She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

She's a Handicapper now..and I'm saying "Champagne, Anyone?"

Sunday, October 6, 2019

KEENELAND RESULTS FROM 10/5/19


A pretty good day at my attempts to pick winners at Keeneland. The 10th race blew up completely on me, though...I even went five deep trying to snag the late Pick 4 and couldn't even get a horse in the money.

Buzz kill. 

I did have three winners in the sequence though, two seconds and a third. I provided seventeen runners to consider, six "hit the board" for a "in the money" percentage of 37.5% which is a little lower than I usually come up with, 

A $2 win, place and show wager total of $102 on all 17 brought back $82, so we dropped $20 on that venture. A $1 exacta box on my picks in the four race sequence cost $56 and returned $54, 

I got saved in the ninth race, though...with a .50 cent pick three that covered races seven through nine...which cost $32 and returned $89..

So a $135 lesson. I can't understand how I misjudged a $1 million turf race so badly...but, apparently...based on the payouts...a lot of people were on that wrong barge with me.  

That darn tenth race. It blew the tote board up. A 8-1 winner and higher odds than that in second and third. 

We move on with the gentle reminder that, despite our best intentions, we can't always win every race.  


*******************************************************************************************************


I'll be back in two weeks. A little sortie with the wife will have me out of the loop for a couple of days...in terms of handicapping and such. Given the way the results have come out in the first two days of the Keeneland meet, maybe that's not a bad thing !!


paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, October 5, 2019

KEENELAND 10/5/19 PICKS


The second day of racing at Keeneland's Fall Meet has a very enticing Pick 4 sequence which starts in the seventh race and has three Grade I and one Grade II races , so that is where I'll go today. 

RACE 7 -- SIX FURLONGS -- TCA -- GRADE II -- 250K

1 -- OURS TO RUN
3 -- SPICED PERFECTION
7 -- TALK VEUVE TO ME
8 -- CHALON


RACE 8 -- ONE MILE (TURF) -- FIRST LADY -- GRADE I -- 400K

3 -- JULIET FOXTROT
6 -- VASILIKA
4 -- UNI
11 -- RUSHING FALL


RACE 9 -- ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILE -- BREEDERS FUTURITY -- GRADE I -- 500K 

1 -- TAP IT TO WIN
6 -- MAXFIELD
8 -- AJAAWEED
10 -- GOUVERNEUR MORRIS


RACE 10 -- 1 MILE (TURF) -HADWELL -- GRADE I -- 1 MILLION DOLLARS

3 -- BANDUA
4 -- VALID POINT
6 -- ADMISSIONS OFFICE
11 -- MARCH TO THE ARCH  
13 -- DIVISIDERO 


(Note -- I'll probably go five deep in the final, depending on how the day goes early. So many great runners in the $1 million Shadwell.)

Play 'em however you like. We had success at Churchill with the $2 WPS wager on the runners -- $24 per race -- except for the final...a $30 wager.  It's a safe way to play. Today also might be a good day to play a $2 EXACTA box with the selected runners. A investment of $24 a race with four selections and $40 with five.  

Good luck and, remember...it takes money to make money


paulie
xxxxx


Sunday, September 29, 2019

SATURDAY RESULTS FROM 9/28/19

Saturday wasn't exactly what I wanted, as far as results went, I did not hit the Late Pick 4, but there were some successes.
.
Out of the 16 runners I had in Races 8-11...I had (2) winners, (3) second places and (3) shows.
A 50% "in the money" percentage. A $2 across the board wager on all was a $96 investment. It returned $98.60 so a small profit there. We did catch a 9-1 and 5-1 on top in our wins, so that was pretty cool.

We'll close the book on the .Twin Spires now until November and head east on I-64 to see what Keeneland has to offer


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, September 28, 2019

CLOSING NIGHT AT CHURCHILL PICKS 9-28-19


11 races on the closing night of the September meeting at Churchill. A TOUGH LATE PICK 4 SEQUENCE...no doubt about it...but we'll go after it and see how we do. 

RACE 8 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (TURF) -- JEFFERSON CUP --$125K

6 -- TRACKSMITH
4 -- MICK'S STAR
5 -- FARAWAY KITTEN
1 -- SCARS ARE COOL


RACE 9 -- 1-1/8TH MILE -- LUKAS CLASSIC GIII -- $250K

8 -- KUKULKAN
10 -- MOCITO ROJO
4 -- QUIP
7 -- PIONEER SPIRIT


RACE 10 -- 1 MILE -- OPT. CLAIMING -- $34K

9 -- PATTI PATTI PATTI
6 -- KIMBERLY DREAM
8 -- DARLIN ROSE
4 -- COLORIN COLONEL


RACE 11 -- 6-1/2 FURLONGS -- CLAIMING -- $20K

5 -- JIMMY JOE
9 -- LONTANI
11 -- GRADE
6 -- ALL AROUND 
12 -- ADMIRAL BROWN

(YOU MAY HAVE NOTICED I GAVE YOU FIVE PICKS IN RACE 11. I'M  "GOING THE 
EXTRA MILE" HERE...SINCE IT IS THE FINAL RACE ON THE FINAL NIGHT, THESE
ARE PRETTY CHEAP CLAIMERS AND ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN.) I MAY ROLL THE DICE ON THE SUPER HIGH FIVE, 

TOTAL OUTLAY IF YOU PLAY THE PICK 4 IS $160. SINCE I AM "WAY UP" ON THE
TRACK FOR THE SEPT. MEET, I DON'T MIND GOING THE EXTRA $32 TO SEE IF I
CAN TAKE DOWN THE PICK 4. 

PLAY 'EM HOWEVER YOU LIKE, THOUGH, AND REMEMBER WHAT I SAY: 

IT TAKES MONEY TO MAKE MONEY.

paulie
xxxxx

Sunday, September 22, 2019

SATURDAY 9-21-19 RESULTS FROM CHURCHILL


I tackled the late Pick 4 at Churchill Saturday and hit it. Because of a couple scratches in the last race, the cost dropped in half to play it ($64). It returned $166.95, on the 50 cent wager,  so that was a profitable play with abut a $100 profit. . 

