IT
8 - HAWKISH
4 - HUNTING HORN
7 - CATHOLIC BOY


PAULIE 

7 - CATHOLIC BOY
9 - MY BOY JACK
3 - ANALYZE IT
6 - KINGSTAR


Good luck today! You can hear a more detailed description of these picks on THE HANDICAPPING HEROES radio show at noon today on WCHQ 100.9 FM. Download the WCHQ app! LISTEN LIVE
AT THE LINK:  HANDICAPPING HEROES 7-7-18

AND, remember our objective. To leave the track with more money than we went in with.


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, July 1, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNS 6/30/18


The Handicappers did their best in taking on the late Pick 4 (races 9-12) on closing
day for the Spring Meet at Churchill Downs but were just short in taking it down.

They did come up with three winners in the four race sequence but race 10 stumped them
and none of them could come up with the winner (#9 CZ Rocket). A look back at his
past performances and running style indicates one of us at least should have given the horse,
trainer and jockey a bit of respect...but, as they say, hind-site is always 100% .

Some key scratches in races 9-11 really threw a wrench into the picks. That's horse-racing. If a horse can't go, you don't run him or her.

Still , a good day. Here's the numbers:

SPANKY'S guest appearance and picks had some ups and downs...but we appreciate him
filling in for Scott Harris...who we hope to have back soon. Spanky gave us (2) winners in
his selections and a show. SPANKY debuts with seven points. 

PAULIE went after the sequence with what he thought was a solid list of potential winners. Out of those who did run, he gathers (2) winners, (1) second and (2) shows. Once again, second best and PAULIE ended the day with ten points. 

ARCHIE explained his picks on the Handicapping Heroes broadcast and did hand out (3) winners in the final four races. He also had (1) place and (2) shows  and hit a nice exacta as well. He left the competition behind again and takes first places with 15 points.


Paulie also offered a few selections for Races 7 & 8...the first two in the mandatory Pick-Six payout. He, at least, got you off to a great start in the pick-six. Out of the eight runners he offered, he handed out the winners in each race, the second-place horses in each race and a show in Race 7. 

CUMULATIVE TOTALS

ARCHIE                  248
SCOTT/GUESTS   218
PAULIE                   217

With the end of the Spring Meet at Churchill, the Handicappers will now turn their attention to "soybean Downs" or, more correctly, Ellis Park. If there is a huge card elsewhere in the nation on the upcoming Saturdays, we will consider it and possibly do that instead of Ellis. 

LINK TO YESTERDAY'S BROADCAST: 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180630


paulie
xxxxx






Saturday, June 30, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR LATE PICK 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS 6/30/18



It is closing day for the Spring Meet at Churchill Downs and a mandatory payout for the 20 cent pick 6 as well. The Handicappers will tackle the late Pick 4 (Races 9-12) but we'll also offer some suggestions if you are interesting in trying the six-race sequence that starts in race 7. 

Scotty Harris is too ill to join us for today's selections and we pray and hope for better days for our buddy. In his place, we turn to the noted handicapper and bourbon aficionado Larry "Spanky" Hoveis to join Archie and I in the handicapping. We're at the post!


RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $62,500 -- ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILES


PAULIE

5 - BIG DOLLAR BILL
4 - HOLLYWOOD HANDSOME
3 - HINT OF ROSES
12 - ICONIC

SPANKY 

5 - BIG DOLLAR BILL
7 - ROCKING THE BOAT
2 - PHAT MAN
3 - HINT OF ROSES


ARCHIE

5 - BIG DOLLAR BILL
2 - PHAT MAN
1 - CASSES STORY
8 - ONE MEAN MAN


RACE 10 -- KELLY'S LANDING OVERNIGHT STAKES $74,000 -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE

10 - CHIEF CICATRIZ
1 - AWESOME SATURDAY
8 - STORM ADVISORY
6 - WARRIORS CLUB

SPANKY 

10 - CHIEF CICATRIZ
7 - REQUITE
3 - MR. CROW
1 - AWESOME SATURDAY

ARCHIE

10 - CHIEF CICATRIZ
3 - MR. CROW
6 - WARRIOR'S CLUB
1 - AWESOME SATURDAY


RACE 11 -- BASHFORD MANOR STAKES GRADE III $100,000 -- 6 FURLONGS


PAULIE 

11 - TOOTHLESS WONDER
9 - TALES OF CHAUCER
4 - SIR TRUEBADOUR
1 - SHANGHAIED ROO

SPANKY 

9 - TALES OF CHAUCER
1 - SHANGHAIED ROO
4 - SIR TRUEBADOUR
11 - TOOTHLESS WONDER

ARCHIE

9 - TALES OF CHAUCER
11 - TOOTHLESS WONDER
1-  SHANGHAIED ROO
4 - SIR TRUEBADOUR


RACE 12 -- MAIDEN $57,500 -- 1 MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE

4 - HOT ZONE
8 - FLAT MEADOW
11 - VICTORY GARDEN
10 - BOURBON GLEAM

SPANKY 

4 - HOT ZONE
10 - BOURBON GLENN
11 - VICTORY GARDEN
9 - THESWEETESTTABOO

ARCHIE

4 - HOT ZONE
8 - FLAT MEADOW
11 - VICTORY GARDEN
10 - BOURBON GLEAM


For those interested in tackling the Pick 6 sequence, may we suggest...

RACE 7 

5 - RESTLESS RIDER
9 - SHANGHAI RAIN
4 - O'KEEFFE
7 - BEACH GETAWAY

RACE 8 

2 - DEADLINE
3 - DON'T TELL MARGE
8 - BRIDALED TEMPER
11 - SMART SHOT


YOU CAN CATCH HANDICAPPING HEROES AT NOON ON SATURDAY'S ON WCHQ 100.9 FM LOCALLY OR AT THE WEBSITE WWW.WCHQFM.COM

DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ MOBILE APP AND TAKE THE STATION WITH YOU WHEREVER YOU GO!

PAULIE
XXXXX






  

Sunday, June 24, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL 6/23/18



The Handicappers took on the challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs Saturday (Races 8-11) and although they did not take the prize down...they did have some nice selections in the sequence. The 9th race proved to be a tough one...Archie and Paul couldn't come up with any of the money-winners...but, thanks to some help from radio personality and Gold Room services agent Kristina McManigell...they were able to stay "alive'  until the final race of the sequence. They, unfortunately, left out the winner, despite having the horse in their on-air selections.

As they learned, sometimes leaving a horse "out" of a sequence to save a few dollars can cost you big. They also ignored "the Tommy-Boy" theory of going "deep" in the final leg of the Pick 4. That's a handicapping/wagering strategy learned again. Maybe they'll pay more attention to that in future ventures.

Here's how they did:

PAULIE gave you his 16 horses and had two of those "scratch" in the sequence. His remaining 14 got him one winner, three seconds and three thirds. He also had a exacta and trifecta in the four race sequence. NOT A BAD EFFORT FROM "THE PAULSTER" AND HE ENDS UP WITH 17 POINTS. 