Our tout on Blunt Force in the second race turned out O.K. as well. Although the Paul McGee runner didn't win, Ol' Blunt ran a strong second, surrendering the lead in the final 1/16th after forging to the lead in the stretch. The $2 pay out was $5.40 to place and $2.20 to show...so, for every $6 invested on a win, price and show bet -- you got a profit of $1.60 back. I ventured $20 to win, $30 to place and $50 to show and thought for a moment I was going to sweep the whole mutual return. I gladly accepted the $40 profit. We'll keep an eye on this runner. 

On the late Pick 4 sequence, the numbers: 

Out of the 14 runners we chose that broke from the gate in the four races, I scored four winners, two places and one show. A 50% "in the money" average. A $2 win, place and show on all 14 cost $84. I got back $84.10. 

Coufefe, the huge favorite in Race 10, toyed with the small field before drawing away in the stretch. Look out, BREEDERS CUP, she's coming to see you !!

Renaissance Frolic looked great in winning the 8th race as my third pick, Wasabi Girl was my top pick in the 9th race and ran down Josie, my second pick to win, and -- despite only having two horses in the 11th race, In Good Spirits got the win and Hey Kitten finished third.  

Play certain numbers? #6 hit the board in three of the four races. So did #3. #1 got two payouts out of the four races. 

paulie
xxxxx 




Saturday, September 21, 2019

Saturday 9-21-19 Churchill Picks -- Late Pick 4


We'll try the late Pick 4 again at Churchill's September meet (races 8-11) and hope for a little better success than last week. Four challenging races await, with two nice optional claiming affairs -- one of the turf -- the Dogwood Stakes (with a prohibitive favorite in a small field) and a maiden special weight on the turf to close it out. 

Here we go. 

RACE 8 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (TURF) OPTIONAL CLAIMING $62,500 


1 - CAPE ANGEL
2 - BEMMA'S BOY
6 - RENAISSANCE FROLIC
5 - HE'S CHEEKY 


RACE 9 -- 6 FURLONGS OPTIONAL CLAIMING $75,000 


5 - WASABI GIRL
11 - JOSIE
7 - AMERICAN LEGEND
3 - BANKER'S CHARM


RACE 10 -- THE DOGWOOD STAKES 7 FURLONGS $125,000


6 - COUFEFE
1 - BELL'S THE ONE
2 - TAKE CHARGE ANGEL 
5 - CHAMPAGNE ANYONE


RACE 11 -- 1 MILE (TURF) MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT $95.000


3 - HEY KITTEN
1 - IN GOOD SPIRITS
12 - SHE CAN'T SING
11 - RAIN DANCE


<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<SPECIAL !! >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

( I'm hearing some GREAT THINGS about a horse in today's second race. #5 BLUNT FORCE -- a Paul McGee runner -- came into his own this summer with a win at a mile down at the ol' pea patch -- ELLIS PARK -- this one could be one to watch at 1-1/16th and might have a bit of a price. A nice closing stretch run against similar down there could be repeated today. Consider.) 


Good luck today and play 'em anyway you see fit !! 


paulie
xxxxx


Sunday, September 15, 2019

Saturday results from Churchill


An interesting day two for the Churchill meet. 

In the late Pick 4, only one favorite got his picture taken, and what a promising one in Dennis' Moment, in the Iroquois Stakes, He toyed with the rest of the field. Watch this one, readers. 


I had 15 of my 16 picks break from the gate...British Idiom, was scratched in the Pocahontas. Out of those, I had three winners, two seconds and three thirds. That's a 53% in the money percentage. 

If you are a "numbers" player...the #2 post position produced three winners on the 11 race card. #4 had two winners and the post positions #1, #6, #7, #8, #10 and #11 one winner each.

A Pick 4 wager that fell apart in the ninth race with Portrait unable to close in the Pocahontas and  knock me out of the wager. Bye, bye $96 investment.  

A $2 across the board wager on all 15 of my runners cost $90. It returned $105.80, so a small profit there. 


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Saturday 9-14-19 Churchil Late Pick 4



Huge opening weekend Saturday card today at Churchill. We'll try our skills on the late Pick 4 (Races 8-11). Three graded stakes and a very challenging maiden special weight rounds it out: 


RACE 8 -- LOCUST GROVE -- Grade III


3 - My Lady Curlin
5 - Escape Clause
7 - Go Google Yourself
2 - Moonlit Garden


RACE 9 -- POCAHONTAS -- Grade II


7 - British Idiom
6 - Morning Gold
3 - Portrait
8 - Lotta Ott


RACE 10 -- IROQUOIS -- GRADE III


4 - Rowdy Yates
8 - Dennis' Mom
3 - Scabbard
9 - Lebda


RACE 11 -- Maiden Special Weight -- $95,000


10 - Celtic Mischief
3 - Sprawl
9 - Hillbilly Deluxe
2 - Maxfield



Good luck today and remember our motto  "It takes money to make money." 


paulie
xxxxx 



Sunday, September 8, 2019

Success at KY Downs on Saturday


I ventured into the parimutuel pool yesterday at Kentucky Downs and came out refreshed and had the correct sequence of numbers in the Pick 4 to triple my investment. 

My wager of $144 returned $431.95. 

I also put a 2 across the board wager on all of my sixteen picks. The outlay of $96 brought back $87.20...so that didn't do quite as well.

Let's see how the picks did. I had four winners, two seconds and two thirds. That's a 50% in the money percentage.

The brief meet at Kentucky Downs is a handicapper's dream,,,and a bit of a nightmare. You have the best jockeys and trainers from across the nation (and Europe) coming in.

To walk out of there with a profit is a "pat on the back" achievement. I'LL REFER back to my two adages. 1) You need to be unafraid to put out the money to make money and 2) you can pick the winners but you can't pick what you'll get paid. 

Kentucky Downs ends their meet Thursday. 


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, September 7, 2019

SATURDAY KENTUCKY DOWNS 9-7-19


A fine day of racing awaits at Kentucky Downs this Saturday waits! 

I'm concentrating on the Late Pick 4 (Races 7-10), where three Grade III turf races are on the board. Some excellent runners in this sequence and it was hard to narrow it down to jus four picks per race. 