ARCHIE also ended up with 14 runners and had a pretty good showing as well. Two winners, three seconds and three thirds. He also scored on two exactas, two trifectas and a superfecta. ARCHIE WINS THE CONTEST BETWEEN THE TWO WITH 29 POINTS. 


Since Scott was unable to participate and it was too late to get a "fill in" for him...the points today did not go toward the cumulative totals. If "he's out" next week, we'll solve that by getting a "stand-in" for him. 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180623  is the link to hear the rebroadcast from yesterday


paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, June 23, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR PICK 4 CHURCHILL DOWNS (RACES 8-11) 6/23/18



Today the Handicappers are a "man down" with Scotty Harris out of the hospital but under Doctors' orders to get complete rest. We'll miss him but we support the decision. We want Scotty at his best when he shoots his selections at us and we'll look forward to his return.

So, you get Archie and Paulie today. An interesting and challenging late Pick 4 awaits us. WE'll nail it as best we can:


RACE 8 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80000 -- 1 MILE (TURF)


PAULIE

5 - SAHAM
4 - CHOCOLATE RIDE
3 - DERBY CHAMPAGNE
7 - ONE MEAN MAN

ARCHIE

2 - TWEET KITTEN
5 -  SAHAM
4 - CHOCOLATE RIDE
3 - DERBY CHAMPAGNE



RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $62500 -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE

1 - ICATIRO
9 - BIG GRAY ROCKET
3 - CROSSWALK
7 - FOREVAMO


ARCHIE

9 - BIG GRAY ROCKET
1 - ICATIRO
3 - CROSSWALK
8 - BORDINI


RACE 10 -- ROXELANA STAKES  $75,000 -- 6 FURLONGS


PAULIE

7 - MISS KENTUCKY
3 - VERTICAL OAK
6 - ASTROLLINTHEPARK
2 - GOLDEN DOMER

ARCHIE

7 - MISS KENTUCKY
6 - ASTROLLINTHEPARK
3 - VERTICAL OAK
1-  MYTHICAL TALE


RACE 11 -- ALLOWANCE $59500 -- 5 1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)

PAULIE

8 - RED CLAY MAGIC
9 - GRADE ONE
1 - EXTRICATE
5 - TIME ON TARGET

ARCHIE

2 - SEIZE
1-  EXTRICATE
9 - GRADE ONE
4 - PARADE BLUE


BE SURE TO CATCH THE HANDICAPPING HEROES BROADCAST AT NOON TODAY AND ON ALL SATURDAYS FOR DETAILED EXPLANATIONS ON THESE PICKS. LINK BELOW:

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180623



LISTEN LIVE LOCALLY AT 100.9 FM OR DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP.


HAPPY HUNTING TODAY!

TO CLOSE, OUR THOUGHTS WITH THE FAMILY AND FRIENDS OF JOCKEY COREY LANERIE. HE LOST HIS LOVELY WIFE SHANTEL YESTERDAY TO COMPLICATIONS AND BREAST CANCER. SHE'S IN OUR PRAYERS. TOO SOON TO SAY GOODBYE TO SUCH A DEVOTED MOM AND WIFE. SHE WAS 42.

paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, June 17, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL 6/16/18



Wishing a great Father's Day to all out there. It's Dad's Day, do what he wants this Sunday!

The Handicappers fired away at the very challenging middle Pick 4 (races 6-9) at Churchill Downs last at Downs After Dark and had some successes. With such talented and big fields, there were a few differences in opinion and...although we were able to build competitive Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets, the fates knocked us out of the proceedings in the 8th race...when we let a invading shipper who hadn't won in nine months and who had never run at Churchill beat us.

That's handicapping. Sometimes the best effort at analysis and study don't produce a winner.

Here's how the Handicappers did:

ARCHIE had what many would consider a very good day given the difficulties of handicapping this sequence. He had (3) winners, (3) seconds and (1) show. Add (2) exactas, (1) trifecta and (1) superfecta and he wins the competition. The Panera Proletariat profited with a total of 27 points. 

SCOTT threw everything he could at the card with his selections. He also carded (3) winners, (2) places and (2) shows. Ring him up for (2) exactas and (1) trifecta as well. He grabs second place on the challenge. Mr Pool Shark Harris ends with 24 points from his highly classified and secret location. 

PAULIE also did his best but couldn't match the top two finishers. He did manage (2) winners and (2) shows. Not the best of rounds for Professor Paulie...the horses simply weren't listening to him, one might say, and he staggers home with 8 points

DAVID gave it the old college try but the numbers just weren't cooperating with our guest handicapper. No wins, (1) place and (3) shows. The runners obviously didn't listen to or ignored his selections on Handicapping Heroes Radio. The Horse Capper will tell you Belmont is his track anyway...he puts 5 points on the board.


Scott also provided bonus coverage on the first five races yesterday. He did extremely well! He picked the winners in all five races! He also had four seconds and four thirds. If you followed Scott's lead early on the Churchill card...you were hitting and putting money in the pocket!


CUMULATIVE TOTALS

ARCHIE        233
SCOTT          211
PAULIE         207

To hear a replay of the HANDICAPPING HEROES RADIO BROADCAST....GO TO THE LINK BELOW:  

HANDICAPPING HEROES 6/16/18


paulie
xxxxx




Saturday, June 16, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR CHURCHILL PICK 4 (RACES 6-9) 6/16/18



The Handicappers are ready to fire at the All-Stakes Pick 4 underneath the lights at Churchill Downs. We have four of us today handicapping these so this could be fun! The contest is for Races 6-9 but Scott has gone above and beyond duty and also handicapped the first five at Churchill also. You'll be able to find those at the bottom of today's column. Enjoy!


RACE 6 -- WISE DAN STAKES GRADE III  $200,000-- 1-1/16TH MILE (TURF)


ARCHIE

1 - DIVISIDERO
4 - WORLD APPROVAL
5 - MR. MISUNDERSTOOD
8 - PARLOR


PAULIE

4 - WORLD APPROVAL
1 - DIVISIDERO
6 - MR. CUB
2 - SHINING COPPER


SCOTT

2 - SHINING COPPER
4 - WORLD APPROVAL
5 - MR. MISUNDERSTOOD
6 - MR. CUB


DAVID

2 - SHINING COPPER
1- DIVISIDERO
4 - WORLD APPROVAL
6 - MR. CUB


RACE 7 -- FLUER DE LIS GRADE II $200,000 -- 1-1/8TH MILE


ARCHIE

3 - BLUE PRIZE
6 - AWESTUCK
9 - FARRELL
2 - MOPOTISM


PAULIE

5 - SONG OF SPRING
3 - BLUE PRIZE
7 - VALADORNA
8 - APOLOGY NOT ACCEPTED


SCOTT

7 - VALADORNA
3 - BLUE PRIZE
9 - FARRELL
2 - MOPOTISM


DAVID

2 - MOPOTISM
5 - SONG OF SPRING
6 - AWESTRUCK
7 - VALADORNA



RACE 8 -- STEPHEN FOSTER HANDICAP GRADE I $500,000 -- 1-1/8TH MILE


ARCHIE

6 - BACKYARD HEAVEN
8 - IRISH WAR CRY
3 - HAWAAKOM
1 - HONORABLE DUTY


PAULIE

8 - IRISH WAR CRY
6 - BACKYARD HEAVEN
4 - UNCLE MOJO
5 - MATROOH


SCOTT

4 - UNCLE MOJO
6 - BACKYARD HEAVEN
1 - HONORABLE DUTY
8 - IRISH WAR CRY


DAVID

6 - BACKYARD HEAVEN
2 - PATCH
3 - HAWAAKOM
1 - HONORABLE DUTY




RACE 9 -- REGRET STAKES GRADE III $100,000 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (TURF)