Here we go: 

RACE 7 -- RUNHAPPY TURF SPRINT -- SIX FURLONGS

1 -- WET YOUR WHISTLE
3 -- IMPRIMIS
8 -- LEINSTAR
10 -- TOTALLY BOSS


RACE 8 -- THREE CHIMNEYS -- 1 MILE

3 -- KALLIO
4 -- VIVA VEGAS
7 -- MITCHELL ROAD
9 -- MS BAD BEHAVIOR


RACE 9 -- SPENDTHRIFT FARMS -- 6 1/2 FURLONGS

3 -- OLEKSANDRA
5 -- COEXISTANCE
7 -- MORTICIA
9 -- TINY TINA


RACE 10 -- CALUMET FARMS -- 1-1/2 MILE

2 -- MY BOY JACK
7 -- PILLAR MOUNTAIN
9 -- ZULU ALPHA
10 -- ARKLOW

Horses are listed in post position number, not preference. 

Best of luck to you today, play 'em anyway you like and let's make some money, honey !!


--paulie--

Sunday, September 1, 2019

KENTUCKY DOWNS OPENING DAY RESULTS


Sometimes the opening day of a meet offers some surprises. On Kentucky Downs opening day, we look at Races 7-10 and there were NO favorites who hit the wire first in any of these four. I did have some success in giving you three out of the four winners in the sequence.

Here's how the day went: 

I gave you 16 horses over the four race sequence, two got scratched -- so I had 14 runners leave the gate. Out of those, I had three winners, but nothing in the place or show spots. That's not a real great "in the money" percentage (21%). 

Race 7 paid me nicely with a $12 return on the $2 wager. Race 8 was even better, with a $22.80 win price. In Race 10, another $12 payoff on the win. 

Figuring a $2 win on all 14 runners ($28). the payback was $54.80, so that was profitable.

$2 across the board on all 14 ($84) would have returned $90.60, so I squeaked by with a small profit there. 

Playing the #7 horse in all four races would have been profitable the #7 won the seventh and ninth races and finished second the the tenth. 

It's called gambling and sometimes the best laid plans, study and handicapping doesn't always agree with the final results. The Pick 4 in the sequence paid $2066 on a ,50 cent wager.

Arguably the toughest race was the ninth (which I did not have the winner)...but playing my picks from yesterday and altering them by taking "ALL" in that race would have brought a Pick 4 cost of $384. ...so, once again, the adage of "it takes money to make money" would have returned roughly the same profit as a hitting a 2-1 shot. 

paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Kentucky Downs Opening Day

\September brings the brief but very exciting meet at Kentucky Downs. Turf racing, full fields and some potentially high returns on investments.

I'm going for the Late Pick 4. This sequence is Races 7-10. Four nice stakes races.  As always, bet 'em however you feel.


RACE 7

3 -- Stave
9 -- Limari
10 -- Smart Emma
7 -- Hanalel Moon


RACE 8

1 -- Snapper Sinclair
4 -- Hembree
6 -- Siem Rep
9 -- Mr Cub

RACE 9 

4 -- Lil Miss Hot
6 -- Weekend Fun 
10 -- Sunset Promise
12 -- Fly So Pretty


RACE 10

1 -- Memorable
4 -- Night Train
9 -- Our Country
12 -- Peace Achieved


Good luck and here's hoping your tickets go to the window and not the floor !!!

paulie
xxxxx








Sunday, August 25, 2019

SARATOGA TRAVERS DAY RESULTS ON PICKS


Not a great start at all in my early handicapping on Saratoga Travers Day. 

Let's face it, I was out of the Pick 5 after the first leg of the sequence. It got better, though

I gave you Memories of Peter in the 1st race as a long-shot special. He ran well -- just off the lead -- for the entire race, but came in fourth after a three-way photo for place. 

Place and show runners in Race 7, effectively killing the Pick 5, 

The "whenever I don't bet John Velasquez, he wins" curse continued in the eighth race with a second place finish,

Then, it picked up a bit. Both runners I selected in race 9 ( Midnight Bisou and Elate) ran first and second.   Race 10 we continued to improve with the exacta, trifecta and superfecta when three of my four picks finished in the money and my fourth pick ran fourth. 

We also had the Travers nailed down (Race 11) with the exacta and trifecta when it finished Code of Honor, Tacitus and Mucho Gusto. 

So, I put out 17 horses in all yesterday that I thought might hit the board. 

I had three winners, five seconds and three thirds -- which is 65% of horses selected that hit the board. The trifectas paid OK ($59.50 and $36). The Pick Three for races 9-11 was so-so at $63.50. It got a little better for Races 10-12 ($97.75). 

To slightly alter my theory of it takes money to make money, let's say yesterday was more like "it takes money to lose money". I invested $242 and got back $161.25. Ouch...

If I'd stuck with just Pick Threes, the outlay would have been $138 (on the $1 variety) and a return of the $161.25 mentioned above. Sometimes, it's how you bet them.


paulie
xxxxx

Saturday, August 24, 2019

SARATOGA TRAVERS DAY PICK 5 PICKS


It's going to be a great day of racing today at Saratoga on this Travers Day! 

I'm swinging for the fences, re-investing some of the money I've made up there this summer, in the Late Pick 5 . Starting in Race 7, there are four Grade I and one Grade II races in this sequence. 

Here's how I'm playing the .50 cent Pick 5 sequence. As always, use my picks anyway you want, and since this was posted around 9 a.m. Saturday morning...there might well be scratches...but the weather forecast is 0% chance of rain and temperatures in the mid-seventies. 

Here we go! 

RACE 7 --  H. Allen Jerkins Stakes GI

1 -- Shancelot
4 -- Borracho
9 -- Hog Creek Hustle


RACE 8 --  Balliston Spa Stakes GII

2 -- Fifty Five
3 -- Secret Message
5 -- Indian Blessing


RACE 9 -- Personal Ensign Stakes GI 

1 -- Midnight Bisou
4 -- Elate


RACE 10 --  Sword Dancer Stakes GI 

4 -- Channel Cat
7 -- Annals of Time
8 -- Channel Maker
9 -- Sadler's Joy


RACE 11 -- The Travers Stakes GI 

2 -- Code of Honor
6 -- Tacitus
7 -- Mucho Gusto
12 -- Tax


My .50 wager for the sequence costs $144, but remember our adages here..., (1) don't be afraid to spend money to make money and (2) coverage is important. 

Once again, play 'em anyway you like and the picks are in Post Position order, not in top pick order. I've highlighted my favorite in each race. 