ARCHIE 

7 - GO GOOGLE YOURSELF
8- BEYOND BLAME
9 - SECRET MESSAGE
12 - GO NONI GO


PAULIE

8 - BEYOND BLAME
3 - SHE'S PRETTY LUCKY
9 - SECRET MESSAGE
1 - HEAVENLY LOVE


SCOTT

12 - GO NONI GO
8 - BEYOND BLAME
13 - STAVE
2 - CONSOLIDA


DAVID

9 - SECRET MESSAGE
1 - HEAVENLY LOVE
11 - ROMANTIC MOMENT
6 - CASH OUT



SCOTT'S SELECTIONS 1-5 at CHURCHILL 

RACE 1 

5 - GUEST SUITE
2 - BEHAVIORAL BIAS
3 - PIONEER SPIRIT
4 - THIRSTFORLIFE


RACE 2 

1 - GIRLS KNOW BEST
5 - RUBY NOTION
7 - JUSTA LADY
3 - EXCESSIVESPENDING


RACE 3 

9 - KEARNY COUNTY
4 - OWN AGENDA
5 - MR CLASSICAL
2 - MAKING A MARC


RACE 4 

8 - IPANEMA BEACH
5 - LOVE TO SHARE
9 - BRENDA'S FEVER
1 - JING


RACE 5 

7 - AX MAN
6 - TIS MISCHIEF
5 - COMBATANT
4 - KING ZACHARY




BE SURE TO LISTEN TO HANDICAPPING HEROES AT NOON THIS SATURDAY FOR DETAILED ANALYSIS ON THESE SELECTIONS, WE'RE ON WCHQ 100.9 FM AND CAN BE ACCESSED ON LINE AT WWW.WCHQFM.COM

DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP AND TAKE US WITH YOU WHEREVER YOU GO! 

PAULIE
XXXXX


Sunday, June 10, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM BELMONT 6/9/18




The Handicappers tackled the Pick 4 at Belmont (races 8-11) that ended with the Belmont Stakes on Saturday and had a good showing. They gave you the winners in three of the four races...the 10th race stumped the boys with the #13 winning...but it was a good effort that was capped by Justify leading wire-to-wire to remain undefeated and capturing the Triple Crown. David Levitch filled in for Scott Harris and did well in his second visit with us. Let's look at the totals:

PAULIE offered sixteen horses in the four races and ended up with three winners, one second and two thirds. He also gave you one exacta. Not the best performance for "the big guy" but some days they just don't fire. PAULIE PLODS HOME WITH 15 POINTS. 

DAVID detailed sixteen horses he likes and of those, he got three winners, two places and three shows. He also nailed an exacta. DAVID GRABS SECOND PLACE IN THE POINTS TOTAL WITH 18. 

ARCHIE saw his sixteen picks break from the gate and predicted a total of three winners, two seconds and two thirds. He also gathered two exactas and a trifecta. ARCHIE TAKES THE WIN WITH 22 POINTS. 

People approach playing the Pick 4 in many different ways. Yesterday, I heard of a couple of successful ways people used to nail the $639.25 payout on the 50 cent wager. The 10th race was a toss up in the eyes of some and hitting the "all" button for it worked for a couple of guys...the winner went off at 18-1 odds and, in the words of one lucky winner...

"I singled Justify in the 11th race, took 'em all in the 10th, picked out two horses I liked in the 9th and played the Ortiz brothers in the 8th (who ran first and third) to create a $26 ticket."

Another approach that was successful involved jockeys. "Bill Walker" (it's what we'll call him to guard his identity) explains his winning theory:

"I had Mike Smith and the Ortiz's in every race they rode in. I also tossed in Julian Leparoux, Edgar Prado, John Velaquez and Ricardo Santana, Jr. each time they rode. They're my favorite jockeys. My ticket was an expensive one ($90) but I cashed!"

Horse race handicapping. People approach it in many ways.


CUMULATIVE TOTALS

( we are combining David's results with Scott's cumulative results today...since Scott was unable to participate.) 

ARCHIE                 206
PAULIE                  199
SCOTT/DAVID      187


You can hear Saturday's show at the link below: 

https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-2018-06-09


paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, June 9, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR BELMONT STAKES AND LATE PK 4



The Handicappers place their attention on the third leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes and the late Pick 4 surrounding it. A very competitive sequence and great horses. Regular handicapper Scottie Harris will not be with us today but we've pulled David Levitch in off the bench and you can be sure he'll be firing at these with the same accuracy he used to pump in threes for The Red and the Black.  Here's how the boys see races 8-11 in New York today: 


RACE 8 -- JUST A GAME STAKES (GRADE I) $700,000 1 MILE -- TURF


PAULIE

3 - OFF LIMITS
7 - A RAVING BEAUTY
1 - ON LEAVE
4 - LULL


ARCHIE

7 - A RAVING BEAUTY
3 - OFF LIMITS
1 - ON LEAVE
8 - LA CORONEL


DAVID 

7 - A RAVING BEAUTY
4 - LULL
3 - OFF LIMITS
1 - ON LEAVE


RACE 9 -- METROPOLITAN HANDICAP (GRADE I) $1,200,00 1 MILE 


PAULIE

10 - BEE JERSEY
1 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
2 - BOLT D' ORO
9 - WARRIOR'S CLUB


ARCHIE

10 - BEE JERSEY
2 - BOLT D' ORO
1 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS
11 - AWESOME SLEW


DAVID

1 - MIND YOUR BISCUITS 
5 - GOOD SAMARITAN
6 - ONE LINER
10 - BEE JERSEY
RACE 10 -- MANHATTAN STAKES (GRADE I)  $1,000,000 1-1/4 MILE --TURF


PAULIE

3 - HI HAPPY
10 - BEACH PATROL
1 - ROBERT BRUCE
2 - ONE GO ALL GO


ARCHIE

3 - HI HAPPY
10 - BEACH PATROL
2 - ONE GO ALL GO
1 - ROBERT BRUCE

DAVID

10 - BEACH PATROL
3 - HI HAPPY
9 - CHANNEL MAKER
8 - SADLER'S JOY

RACE 11 -- BELMONT STAKES (GRADE I) $1,500,000 1-1/2 MILES


PAULIE

1 - JUSTIFY
3 - BRAVAZO
7 - TENFOLD
8 - VINO ROSSO 


ARCHIE

1 - JUSTIFY
4 - HOFBURG
10 - BLENDED CITIZEN
6 - GRONKOWSKI


DAVID 

4 - HOFBURG
1 - JUSTIFY
8 - VINO ROSSO
7 - TENFOLD




Be sure to catch the HANDICAPPING HEROES broadcast today at noon on 100.9 FM WCHQ....or at the website:

www.wchqfm.com

Download the WCHQ app and hearr the detailed analysis from Arch, Paulie and David. 