<><><><><><><><><><><>  LONGSHOT ON TODAY'S CARD<><><><><><><><><><>

RACE 1 -- #4 Memories of Peter

(I'm hearing good things about the recent claim of Memories of Peter. He shortens up today in distance and the change in jockeys (to turf speed jock Kendrick Carmouche) should really benefit his early, take the lead, running style.

He got bumped coming out of the gate last time out...in the West Point Stakes at Saratoga and lost all chance of winning after that. He drops back to optional claiming today and should have a much easier go of it .

I think he'll get the lead easily and hang on. but, in case he doesn't,  I'm going with a win, place, show wager. He could be a gift at morning line 12-1 odds !!

Good Luck and Have fun! 


paulie
xxxxx


Saturday, August 10, 2019

ARLINGTON MILLION DAY- PICKS AND RESULTS



RESULTS: 

How often is it that you hit a Pick 5 but lose money in the process? When favorites win, when nothing pays better than 5/2 odds in the five race sequence -- it'll happen. We wagered $120 and hit it but it paid $110.

Sure, it's better than throwing the ticket away. As the late Scotty Harris used to say, we can pick winners but we can't pick our prices. 


Great racing up in Chi-Town this Saturday with Arlington Million Day. Good and full fields and some excellent trainers and jocks make the trip to the city of my Cubbies.

I've looked at the late Pick 5 and come up with a playable ticket. Based on my huge success last month at Saratoga, I'm going a "little deep in the water"...but, remember, don't be afraid to spend a little extra to potentially make a lot.

The Late Pick 5 starts in race eight:

RACE 8 -- THE BRUCE D 

7 - BIG DRINK OF WATER
9 - MANNY WAH
10 - LEXITONIAN
11 - DABO    Won. $6.40 on a $2 win ticket

RACE 9 -- THE BEVERLY D

1 - FLEETING
3 - COMPTITION
6 - MAGIC WAND
7 - SISTERCHARLIE Won. $2.80 on a $2 win ticket

RACE 10 -- THE SECRETARIAT

2 - VAN BEETHOVEN
3 - NEVER NO MORE
6 - FOG OF WAR
7 - VALID POINT Won. $7.20 on a $2 win ticket
9 - CRAFTY DADDY

RACE 11 -- ARLINGTON MILLION 

3 - BRICKS AND MORTAR Won. $3 on a $2 win ticket

RACE 12 -- PUCKER UP

8 - PRINCESS CAROLINE
9 - WINTER SUNSET
11 - CAFE AMERICANO Won. $7.40 on a $2 win ticket.  


There you have it...a $120 ticket based on the .50 cent Pick 5 sequence. Bricks and Mortar may be the best horse on the entire card, with four straight Grade I or Grade II wins, so I chose him as a single in the Arlington Million.

Good luck !



Saturday, July 13, 2019

SARATOGA SUCCESS !!!!!!


If you played my selections for the late PK. 4 at Saratoga....CONGRATULATIONS !

We hit that .50 PICK 4 for $1290.25 and spent $144 to do it. A nice return on initial investment, no doubt....getting back $9 dollars for ever dollar wagered.

I gave you four winners in the four race sequence, two seconds and two thirds. That's a 50% "in the money" percentage -- eight of sixteen.

Race 8 I had (6) PEACEFUL, who paid $7.40 to win. I also provided (7) FIRST WAVE who finished second

Race 9 I had (4) SISTER CHARLIE on top and "the sis"  returned $5.80 to win. I also had (2) Rushing Fall, who finished second and (6) Homerique who ran third.

Race 10 we got a price on (7) RULER OF THE NILE who pulled away in the stretcch after following the pace and won at $27.40 on a $2 dollar wager. (5) Payne finished third.

Race 11 we got lucky with (8) PATRIOT DRIVE, who also used a stretch move from pretty far back to pass them all and  paid $12.60 to win.


As we've said here before...sometimes, it takes a little money to make a little money to make a little money. Don't be afraid to keep a few horses in your betting mix instead of being "cost cautious".


Paulie

SARATOGA SATURDAY


Opening weekend at Saratoga. The Spa. Maybe the best racing of the year at the Saratoga meet and a great card for this Saturday !

The first two days have provided a slew of upsets at the New York track...nine of the 21 winners on Thursday have scored at odds of 5-1 or better.

I will try to hit the late Pick 4 today at Saratoga. I've produced two days of 3 out of 4 winners in the sequence so far, so we'll see if I can get add just one more winner to the four-race sequence today. A nice maiden allowance race on the turf, the Grade I Diana, a competitive allowance race and ending with a wide open claiming affair await us. Three out of the four on the turf (depending on weather, of course) but clear skies, 0% chance of rain and temperatures in the mid-eighties are PREDICTED...so it should be a grand day for racing around the canoe lake.

Here's the picks: 

RACE 8 -- 5-1/2 FURLONGS (TURF) MAIDEN $92K 

6 - PEACEFUL
7 - FIRST WAVE
4 - SO GRACIOUS
1 - BLAHNIK

RACE 9 -- 1-1/8TH MILE (INNER TURF) THE DIANA $500K

4 - SISTER CHARLIE
2 - RUSHING FALL
6 - HOMERIQUE
3 - MITCHELL ROAD

RACE 10 -- 7 FURLONGS (DIRT) ALLOWANCE $92K

5 - PAYNE
8 - HERSE
4 - UBER KIRK
7 - RULER OF THE NILE

RACE 11 -- 1 MILE (INNER TURF) CLAIMING $25K

7 - PROGNOSTICATION
9 - SYCAMORE LANE
11 - BATTLE OF BLENHEIM
8 - PATRIOT DRIVE

Good luck today, play 'em however you want and remember the objective...to end the day with more money that you started with!


Paulie
xxxxx 

Sunday, June 16, 2019

RESULTS FROM STEPHEN FOSTER NIGHT


The rain held off and it was a picture perfect night for racing at Churchill Downs.

I handicapped the six stakes races on the card (5-10) and ended up with one scratch. Paddy's Day didn't go in the 10th. Maybe waiting for St. Patrick's Day?

Out of the 23 horses I gave you that actually broke from the gate...I had five winners, three places and three shows. We captured 11 of the 18 possible "pay" spots (61%) and 48% of my picks hit the board.

Some nice prices as well..  MARCH TO THE ARCH in the sixth paid $23.00 on a $2 win ticket. QUIP in the eighth returned $13.80 for a $2 place bet. HARD LEGACY in the ninth was worth $13.80 for $2 to win and RB TEXAS HOLD EM got you $17.80 on a $2 win wager.

Following the $2 across the board strategy that was implemented last week by a reader, I laid out $138 on $2 win, place and show total bets on my 23 runners. I got back $157. A $19 profit isn't worth running down Central Ave. screaming your lungs out about...but it's enough to handle a few beers and a dog out there "on them".

Race 8 was the race that kept me from going 6 for 6 with winners...my picks ran second with QUIP and third with TOM'S D'ETAT. I probably should have tossed SEEKING THE SOUL...the winner of Race 8 in there...but neither Yoshida nor Gift Box ran like I thought they would and Johnny V. edged quip by a neck with a nice stretch run.

Otherwise, I gave you MR. MONEY (5TH RACE), MARCH TO THE ARCH (6TH RACE), ELATE (7TH RACE), HARD LEGACY (9TH RACE) AND RB TEXAS HOLD EM (10TH RACE) as winners...and they did. 

If you were playing the Pick 3, 4 or 5 wagers, it wasn't a good night for you.

I'll be back later this month with a look at more racing.


paulie
xxxxx



Paulie Picks For Stephan Foster Night and Results


Churchill Downs goes to night racing today for Stephan Foster Night. They're having a Mardi Gras theme, so, if you go...dress and act accordingly. Beads and gumbo maybe? You make the call. Maybe a Hurricane or two.

There are six stakes races on the card and some very good ones, so let's take a look at all six and see who I'm looking at to make money.


RACE 5 -- MATT WINN STAKES

2 - SIGNALMAN
6 - MR. MONEY
4 - KNICKS GO
3 - NO LO CONTESTO

RACE 6 -- WISE DAN STAKES

6 - SIEM RIEP
9 - MARCH TO THE ARCH
12 - ADMISSIONS OFFICER
10 - EL PICARO

RACE 7 -- FLEUR DE LIS STAKES

3 - ELATE
2 - SHE'S A JULIE
5 - BLUE PRIZE
4 - GO GOOGLE YOURSELF

RACE 8 -- STEPHEN FOSTER STAKES

10 - QUIP
9 - TOM'S D 'ETAT
6 - GIFT BOX
12 - YOSHIDA


RACE 9 -- REGRET STAKES

4 - VARENKA
10 - GAMBLIN TRAIN
11 - PRINCESA CAROLINA
5 - HARD LEGACY


RACE 10 -- PRESIDENT OF THE U.A.E. STAKES

5 - EASTER MAN
6 - RB TEXAS HOLD 'EM
8 - PADDY'S MAN
9 - QUICK AND RICH


There is a chance for rain this evening (it's Louisville and a weekend, so that's almost always a certainty) so be ready for scratches and such. Like I say, play 'em anyway you want. Good luck!

Paulie
xxxxx






Saturday, June 8, 2019

Paulie Plays for Belmont Day and recap !!!


This Saturday Belmont race day card is imposing, impressive and intriguing in terms of handicapping. I've chosen to concentrate on Races 7-11 for my picks today. All high quality stakes races here, all Grade I and some tough decisions.

To play a multi-race Pick 5 (or even Pick 3) looks like it could be quite costly, so I'm going this route. I've identified my to five horses in each race. I'll try a $1 exacta box in each race with these and a .50 cent trifecta box. We're looking at an outlay, then, of $50 per race and a sum total of $250 wagered.

RACE 7 -- ACORN -- 1 MILE 

7 - GUARANA
1 - SERENGETI EMPRESS
3 - COOKIE DOUGH
8 - QUEEN OF BEAS
9 - CECE


RACE 8 -- WOODY STEPHENS -- 7 FURLONGS

9 - MIND CONTROL
1 - HONEST MISCHIEF
3 - BORRACHO
4 - COMPLEXITY
8 - HOG CREEK HUSTLE


RACE 9 -- METROPOLITAN -- 1 MILE

3 - MITOLE
1 - COAL FRONT
2 - MCKINZIE
9 - PRINCE LUCKY
4 - THUNDER SHOW


RACE 10 --  MANHATTAN -- 1-1/4TH MILE (TURF) 

8 - BRICKS AND MORTAR
4 - QURBAAN
7 - OLYMPICO
10 - CHANNEL MARKER
9 - EPICAL


RACE 11 -- BELMONT STAKES -- 1-1/2 MILE

10 - TACITUS  (I think he'll like the extra distance) 
9 - WAR OF WILL ( All reports are he's looking good and ready to go) 
3 - MASTER FENCER ( Made up a lot of ground in Ky. Derby in stretch) 
7-  SIR WINSTON ( Was closing in the Peter Pan)
4 - TAX ( Likes a fast track, adds Irad Ortiz) 



SATURDAY RECAP

I gave you 25 horses to consider over the five race sequence on Belmont Day at Belmont. Minus a scratch...24 went to the gate.

There were 15 "money" or win, place and show spots up for grabs. How'd I do?

I provided five winners!  Some nice $2 win prices included in there, with Hog Creek Hustle ($39.80) Sir Winston ($22.40) and Mitole ($9.00)

I also gave out three horses who ran second.  Three selections came in third. That a 73% success race in filling the money sports (11-15) and 46% rate on all my selections making money (11-24).

The $1 Pick 4 that ended in Race 11 paid $4,236.00.  It would have cost you $500.

Sadly, the reality here is that I wasn't willing to toss down $500.

It should be noted that there were also Three Pick 3 chances in the sequence. Starting with race seven, they would have cost you $125.00, $100.00 and $100.00 to play on the $1 wager. Those paid $341.00, $199.50 and $147.50. A total investment of $325 would have returned you $688. A profit of $363.

Last but not least, a NYRA Pick 5 was offered for races 7-11. A $1 wager on it, using my picks, would have been expensive at $3,000. It returned $20,405.50, though, for a profit over over $17,000.

Maybe the old adage "it takes money to make money" was justified yesterday.