(Special thoughts, prayers and wishes go out today to our regular handicapper Scotty Harris and special financial contributor C.P. Essex who are hospitalized and cannot be with us today. Get well soon, gentlemen !!!)


paulie
xxxxx


Tuesday, June 5, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- POST POSITIONS FOR BELMONT -- WILL ANYONE BEAT JUSTIFY?







The Belmont Stakes post positions were determined today and JUSTIFY gets the #1 slot. Despite the naysayers who don't like where the Baffert trained contender ended up, the rail at Belmont will just make it a bit easier for Justify to go to his pace-stalking, near the lead running style and Mike Smith has broken from the rail on rides more times than LeBron James has made jumpers. And the #1 hole has produced more winners than any other post at Belmont

The question is, can any of the other nine contenders take him down?

 I think one can rule out FREE DROP BILLY, RESTORING HOPE and GRONKOWSKI right off the bat. They may be nice considerations down the road in other stakes races in 2018 and beyond but nothing in their running lines or in their potential indicates that they'll be in the winner's circle Saturday. It is very hard to predict a top-three finish for any of these three.  Let's look at the others.

VINO ROSSO  was one of the "wise guy" picks for The Derby but barely turned in a top ten finish. He did take the Preakness off, which means he should be well-rested. Todd Pletcher thinks he'll like a longer distance. John Velazquez is one of the best on horseback and "Vino" did run quite well in the the Wood Memorial. That may be enough to "justify" 8-1 odds and he's one I'll use in the "gimmick" bets. On top? It would be a shock but, I suppose, possible.

HOFBURG is another horse that got considerable speculation as a "price horse" in Kentucky and has demonstrated a closing kick. That may hinder him in New York, where more than a few think maintaining a closeness in the early going and being a speed horse improves your chances. I think he'll pass a few tired runners at the end but see him no better than fourth. 9/2 odds is optimistic, in my opinion.

BRAVAZO has gotten better, it seems, each time he's gone out. Sixth in the Derby, second in the Preakness. If "The Coach" can figure out how to get in front of Justify and stay there, I like his chances...especially with cagey Luis Saez in the saddle. That's also part of the problem.

Just how do you get in front and stay in front of Justify?

I'll use him in all exotics and, at 8-1 or better...wouldn't be a bad across the board attempt. That being said, I do like others better. He made a "go" of it against Justify in the stretch but couldn't get him. I honestly don't know if he's got another effort like that left in him.

TENFOLD.  "Daddy" Steve brings him back for another try at Justify after the third-place Preakness finish. I do believe that he may be the second-best horse in the race. A bit of racing luck could get him to the winner's circle. Espinoza retained the ride and maybe do better on a dry surface. Who knows, maybe they ALL do better on a dry surface but I'll go out on a limb and say he'll be second best in all probability and if things fall apart, he maybe, possibly, remotely has a chance to win. 12-1 early odds make his an intriguing option.

BLENDED CITIZEN. OK, he won the Peter Pan. Tracked an early pace, went four wide and roared through the final furlong to win by a length. A mile and an eighth. Can a closer beat Justify? I guess we'll know soon enough. The 2 for 10 recent record, though...Kyle Frey on board and the 15-1 generous early line have me thinking possible filler in the exotics than one to put on top of exactas, trifectas and superfectas. Doug O'Neill is a great trainer but I must side against a possible win here.

NOBLE INDY. The Derby was a clunker, no doubt. That Louisiana Derby win in March was something special, though, and Javier Castellano has done more with less in his career. The question goes back to speed. Can Noble Indy track the pace, grab a lead like he did after a half at the Fairgrounds and then hold off a couple of determined last-gap and prolonged charges at him? I'll take a chance at 30-1 to say I think he's got a shot at the money and, although probably not a winner, could make for a nice fill out in the "gimmicks" and add price. Yep, I'll include him.

So, in summation...I think it's JUSTIFY and Mike Smith's race to lose. The PP doesn't bother me. And, if it's rainy and slop conditions...well, guess who won the first two legs of the Triple Crown in the off-going? It'll be interesting to see just what he can do if he gets a fast track, right?


So...we get to THE EARLY THOUGHTS ON "PLAYS?" 

How about a $1 exacta box on 1,3,7,8,9,10 to start? $30 in cost and could be huge if #1 (Justify) doesn't get in there. Others included...#3 Bravazo, #7 Tenfold, #8 Vino Rosso, #9 Noble Indy and #10 Blended Citizen

Also, I'll suggest  a $1 exacta "wheel" with 1,3,7 on top and 8,9,10 on bottom but I probably won't play it. I don't like to play "wheels". You could "turn it around" I guess. I just stay away from wheels.

A trifecta suggestion is for $1 with 1,3,9,10 on top...1,3 7,8,9,10 next and 1,3,7,8,9,10 on the bottom. This will run you $64 for a $1 dollar wager. 

Finally, a superfecta possibility is 1,3,9 with 1.3,9,10 with 1,3,7,9,10 and "ALL" for fourth. 
Figured at a $1 wager, your total comes out to $189. 

I'll look at three of the four I've laid out here and possibly adjust as the race gets closer.  $283 seems a sizable amount, I know, for three bets in a ten horse race where there's likely to be a even or lower odds-on favorite...but the adage goes "you have to spend money to make money" and...since I've been playing "my fellow horse-players" money pretty much since Derby...I'll risk giving a bit back but hope to make more.

It's important to remember a couple of things. Bet with your head and only what you can afford to lose. Also, there are no guarantees in horse-racing. I'm OK risking giving $300 back of profits for the chance of doing much better. After all, a $1 super in the Derby of ,6,7,8/,6,7,8/,6,7,8/ALL returned $19,000 + and cost less than $200.

Paulie
xxxxx















Sunday, June 3, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL LATE PICK 4 -- 6/2/18


The Handicappers gave it their best effort and had some success in predicting the late Pick 4 during Downs After Dark on Saturday night at Churchill Downs. They combined their picks and included racing analyst Kristine McManigell in a bit expensive but very profitable Pick 4 wager that paid  $472 dollars. Any time you can triple your original investment plus some is a "win" and they successfully took down the final four race sequence. Basically, they had the equivalent of hitting a 2-1 shot.

A fun night under the lights at the Twin Spires! Good to see throngs of younger folks listening to the music, watching the light show, socializing around the paddock and ground floor apron and enjoying the races. A few scratches in races knocked out a few of the Handicappers' picks but that can happen in racing.  Let's see how the boys did!


PAULIE had 13 of his original 16 picks proceed to the starting gate. Out of those, he had two winners, a place and two shows. He had a lot of fun participating in a "SHOW pool" with five other patrons that reached over $60 before it died.  A bit below his usual success rate as of late but he managed to gather 10 points on the night.

SCOTT also ended up with 13 of his 16 breaking from the gate. Scott delivered three winners, a second and two shows. He pulled the group through and kept them alive in the Pick 4 with one of his picks in the 9th race. "The bouncer" grabbed second place with 13 points.

ARCHIE also had 13 of his 16 in the post parade. Under his new alias "Bill Walker", the bread king gave out three winners, a second and three thirds. His turning point was the 10th race, where he hit the exacta, trifecta and superfecta. "The Mayor of the Gold Room" wins the day with an impressive 23 points. 

Once again, what is offered here on these pages was successful. The Handicappers made you money if you bet their selections. It's what we do here. All free.

You can hear yesterday's broadcast replay at the following link:

LINK: https://soundcloud.com/chradio/handicapping-heroes-20180602


CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

PAULIE       184
ARCHIE      184
SCOTT         169



paulie
xxxxx






Saturday, June 2, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR CHURCHILL DOWNS 6/2/18


Night racing comes to Churchill Downs this Saturday and the Handicappers are ready for what looks to be a very challenging late Pick 4 end to the evening at the Twin Spires. It's a laser, lights and neon showcase after dark at Churchill tonight and with music in the grandstand pavilion, it should be a fun time. The Downs after Dark is a fun showcase and quite different than daytime racing in terms of crowd attendance and entertainment value...it'll be a younger bunch out there tonight --so be sure to join the fellas out there as we mingle with the Millennials and Gen X bunch .

Now, for some Handicapping from the Heroes. They're taking on Races 8-11 and have been on fire lately, so let's see if the good prognosis work continues.


RACE 8 -- MAIDEN $57,500 - 1-1/16TH MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE


3 - FLAT MEADOW
1 - DON'T STOP MARIA
4 - BRIDLED TEMPER
7 - VICTORY GARDEN


ARCHIE


1 - DON 'T STOP MARIA
3 - FLAT MEADOW
7 - VICTORY GARDEN
4 - BRIDLED TEMPER


SCOTT

3 - FLAT MEADOW
4 - BRIDLED TEMPER
1 - DON'T STOP MARIA
7 - VICTORY GARDEN



RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING $75,000 - 1-1/16TH MILE


PAULIE

1/1A ENTRY - MISSISSIPPI/SOLOMINI
3 - TIZ MISCHIEF
5 - FORT PECK
7 - LIMATION


ARCHIE 

1/1A ENTRY - MISSISSIPPI/SOLOMINI
5 - FORT PECK
7 - LIMATION
3 - TIZ MISCHIEF


SCOTT

1/1A ENTRY - MISSISSIPPI/SOLOMINI
4 - MR FREEZE
5 - FORT PECK
11 - QUALITY ROLLS


RACE 10 -- ARISTIDES (GRADE III) $100,000 - 6 FURLONGS


PAULIE

3 - WILBO
1 - SMART SPREE
6 - AWESOME SATURDAY
5 - MR CROW


ARCHIE

3 - WILBO
5 - MR CROW
7 - CHIEF CICATRIZ
6 - AWESOME SATURDAY


SCOTT

1 - SMART SPREE
3 - WILBO
5 - MR CROW
6 - AWESOME SATURDAY


RACE 11 -- MIGHTY BEAU OVERNIGHT STAKES $75,000 - 5 FURLONGS (TURF) 


PAULIE

1 - MORTICIA
3 - LONG ON VALUE
10 - HOGY
6 - THE CRITICAL WAY


ARCHIE

1 - MORTICIA
10 - HOGY
3 - LONG ON VALUE
6 - THE CRITICAL WAY


SCOTT

3 - LONG ON VALUE
5 - SONIC BOOM
1 - MORTICIA
10 - HOGY


Be sure to catch HANDICAPPING HEROES radio broadcast today and each Saturday at noon for a detailed explanation of the Handicapper's selections.  WCHQ 100.9 FM. Download the WCHQ app. Go to the website and listen live.  www.wchqfm.com  

LINK:  HANDICAPPING HEROES ON WCHQ


paulie
xxxxx



Sunday, May 27, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL 5/26/18


The Handicappers dove headlong into the challenging late Pick 4 at Churchill on Saturday and nailed the dive. Paulie gave you the Pick 4 ($1916.35 for a .50 cent wager) and both the early and late Pick 3's in the sequence ($241.45 and $217.85).

All the Handicappers were handing out winners like free samples of bourbon chicken at a Chinese fast food emporium. If you "played with the boys" yesterday...don't try to stuff all those bills into a small wallet. As we like to say, "We made money, honey."

Here's how it went.

SCOTT dined on some excellent fish and also found time to give you three winners, four seconds, and a third. Three exactas from his picks, the late Pick 3 and he had a strong day that would normally be in contention to win the points battle with 27 points for Smilin' SCOTT. 

ARCHIE chatted up dignitaries and shared cigars on the balcony when he wasn't at the window getting paid. He gave out three winners, four places and two shows Three exactas and a trifecta also went his way. ARCHIE edges his way into second place on the day with a impressive 28 points. 

PAULIE had one of those days you dream about. His picks were hitting and the beer was cold. He gave you all four winners in his selections, three places and two shows. Ring him up for three exactas, a trifecta, both Pick 3's in the sequence and the late Pick 4. They were paying PAULIE yesterday and he wins the points battle with a nice, nice...very nice 39 points.  


We do what we claim here. We give you winners. Do you like to win? Do you like to leave the track with more money that you entered with? Follow Handicapping Heroes, play the handicappers picks.

Enjoy that fat pocket or wallet. (Why pay $$$$ for services that don't do as well when we're here giving you better information FREE?)


CUMULATIVE TOTALS

PAULIE      174
ARCHIE     161
SCOTT       156



paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, May 26, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- CHURCHILL DOWNS PICKS 5/26/18


The Handicappers are all at Churchill Downs today for their selections. They'll take on the late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs (Races 8-11) and offer some detailed thought and explanations on their picks. Be sure to catch the broadcast today at noon on WCHQ 100.9 FM. www.wchqfm.com to see what Archie and Scott have to say...plus Paulie's Picks as well.

Let's get into it.