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I got a nice e-mail this morning (Sunday) from a reader who decided to take my picks and play them "her" way. She put a $2 WPS bet on each of the five horses over the five race sequence. How did she do?  She stuck $50 in her on-line account and sat back and enjoyed the racing while her husband was off to Patterson Stadium and then the track for baseball and racing.

In race seven, she wagered $30 but got back just $21, so she was -$9 going into race eight.

Her $30 investment returned $71.80 in the eighth race for a profit of $41.80 on the race and $32.80 for the day.

Race nine's $30 wager brought back $26.60, for a loss of $3.40 on the race but still an overall profit of $29.40.

In the tenth race, one of my picks was scratched, so the total investment was just $24. That investment paid just $8.40, though...so she lost $15.60 on the race and her profit for the day was down to $13.80.

In the Belmont Stakes, the 11th race, the $30 investment brought back $44.40. A return profit of $14.40 in the race and an overall profit of $28.20 on the day.

We like it when people make money...


paulie
xxxxx





paulie
xxxxx













Saturday, June 1, 2019

Saturday June 1 Night Racing at Churchill



The Twin Spires get illuminated tonight with a "throwback theme" to 1969 and racing that begins at  6 p.m.

I've selected four plays for the evening:

RACE 3 :   #4 Rumandice looks far and away the best here. You won't get much of a price on this one but could be a "single" for vertical stuff like Pick 3's or the early Pick 4. I'll go $50 to win.

RACE 7:  I'm going to try a  .50 cent trifecta layer here that will feature #5 Grandezza and #10 Second Coming on top. I included #5 and #10 with #3, #6, and #8 for second and went really deep for third with #1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #8 and #10.  $20 is the cost on the .50 cent version

RACE 8 : This late Pick 4 looks like it could produce a nice return, so let's spend a bit to make a bunch. I'll go the .50 cent Pick 4 -- starting with #2, #3 in the eighth, #2, #5, #6, #9 #10 in the ninth, #1, #2, #3, #6, #7 in the tenth and finish it with #1, #4, #5 #9 in the eleventh. Cost you a "C" note.

Yes, it's a $100 wager and might be a bit steep for some, but, I think it'll easily pay $300 or more on the .50 cent variety, though, and probably much more. You could form a "pool" and include a couple/few folks to lighten the load, of course. A Pick 3 for races 9.10,11 gets you out for $50 and I'll probably venture there as well

Total outlay for the night: $220.  I expect much more coming back to me.

RESULTS: 

#4 RUMANDICE was the best in Race 3 and deservedly so, got hammered at the windows.
Still I got back $90 for $50 wagered and we always accept a outcome that is profitable. 

My Race 7 trifecta probably should have been just a straight out WPS on #5 Grandezza. He won for fun and returned $6.20 on a $2 wager. The trifecta was spolied by the 19-1 #1 horse running second, I figured that one was no better than third, so we dropped $20 there. 

I bet the late Pick 3 and Pick 4 as outlined above. I did a .50 cent variety in both sequences.

Out of that total of $150 wagered, the returns were $65.15 on the Pick 3 and $162.20 on the Pick 4. Not as high of a return as I hoped for (are they ever?) but $237 is what I collected for this outlay of $150 and that's a profit of $87. 

So, for the night, on these four selected wagers, I made a profit of $107. I'll walk out of there anytime with that. Sometimes a bettor tries to "beat the track" and go for every win in every race. Last night, I got selective and it was beneficial. 

Be sure to check back on Belmont Day (June 8th.) for a few selections from that card and also from what looks to be shaping up to be a very nice card at Churchill, too. 


paulie
xxxxx

Monday, May 27, 2019

MEMORIAL DAY CARD



Only  a couple of picks here today for you today out at Churchill. Be advised, front-runners and inside posts have been performing very well out at the Twin Spires. Don't let odds scare you.


RACE  3  --- I'll solo Juliet Foxtrot here in anything I do. She debuted well for Brad Cox and should make it two in a row.


RACE 8 -- Looking at a stone cold, trifecta box with SOAP BUBBLE, TOBACCO ROAD and WHISKEY ECHO here. A late Pick Three with BREAKFAST POND AND DADDY'S MELODY in race seven, the aforementioned three in Race 8 and the "all" button in the final might make you a few shillings. 


Have a great Memorial Day weekend.

Paulie


(Recap...the $5.40 back on $2 bet on Juliet Foxtrot set up a nice profit. It was a day to play Julian Leparoux...he won four out of the last five races and that helped the bankroll as well. )

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Preakness thoughts

As of Monday, it appeared a field of 12 would be entered in the Preakness on Wednesday, when posts will be drawn for the 1 3/16-mile race. Neither Country House, declared the winner of the Derby, nor Maximum Security, disqualified from victory in the Derby, are in the field, but there are plenty of others ready to dive in. If all 12 run, it would be the first time the Preakness has had that many runners since 14 competed in 2011.

The most-prominent Derby finisher is Improbable, who crossed the wire fifth and then was moved up to fourth via the DQ and likely will be a lukewarm favorite to give trainer Bob Baffert a record eighth Preakness win. Baffert is tied with R.W. Walden, who won the Preakness seven times between 1875 and 1888. Mike Smith has the mount.

Other Derby participants running back in two weeks in the Preakness are Bodexpress (John Velazquez the rider, officially 13th after the DQ), War of Will (Tyler Gaffalione, seventh), and Win Win Win (Julian Pimentel, ninth).

The eight newcomers to the Triple Crown trail include three horses who won races that earned them fees-paid berths into the Preakness – local star Alwaysmining, winner of the Tesio at Laurel; Anothertwistafate, who won the El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields; and Laughing Fox, winner of the Oaklawn Invitational on Derby Day. Daniel Centeno rides Alwaysmining. Jose Ortiz has picked up the mount on Anothertwistafate, who most recently was second in the Lexington at Keeneland. Ricardo Santana Jr. is on Laughing Fox.

Bourbon War and Signalman, both of whom were not entered in the Derby when it was apparent their only hope was to scratch in from the also-eligible list, should attract plenty of support. Irad Ortiz Jr. rides Bourbon War, who most recently was fourth in the Florida Derby. Signalman was third in the Blue Grass. Regular rider Brian Hernandez Jr. has the mount.