RACE 8 -- MAIDEN CLAIMING $50000 -- 1 MILE (TURF) 


PAULIE

5 - MAKEAMERICAGREAT
9 - TRIPLE DOG DARE
6 - JAILHOUSE KITTEN
7 - FINISHED


SCOTT

5 - MAKEAMERICAGREAT
3 - SASSY KING
1 - ALMOREB
4 - HEADSAIL


ARCHIE

1 - ALMOREB
5 - MAKEAMERICAGREAT
6 - JAILHOUSE KITTEN
7 - FINISHED


RACE 9 -- ALLOWANCE $55000 -- 7 FURLONGS


PAULIE

8 - HONORABLE TREASURE
2 - GRAY SKY
3 - TAP MASTER
6 - HOME BASE


SCOTT

7 - BOLD PROPHET
8 - HONORABLE TREASURE
6 - HOME BASE
1 - SOUPER SMART

ARCHIE

3 - TAP MASTER
2 - GRAY SKY
7 - BOLD PROPHET
8 - HONORABLE TREASURE


RACE 10 -- WINNING COLORS (GRADE III) $100,000 -- 6 FURLONGS


PAULIE

2 - GOLDEN MISCHIEF
5 - MISS KENTUCKY
4 - TREBLE
3 - PINCH HIT


SCOTT

2 - GOLDEN MISCHIEF
5 - MISS KENTUCKY
3 - PINCH HIT
4 - TREBLE


ARCHIE

3 - PINCH HIT
5 - MISS KENTUCKY
4 - TREBLE
2 - GOLDEN MISCHIEF


RACE 11 -- MAIDEN $53,000 -- 1 1/16 MILES


PAULIE

3 - FIREBALL SHOT
10 - ELUSIVE HERO
1 - MERCERTOWN
9 - MO ZONE


SCOTT 

10 - ELUSIVE HERO
9 - MO ZONE
3 - FIREBALL SHOT
8 - MEISTERMIND


ARCHIE

3 - FIREBALL SHOT
10 - ELUSIVE HERO
9 - MO ZONE
12 - SHARKY'S LEDGER



HANDICAPPING HEROES TODAY!  NOON. DOWNLOAD THE WCHQ APP OR LISTEN LIVE ON RADIO 100.9 FM OR AT THE WEB SITE      WWW.WCHQFM.COM 


paulie
xxxxx

Monday, May 21, 2018

Successful weekend for Kordenbrock Racing



Those W.B. Smudge folks are at it again.

Matt Kordenbrock's Racing sent out two winners over the weekend at Churchill Downs. On Saturday, they saddled DISTORTED RANSOM in the 3rd race and the 4 yr.old claimer found the wire first in a seven furlong claiming $16,000 race under the steady hands of rider Brian Hernandez, Jr.

"We needed all of those seven furlongs" trainer Matt Kordenbrock joked after the win. Distorted Ransom unleashed a furious stretch drive to catch and pass DOCTOR LEE at the wire at odds of 8-1. It was Kordenbrock's first win of the meet at Churchill and a thrilling one to watch for owners Gary and Olivia Johnson...plus the assembled Kordenbrock friends and staff that assembled in the winner's circle to celebrate the victory.

Matt wasn't on hand to catch Sunday's win for the stable...having to take a horse to Cleveland for racing Monday at Thistledown Race Course. With Connie, his wife, and others associated with the barn and friends on hand, though...FANCY MAN sprinted to an early lead and then barely held off ARCH REVENGE by head to win Churchill's 7th Race...a claiming $10,000 affair. Up and coming rider Edgar Morales held the reigns for this win...Hernandez being committed to ride the third place finisher ARCHIE. It was a great ride by "the kid" who found enough to get Fancy Man to the wire first.

A recent claim for the Kordenbrock barn and owners Robert O' Hara and Gwynet  Gower...this horse had shown skills at Tampa Bay Downs in longer races in his last four attempts and the conditions proved to be the right fit yesterday. Barely. FANCY MAN is a 5 year old gelding who has nine wins and 16 "in the money" finishes in 30 attempts. He was a recent claim as well for Kordenbrock Racing back in late March after a fourth place finish at Tampa Bay

Connie called Matt right after the race and they rejoiced in the win. Also overheard was a humorous shout in the background:

"Matt...could you win something by 2 or 3 lengths next time? You're giving us heart attacks here!" 

The Kordenbrock stable also had an entry in Churchill's ninth race, SHARP ART, who got off to a slow start and couldn't make up enough ground in the stretch to hit the board. The 6 year old was claimed three races back out of the Tom Amoss barn but came up short in two allowance tries and may need softer company after not collecting the cash in Sunday's $50,000 claiming race.


A great weekend for Matt Kordenbrock Racing and I wouldn't discount their Monday entry at Thistledown...LEMON LOVER...in the fourth race today in Ohio. With a morning line at 6-1, this runners comes in from Belterra Park and Laurel Race Track, where he picked up a couple of second place efforts. Kordenbrock has assigned the ride to Luis Rivera, who has four wins in 18 rides at "Thistle".

Churchill has drawn pretty good crowds in the days after the Derby, but...in typical Churchill fashion...they've confused the populace and attendees with their new and (we hope temporary) parking schematics and plan they've come up with. They've closed the Longfield lot, which leaves patrons jammed in trying to park in the limited lot spaces off Central avenue.

And, in the jockey's parking area, they actually have over 20 Handicapping spots! Which were empty, virtually...on Saturday and Sunday. It boggles the mind, but...as one of the lot attendants lamely tried to explain to me...those are reserved for handicapped members of jockey families. These "attendants" have also been seen (and filmed) accepting bribes in the form of cash payouts from car drivers to obtain and access reserve parking that areas that are clearly marked "reserved" for people with track-issued permits to park there.

The hypocrisy and schemes continue at Churchill.  I felt very badly for the elderly lady I walked in with Sunday...she had a Handicapped placard in her vehicle, was denied admission to handicapped parking areas and was having a very hard time walking the quarter-mile from her spot to the general admission gate. In 90 degree heat. She would not give me her name, nor let me record her...for fear of retaliation. All she wanted was to spend a couple of hours with her great-grand-kids at "Family Adventure and Fun Day" over in the grandstands area. Too proud for wheelchair assistance and seemingly oblivious to the guys in golf carts speeding by.

In other Sunday racing at Churchill, it might be time for a change in strategy for New Direction Racing's VIOLENT STORM. Impressive in winning his third race of his career, a maiden $60,000 contest at Churchill last fall, the three-year-old gelding hasn't shown much since. On the turf yesterday in Churchill's 8th race, VIOLENT STORM was nowhere neat the top three in the Allowance $55,000 conditions. Even with superb turf rider Brian Hernandez, Jr aboard, the son of VIOLENCE appeared to be more of a tropical depression than a storm. It might be time for trainer Brendan Walsh to place this three-year old $75,000 purchase price gelding from the 2016 Keeneland September sale into the claiming or optional claiming ranks.


paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, May 20, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- RESULTS FROM 5-19-18 PMILICO AND CHURCHILL


The Handicappers divided forces yesterday and Scott took on the late Pick 4 at Churchill (Races 8-11), while Paulie and Archie opted to dissect the late Pick 4 at Pimlico, (Races 10-13) which included the Preakness. The braintrust had excellent racing luck at both tracks...doing what they do best, giving out winners, exactas, trifectas, Pick 3's and Pick 4's.

Let's look at the final munbers:

SCOTT took on the challenging Churchill card and ended up with three winners, two places and three shows in the four race sequence. He also added an exacta and trifecta to his totals. A strong day for smilin' Scott and he ended up with 21 points.

PAULIE played the Pimlico Pick 4 and knocked their socks off. He had 4 winners in the 4 race sequence, a second and two thirds. Give him and exacta and trifecta...plus both Pick 3's in the sequence and the Pick 4. Strong handicapping from the moderator of Handicapping Heroes and a final total of 31 points. 

ARCHIE also had the cashable numbers in the four-race Pimlico challenge. Four winners, two seconds, two exactas, a trifecta, both Pick 3's and the Pick 4. It came down to the final race, The Preakness, but Archie wins the contest for the day with a magnificent 34 points .  

We'll also give a "shout-out" to our buddy and trainer Matt Kordenbrook, who won the third race with 9-1 long-shot Distorted Ransom in a head-bobbing finish over Doctor Lee. Good racing luck and a fine ride by Brian Hernandez, Jr for the affable trainer who also has W.B.Smudge in his stable. A $20 payout on a $2 win ticket and Paulie made his day a profitable one early by "unbuckling" on the four-year old out of Regal Ransom and owned by the delightful Gary and Olivia Johnson. The winner's circle was a party after that one!

We gives you the horses each week that we think have the best chances. We can't control what they pay, obviously, but we give you picks that can turn into tickets that you can take to window and get paid on, instead of getting tossed on the table or floor. We've said it before and we'll say it again...we give you winners. For free.


CUMULATIVE TOTALS: 

PAULIE       135
ARCHIE      133
SCOTT        129

To hear yesterday's broadcast...go HERE


Saturday, May 19, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- SELECTIONS FOR LATE PICK FOURS -- CHURCHILL AND PIMLICO



The Handicappers are dividing their skills today and offering the late Pick 4's at two tracks. Churchill and Pimlico. It is Preakness Day at Pimlico and the Louiville Handicap runs at Churchill, so there's plenty of great racing around.

SCOTT HARRIS is staying home at Churchill and has picks for Races 8-11 at Churchill. PAULIE and ARCHIE are taking on the Maryland Race course Pimlico and the late Pick Four is races 10-13 and does include the Preakness, Here's what they've got:


SCOTT'S CHURCHILL SELECTIONS


RACE 8 -- ALLOWANCE --  $55,000 -- 1 1/8th miles (TURF) 

7 - STAVE
10 - DRIFT AWAY
1 - HAYWORTH
3 - RAHWAY


RACE 9 -- OPTIONAL CLAIMING --  $80,000 -- 1 1/16 miles 

1 - THIRSTFORLIFE
6 - FORT FORTITUDE
2 - JESS I AM
7 - SENIOR INVESTMENT


RACE 10 -- THE LOUISVILLE HANDICAP  --  $100,000 -- 1 1/2 miles (TURF) 

1 - DESIGNED FOR WAR
8 - HARLAN STRONG
7 - SOME IN TIEME
6 - CARTOON


RACE 11 -- MAIDEN --  $17,000 -- 7 FURLONGS

7 - RED HOT RIO
4 - BLITSIG
1 - OPERATOR
9 - TIME FOR WAR


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PAULIE'S PIMLICO PICKS


RACE 10 -- THE MARYLAND SPRINT STAKES --  $150,000 -- 5 FURLONGS

5- SWITZERLAND
9 - LONG HAUL BAY
4 - LEWISFIELD
2 - HEARTWOOD


RACE 11 -- THE VERY ONE STAKES $100,000 -- 5 FURLONGS (TURF) 

7 - GIRLS KNOW BEST
1 - CHANTELINE
12 - JUST TALKIN
11 - SMILIN CAUSEWAY


RACE 12 -- SIR BARTON STAKES -- $100,000 -- 1 1/16TH MILES 

8 - AX MAN
2 - PONY UP
1 - FOREST FIRE
4 - THREES OVER DEUCES


RACE 13 -- THE PREAKNESS -- $1,500,000 --  1 3/16 MILES

7 - JUSTIFY -- (He's the one to catch and pass. Likes slop. Won the Derby. He's my top pick.)
5 - GOOD MAGIC  -- (Chased Justify last time. May get closer to him today but still second) 
2 - LONE SAILOR  -- (Was gaining at the end in Derby. Liked his narrow miss in LA Derby)
6 - TENFOLD --  (Asmussen skipped Derby for this one. Will contest pace. Can he pass?) 


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ARCHIE'S PICKS FOR PREAKNESS AND PIMLICO


RACE 10 

9 - LONG HAUL BAY
4 - LEWISFIELD
5 - SWITZERLAND
3 - RED DRAGON TATOO



RACE 11 

12 - JUST TALKIN
7 - GIRLS KNOW BEST
11 - SMILING CAUSEWAY
1 - CHANTELINE


RACE 12 

8 - AX MAN
2 - PONY UP
6 - DREAM BABY DREAM
3 - CALIFORNIA NIGHT


RACE 13 -- THE PREAKNESS


7 -- JUSTIFY  (He looks to be 100% and ready to go. Bob Baffert wouldn't run if he wasn't)
5 - GOOD MAGIC  (Ortiz will be there ready to pounce if he gets a chance. Bettor beware.)
2 - LONE SAILOR  (Trainer Amoss switches to the other Ortiz brother. Not as much traffic)
8 - BRAVAZO  (Might be a good way to fill out Superfecta. Maybe third at best.)   



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DON'T FORGET THAT YOU CAN HEAR THE HANDICAPPER'S ANALYSIS FOR ALL THESE PICKS ON OUR RADIO SHOW HANDICAPPING HEROES AT NOON TODAY ON WCHQ 100.9 FM OR AT THE STATION'S WEBSITE OR MOBILE APP. 

LINK: 

WWW.WCHQFM.COM


Good luck today and may all your tickets be cashable!


paulie
xxxxx











Thursday, May 17, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES -- Some early Preakness thoughts


It looks like Justify has been establish as the 1-2 favorite for the running of the Preakness on Saturday. I don't think he'll stay at those odds, he'll probably go off 2-5 or lower. It looks like the track conditions could be "off" based on the projections for weather at Pimlico.

We all know Justify can run in "the slop". We know that Good Magic, currently 3-1 odds can close in the slop. So, the question is this...is there a "longshot" that can win this race? Post positions really don't make that much of a difference in a eight-horse race, but, for what it's worth...#7 belongs to Justify and #5 to Good Magic.

I'll give you two horses...long shots... to watch. Not saying they'll win, but they just might hit the board. Anything can happen in a horse race, as we all know.

TENFOLD has a morning line of 20-1. he's trained by Steve Asmussen and Victor Espinoza receives the ride. Like Justify,  he didn't run as a two-year old. He also didn't run in the Kentucky Derby. He finished fifth in the Arkansas Derby. The barn reports he's gained weight and muscle since then and in Espinoza, he gets a three-time Preakness winner on his back. Asmussen is one of horse-racing's best trainers and the additional time off could be of benefit to the son of Curlin. It would take a huge effort from him to win the Black Eyed Susan bouquet, but, at 20-1 or higher, it might be worth a small investment to take a chance on a horse that is 2 for 3 lifetime and coming into his own. He'll get the #6 hole at the gate.  Will he be able to match the early speed or will he try to come off the pace? I'll probably include him in any "exotics" I play in the race.