Trainer Brad Cox has two runners. Owendale (Florent Geroux to ride) won the Lexington in his last start, and Warrior’s Charge (Javier Castellano) is making his stakes debut following maiden and allowance wins at Oaklawn. Warrior’s Charge was not nominated to the Triple Crown for $600 in January or $6,000 in March, so his owners must pay a $150,000 supplementary fee to make him eligible for the Preakness and the Belmont, the final leg of the Triple Crown on June 8.

The last horse to be added to the field is Market King, whose last race was an 11th-place finish in the Blue Grass on April 6 at Keeneland. He was scheduled to run in the Pat Day Mile on Derby Day at Churchill Downs, but was scratched by the veterinarian in the post parade.

Market King shows two five-furlong works since – 1:00.20 on May 7, and 1:00.40 on Saturday – both at Churchill Downs.

Dr. Mary Scollay, the equine medical director of the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission, on Monday said that Market King had been placed on the veterinarian’s list as a result of being scratched prior to the Pat Day Mile and that he had yet to be removed. To be removed, Market King would have to work under the supervision of a commission veterinarian, who would then do a post-work soundness check and draw blood for analysis.

For my picks, I am keeping it very simple. I'll do an exacta box on Improbable, War of Will, Always Mining and Win Win Win. I'll also do a trifecta box with those four and all Anotherwifistate. 

Saturday, May 11, 2019

Wesley Ward runners look strong in Mamzelle at Churchill -- Preakness possibles


Churchill Downs has a 100 K Stakes race going on Saturday. Gee, I wonder where they found the money to do that?

Anyway, it's the Mamzelle Stakes, it'll go on the turf and it's a sprinter for 5 furlongs. It is RACE  9 ON THE CHURCHILL CARD

Wesley Ward has entered three runners and I definitely like two of them

#5 Chelsea Cloisters will get Brian Hernandez, Jr to ride. This one ran a huge race in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint last year at 24-1 against Bulletin to finish second. "C.C." went toe-to-toe with the winner before fading near the wire. A trip to Keeneland this spring in another Stakes race produced a third place finish, once again, contending and fading late. The works have looked good and Chelsea could get the win today.  Maybe 7/2 odds, if you're lucky. My top pick.

#7 Catherinethegreat has Julian Leparoux riding for Mark Casse and this filly goes to the turf for the first time and at a shorter distance than she did in the fall, where she ran against Restless Rider and other top quality horses at Keeneland and Saratoga. She had a graded stakes win at Saratoga last summer and has been training great for her 2019 opener. She should love the turf and the shorter distance

#9 Abyssinian is the second of three Wesley Ward entries and one I do like a lot. Tyler Gaffalione takes over in the saddle. This gal ran into Bulletin this spring at Keeneland and finished a closing third.   Nothing but "bullet" works since that one indicate to me she's ready to try the Churchill turf.
Bulletin isn't in the house today. My second pick.

#12 Play On. Brad Cox goes to Shaun Bridgmohan for the ride today. She did finish behind Chelsea Cloisters this spring at Keeneland but Shaun wasn't on her that day and she won three in a row with him piloting at Fairgrounds and Gulfstream over the winter. She'll contest the early pace and have something to say about the finish.

(Ward's other horse is #1 Iva. She seems to win when Julio Garcia is on board and that's the case today but she got blown out in the Grade III Beaumont this spring at Keeneland and I have a hard time seeing her making a difference today. )


PAULIE PICKS   5-9-7-12      


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PREAKNESS POSSIBILITIES? 

Next Saturday they'll contest the second jewel of the Triple Crown. The Preakness is run at Pimlico (for now...the track is falling apart, Maryland won't put any money into it and Laurel Race Course and others want that jewel....)

No Country House. No Maximum Security. No Code of Honor. No Tacitus. No Game Winner. No Omaha Beach or Roadster. Almost all the horses getting Derby chatter aren't contesting the Preakness. Only four of the 21 who were Derby considerations go to Baltimore, as of now.

Here's 11 who could show up.

ALWAYSMINING -- DANIEL CENTENO rides. Won the Tesio Stakes last out

ANOTHERTWISTAFATE -- JOSE ORTIZ up.  2nd in the Lexington

BODEXPRESS -- (NO JOCKEY NAMED) -- 13th in the Kentucky Derby

BOURBON WAR -- IRAD ORTIZ, JR on board. 4th in the Florida Derby

IMPROBABLE -- MIKE SMITH the jockey. 4th in the Kentucky Derby.

LAUGHING FOX -- RICARDO SANTANA gets the call. Won the Oaklawn Park Invitational

OWENDALE -- FLORENT GEROUX in the saddle. 1st in the Lexington 

SIGNALMAN -- BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR pilots. 3rd in the Blue Grass

WAR OF WILL -- TYLER GAFFALIONE returns. 7th in the Kentucky Derby

WARRIORS CHARGE -- JAVIER CASTELLANO jocks. Won an allowance race at Oaklawn

WIN WIN WIN -- JULIEN PIMENTEL has the reins. 9th in the Kentucky Derby.

You have a week to figure this mess out.  As of right now, I'm looking at Improbable, War of Will and the Ortiz brothers mounts...Anothertwistafate and Bourbon War. We'll review it more on Friday.


paulie
xxxxx





Sunday, May 5, 2019

KY DERBY 145: THE "THEY'VE GATHERED AROUND THE MONITORS" DERBY -- RESULTS


On what to be a wild and wooly trip around the final turn and to "down the stretch they come" territory, the 145th Kentucky Derby had a winner, there were objections to the winner, there was a review of the winner's trip and a subsequent disqualification.

What is this? ACC Women's basketball? All we needed was Jeff Walz, Quentin Hillsman or Wes Moore on the sloppy Churchill surface yelling in Dee Kanter's ear as the officials strode to the sideline table. This was much bigger than that, though. A horse out of control (Maximum Security) appeared to be on a jailbreak of sorts when the field made their final surge around the turn and to the wire. Luis Saez, the jockey on "Max" had him wide, then had him ducking to the rail, and...in the process, interferred with several horses final push down the Churchill stretch .

And, it went to review. 20 minutes of review. Three calls to jockeys from the stewards. Reviewing every possible angle of the scene of question.  And, of course, the inane commentary of the talking heads on the peacock network.