LONE SAILOR draws my interest as well. He's a 15-1 shot and comes out of the highly-regarded Tom Amoss barn. His eighth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby did have him closing a bit, and one of the "kings" of New York racing, Irad Ortiz, gets the mount. He did have a second-place finish in the Louisiana Derby by a neck. He's the only other horse, besides Justify, to have a 100+ Brisnet Spped rating to his credit, so perhaps he'll challenge Justify early and either wear him out or maybe even hang on to go wire-to-wire. At 15-1, he's another that will figure in my "exotics"wagers and perhaps a small "across the board" bet also.

I've haven't mentioned QUIP here.He did winthe Tampa Bay Derby and his owners decided to forego the Kentucky Derby and wait for the Preakness. Buyer beware here, of course, but 12-1 and Florent Geroux on board could attract some. I'll remain on the sidelines on him except for including him on the bottom of trifectas and supers.

We'll be back Saturday with our Late Pick 4 selections for Preakness day.


paulie
xxxxx


Wednesday, May 16, 2018

HANDICAPPING HEROES - HOT JOCKEYS AT CHURCHILL -- BOX OFFICE WOES



THE HOT JOCKEY

One of the angles that a Handicapper uses is who the "Hot Jockeys" are riding in a race. By "Hot Jockeys" we mean those who have been winning or hitting the board well lately, not a reference to their temperature and weather conditions affecting them.

How does a particular jockey end up on a particular horse? There are several ways this can happen.

Jockeys have agents who work the backsides of tracks soliciting rides from trainers for their clients. A jockey himself might do the same for himself and they're not shy about asking for a return ride on a horse the next time out, also.

Trainers and owners may desire a particular rider that has ridden the horse before or for the barn and actively seek this rider to ride for them on their horse. Some stables and trainers have a "A" list...a jockey that normally gets "the call" for riding their mounts. Some have "B" lists as well, in case that barn has two horses running in a race or that "A" jockey is unavailable.

Some riders prefer certain tracks and may not be able to travel to another track due to riding commitments where they are or they just may not want to travel across the country to ride a race or two and then have to fly back to their home track. Sometimes, it can even evolve to "pickup" mounts...where a scheduled rider cannot get to a track to ride a specific race because of travel snafus or a recent injury or situation that prevents them from accepting the ride. Then, a trainer usually goes to the available "jockey colony" at a track and selects one that is available. A "pickup" as it were.

Races present obstacles to no matter who is on a horse, traffic problems, speed duels, slow paces, track conditions and the like. So, it seems, sometimes no matter who is on board...their success can change as the race unfolds.

As Churchill continues with the 2018 Spring Meet, who are the "hot" jockeys currently and how are they doing?

Two riders are having quite the successful meet so far:

BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR has met with a great deal of success in his rides. He leads Churchill with 16 wins. When you consider he's ridden 60 horses, that's a 27% win ratio and that is tops for Churchill among regular riders. He's also finished "in the money" (second or third) 12 additional times, which gives him a 46% in the money ratio. You might want to pay attention to who he's aboard during your next visit to the facility on Central Ave. He's been a popular rider at Churchill for several years now and a likable fella as well!




COREY LANERIE has also met with success during the Spring Meet. He has 13 wins, second best in the Churchill jockey colony, in 73 attempts. That's a 17% win percentage. He's also had 14 "place" efforts and 12 "show" results, which is an impressive 55% in the money ratio. Lanerie has been a popular jockey beneath the Twin Spires for numerous years now and is another rider that you might be aware of when he's riding. Corey is a popular pick, from what I hear, in bettor "show" pools, where people bet on a horse to show, hope he wins, and then roll the money over to the next race.



The two jockeys  mentioned above are also the top two when it comes to "rides" in the Spring Meet. A couple of other riders, who haven't had as many mounts, aren't doing too badly, either. RICARDO SANTANA has participated in 53 races and has 8 wins...for a 15% win ratio. JULIAN LEPAROUX has piloted 39 horses so far this spring and also has 8 wins, for a 21% win number. Santana has a 35% in the money success rate and Leparoux checks in at a 46% in the money record.

A tip is making sure that the jockey listed to ride a horse in the program or racing form is actually on board. The track does a great job of informing you of any jockey changes and you should always checkout the "post parade" to make sure that the rider/horse combination is what the program says it is. Sometimes you'll see, in races that have "also eligible" horses listed...or multiple scratches in a contest...a change. Like where Lanerie, for example might be listed on two horse in a 13 horse field.
Always make sure of the rider.

The "hot jockey" angle has it's merits but cannot be depended on solely when handicapping a race. It is, though, an important tool when putting together multi-race tickets. Recently, I played a small, in terms of investment dollars, Pick 4 that included all four jockeys mentioned here in the race sequences and walked away after the sequences with over a $200 profit. So many other things that one must consider when handicapping a race make it a true study and thorough analysis. Each handicapper has a format that they try to follow. Adopt your own and see how it works for you. If it isn't successful, you can always change it up a bit.


COMPLAINTS ABOUT LINES


I did hear from several patrons about the incredibly long wait on Mother's Day to get tickets to enter the track. Accounts of standing in line at the Box Office window for 30 minutes or longer to purchase track admission tickets and the new "scanning" procedure at the gate aren't making patrons very happy at all.

There are ways to circumvent that. Purchase your tickets on line and print them out. You can avoid the Box Office that way. Go to MY CHURCHILL DOWNS ACCOUNT or TICKETMASTER to do this. The link below will get you there:

PURCHASE CHURCHILL DOWNS TICKETS

If you have a large group attending, you can also call group sales at 502.636.4450 and they'll gladly assist you with admission and even dining at the track.

I did receive a rather upset e-mail about the Box Office having only three windows open at the Longfield lot entrance and the lines being over 100 people deep. The e-mailer reminisced about the days when you could just walk up, hand the cashier a few bucks at the gate and get in the track.

I'm not sure why Churchill went to the scanning procedure and policy but will surmise that it has to
due with security concerns and a better tracking method of who's attending.

Let's face it, we live in a "nervous" society these days and the track is concerned about your safety while there. Is there a better way to do it? If you have a suggestion, give Churchill a call and explain it to them. They'll gladly listen to all ideas, complaints and recounts of your "Day At The Races". You can also go online to do this or use your Churchill Downs mobile app.

Sonja and I did attend Mother's Day at the track and did witness the long lines at the Box Office as we walked up to the admission gate. We, fortunately, had our passes in advance and the procedure to get in wasn't too complicated at all to go through the checkpoints.

Managing your tickets through your My Churchill Downs Account is convenient, simple, secure, and allows you the ultimate flexibility in using your seats. To log in to your My Churchill Downs Account via a desktop computer, use your account ID or an email address on your account. If you are logging in via a mobile device or app, you must use the primary email address on your account. If you do not know your password, click on “Forgot Your Password?” to have a temporary password emailed to you. If your temporary password does not work, your account may be locked due to inactivity. Once logged in, you may change your password through the edit my profile link on the home page. If you have any questions or issues, please contact your account representative, email to onlinetickets@kyderby.com, or call 502-636-4400 for customer service.


Have a great week!

Paulie
xxxxx