War Of Will could have been your Derby winner if "Max" hadn't cut in front of him, stopped him almost dead in his tracks. Credit jockey Tyler Gaffliaone for keeping his horse upright in what might have been one of the most horrific spills in racing history.

And, the horse that led them all the way is taken down. All the way down. No payout, a call by stewards on two valid objections from veteran race riders...Jon Court, who got  and Tyler.

It was the right call.

And it propelled second place race finisher Country House into first. The first time  Derby had ever been decided that way. The first win ever for local legend Billy Mott. A win for up-and-coming rider Flavien Prat who did the right thing, kept his horse wide in the turn and ran the race of his young life.

This one will be talked about for a very long time, but...stewards have a role, they were called on to perform it and the three did what they are assigned to do.


They made the right call.

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SATURDAY RESULTS

I handicapped all 14 races for you (my brain still hurts) and gave you four horses per race. Out of the 56 I picked, 22 of them claimed the 42 "payable" spots. 52% "in the money"

I had seven winners, seven seconds and eight thirds. The winners paid (on a $2 wager) $23.20, $13.20, $23.00, $6.40, $4.20, $13.20 and $9.00.

I did not have the Derby Winner when it was all finally decided. That's the breaks of the game.

I went back to the "$2 across the board" on my four choices per race. That was $24 a race and $336 wagered for the day. Final payouts brought back $278...so I actually lost $58 on the day.

Any horse player will tell you that you can't bet them all and expect to leave a winner.  I barely did just that on Friday -- showing a profit -- but it came back to get me Saturday. My skills were pretty good through the first eight races and the final two...but that stretch of races 9,10,11 and 12 got me.

Add my 50 cent Derby trifecta box of five horses to the losses and it wasn't the best of days. On a day where weird things were happening and handicapping was basically just as effective and closing your eyes and picking a horse...that's how it goes sometimes.

I'll be back in a couple of weeks to look at the Preakness.


paulie
xxxxx

Friday, May 3, 2019

DERBY DAY SELECTIONS --- FRIDAY RESULTS


It is finally here!  The first Saturday in May and the Kentucky Derby. 


It looks like it is going to be a wet one, whether you're at Churchill or at a party in the area. Fortunately, the forecasts I've been watching seem to be getting a little better the later I watch them for Saturday as I've watched...but there will be rain. 

 Derby=Rain

14 races tomorrow. You'll find my picks below. As always, play them anyway you want.

(THESE ARE SELECTIONS based on the latest scratches as of 9 a.m. Saturday)


RACE 1 -- 6 FURLONGS -- ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $80K

3 -- CURATE
2 -- CONTROL STAKE 
6 -- MR. CROW 
5 -- KOWBOY KARMA


RACE 2 -- 1 MILE -- ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $100K

6 -- AMERICAN ANTHEM
1a --  MY BOY JACK
4 -- KING ZACHARY
2 -- WAR GIANT


RACE 3 -- 6 FURLONGS -- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT -- $100K

1 -- YOUNG PHILLIP
4 -- SUROOJ
6 -- PALMER'S WAY
10 -- ADMIRAL BROWN


RACE 4 -- 7 FURLONGS -- ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING -- $75K

2 -- HIDDEN SCROLL
5 -- BORRACHO
4 -- HIGH CRIME
8 -- YOUVESAIDITALL 


RACE 5 --  1-1/16TH MILE --  (TURF)  --  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT -- $100K

6 -- SILVER KITTEN 
12 -- GOLD STANDARD
7 -- SHE'S GOT MOVES
1A -- SUGAR LOVE


RACE 6 -- 7 FURLONGS -- HUMANA DISTAFF STAKES -- $500K

2 -- SPICED PERFECTION
5 -- AMY'S CHALLENGE
7 -- MARLEY'S FREEDOM
6 -- EMBOLDENED


RACE 7 -- I MILE -- (TURF) -- CHURCHILL DISTAFF TURF MILE -- $400k 

6 -- PRECIEUSE
10 -- VALEDICTORIAN
4 -- BEAU RECALL
3 -- PROCTOR'S LEDGE


RACE 8 --  7 FURLONGS -- CHURCHILL DOWNS STAKES -- $500K

8 -- MITOLE
12 -- WHITMORE
6 -- PROMISES FULFILLED
7 -- WARRIOR'S CLUB


RACE 9 -- 1-1/16TH MILE -- (TURF) -- THE AMERICAN TURF -- $400K

1 -- A THREAD OF BLUE
8 -- AVIE'S FLATTER
9 --  WAR FILM
10 -- HENLEY'S JOY


RACE 10 -- 1 MILE -- THE PAT DAY MILE -- $400K

10 --  INSTAGRAND
1 -- DURKIN'S CALL
9 -- CAPTAIN VON TRAPP 
8 -- MANNY WAH


RACE 11 -- 1-1/8TH MILE -- (TURF) --  OLD FORESTER TURF CLASSIC -- $1 MIL

12 -- BRICKS AND MORTAR
9 -- SYNCHRONY
6 -- CLYDE'S IMAGE 
2 -- RAGING BULL


RACE 12 -- 1-1/4TH MILE -- THE KENTUCKY DERBY -- 3 MIL

17 -- ROADSTER
3 -- BY MY STANDARDS 
8 -- TACITUS
16 -- GAME WINNER


RACE 13 -- 1-1/16TH MILE -- ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING --   $75K

10 -- BANDON WOODS
9 -- ROYAL MESA
11 -- HOFFA UNION 
1 -- LIMONITE


RACE 14 -- 1-1/16TH MILE-- MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT -- $100 K

2 -- RANGER UP
1 -- ROTATION 
7 -- FELIX THE FOX
9 -- SPEED APP


GOOD LUCK ! 



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FRIDAY RESULTS

I had a few winners but missed capturing the Oaks Race.  Oh well, racing luck, right? 

I gave you 52 horses to choose from that competed for 39 "payoff" spots (win place or show).  23 of my picks "hit the board" for a 59% "in the money" percentage. 

I had eight winners in the 13 races, nine second places and six shows. 

I also had five exactas and three trifectas correctly picked. 

I wagered a little differently on Friday. I took my four picks in each race and bet a $2 exacta box.  That's $24 a race X 13 races =  $312 in total wagers 

I got back $325.80.  A $13.80 profit.  I also spent $10 to win on Bellafina. Ugh. 



paulie
xxxxx